APPENDIX 3 SHORT AND MEDIUM TERM REQUIREMENTS AND USAGE FOR FISH-MEAL AND OILCAKE

TABLE 1 FISH-MEAL & OILCAKE BALANCE SHEET (1998/1999-2000/2001) • (APRIL-MARCH)   FISH-MEAL (TON) OILCAKE (TON) YEAR 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 Requirements / Sales 96,267 127,386 127,070 1,080,354 1,063,338 1,063,000 Available / Produced 88,340 95,000 95,000 493,581 554,903 413,359 Shortage / Imports 7,927 32,386 32,070 586,773 508,435 649,641 2000/2001 - Estimate • SOURCE: AFMA Chairman's Report 1999/2000

TABLE 2 FISH-MEAL & OILCAKE USAGE (1998/1999-2000/2001) • (APRIL-MARCH)   FISH-MEAL (TON) OILCAKE (TON) YEAR 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 AFMA Members 80,988 103,435 103,435 782,702 779,444 743,390 Non-AFMA Members 15,279 23,951 23,635 297,652 283,894 319,610 TOTAL 96,267 127,386 127,070 1,080,354 1,063,338 1,063,000 2000/2001 - Estimate • SOURCE: AFMA Chairman's Report 1998/1999 & 1999/2000 Non-AFMA Members usage estimated at 18.6% of total fish-meal usage for 2000/2001. Non-AFMA Members usage estimated at 30% of total oilcake usage for 2000/2001. NOTE: At this stage AFMA members estimated 2000/2001 fish-meal usage is estimated to be the same as in the 1999/2000 season - please refer to attached notes.

TABLE 3 THE MAIN RAW MATERIAL USAGE BY AFMA-MEMBERS (1998/1999-2000/2001) • (APRIL-MARCH) RAW MATERIALS 1998 / 1999 1999 / 2000 2000 / 2001 TOTAL (TON) INCLUSION RATE (%) TOTAL (TON) INCLUSION RATE (%) TOTAL (TON) INCLUSION RATE (%) Sunflower oilcake 273,296 7.03 304,970 7.41 300,468 7.54 Groundnuts oilcake 13,326 0.34 5,699 0.14 3,160 0.08 Soya oilcake 332,211 8.55 327,282 7.97 291,608 7.32 Full Fat Soya 101,278 2.61 74,277 1.81 93,420 2.34 Cotton oilcake 40,519 1.04 38,628 0.94 31,746 0.80 Canola oilcake 12,251 0.32 12,420 0.30 5,230 0.13 Total oilcake 782,702 19.99 779,444 18.94 743,390 18.66 Total Maize Products 2,125,684 54.69 2,266,449 55.06 2,228,462 55.93 Total Fish-meal 80,988 2.08 103,435 2.51 127,890 3.21 SOURCE: AFMA Chairman's Report 1998/1999 AFMA raw material usage April 1999-March 2000 estimates • AFMA raw material usage April 2000-March 2001 estimates NOTE:Total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake listed in the table.

TABLE 4 FISHMEAL - LOCAL PRODUCTION & IMPORTS (1998/1999-2000/2001) • (APRIL-MARCH)   LOCAL (RSA & NAMIBIA) FISH-MEAL PRODUCTION (TON) IMPORTED FISH-MEAL (TON) YEAR 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 RSA 65,340 80,000 80,000       Namibia 23,000 15,000 15,000       TOTAL 88,340 95,000 95,000 9,927 32,386 32,070 SOURCE: AFMA; SA Fish-meal Marketing Company Fish-meal was imported from Peru, Angola and the Seychelles (1999/2000) 2000/2001 - Estimate

TABLE 5 OILCAKE - LOCAL PRODUCTION & IMPORTS (1998/1999-2000/2001)   LOCAL (RSA & NAMIBIA) OILCAKE PRODUCTION (TON) IMPORTED OILCAKE (TON) YEAR 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 OILCAKE             Groundnuts oilcake 8,225 6,000   1,828     Sunflower oilcake 280,140 364,560   36,755 12,906   Soya cake 68,800 54,791   416,045 366,492     - Full Fat 81,022 74,302   19,437       - Beans         25,814   Cotton cake 12,820 28,980   74,822 89,360     - Full Fat 24,424 620   30,989     Other       6,897 13,691   Canola 18,150 12,650         Lupins   13,000         Copra & Palm Kernel         172   TOTAL 493,581 554,903 413,359 586,773 508,435 649,641 SOURCE: AFMA Chairman's Report 1998/1999 and 1999/2000 • 2000/2001-estimate

TABLE 6 OIL SEED & GRAIN PRODUCTION IN THE RSA (TON) (1997/1998-2000/2001 MARKETING SEASON) CROP 1997/1998 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 White maize 4,614,000 4,383,000 4,664,000 6,154,500 Yellow maize 3,874,000 2,699,000 2,681,000 3,986,440 Sorghum 355,000 264,600 155,950 352,450 Groundnuts 95,000 65,160 98,250 113,550 Sunflower 450,000 562,067 1,109,000 530,625 Soya beans 120,000 200,900 188,367 148,720 Cotton seed 45,693 59,869 77,280 40,537 Wheat 2,300,000 1,725,000 1,725,000 1,983,300 Sweet Lupin¹   9,000 13,000 23,510 Canola¹   21,000 23,000 26,525 Sweet lupins²       24,130 Canola²       27,930 SOURCE: National Crop Estimates (for 1997-1999) and ninth Production Estimate for summer crops (1999-2000 production season) and third production estimate for winter crops (2000/2001) SAGIS; Cotton South Africa ¹ Sweet lupins and Canola production as estimated by the NCEC. ² Sweet lupins and Canola production as estimated by PRF-study groups.

TABLE 7 OIL SEED & GRAIN PRODUCTION IN THE RSA (TON) (2000/2001 MARKETING SEASON) CROP OPENING STOCK IMPORTS TO RSA PRODUCTION TOTAL SUPPLY White maize 609,000   6,154,500 6,763,500 Yellow maize 374,000   3,986,440 4,360,440 Sorghum 25,000   52,450 377,450 Groundnuts 27,000   113,550 140,550 Sunflower 450,000   530,625 980,625 Soya beans 42,000 34,000 148,720 224,720 Wheat 548,000   1,983,300 2,531,300 SOURCE: Opening stock and import figures obtained from Grain South Africa Production estimates from the National Crop Estimates Committee Ninth production estimate (1999/2000 production season)

TABLE 8 AREA PLANTED TO OIL SEED & GRAIN CROPS IN THE RSA (1996/1997-2000/2001 PRODUCTION SEASON) CROP Ha PLANTED 1996/1997 Ha PLANTED 1997/1998 Ha PLANTED 1998/1999 Ha PLANTED 1999/2000 Ha PLANTED 2000/2001 White maize 1,794,000 1,797,200 1,829,700 2,003,000   Yellow maize 1,567,000 1,158,000 1,075,000 1,227,440   Sorghum 160,600 131,200 98,900 142,200   Groundnuts 95,000 59,100 94,550 82,600   Sunflower 464,000 511,000 828,000 396,350   Soya beans 87,000 125,000 130,500 93,787   Wheat     748,000 718,000 853,500 Sweet lupins¹     16,300 19,000 21,205 Canola¹     17,000 25,000 22,025 Sweet lupins²     16,300 19,000 15,420 Canola²     17,000 25,000 19,700 SOURCE: National Crop Estimates Committee: ninth production estimate for summer crops (1999/2000 production season) and third production estimate for winter crops (2000/2001 production season) ¹Sweet lupins and Canola area planted as estimated by the NCEC. ²Sweet lupins and Canola area planted as estimated by PRF-study groups.

TABLE 9 NOTE ON MARKETING SEASON FOR SUMMER & WINTER CROPS CROP SEASON White maize May-April Yellow maize May-April Sorghum April-March Groundnuts March-February Sunflower January-December Soya beans January-December Wheat October-September

 

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