REPORTS ARCHIVES RESEARCH REPORTS 2000/2001 2000 ANNEXURE 3 Research Report 2000/2001
Annexure III
Short- and medium-term requirements and usage of fishmeal and oilcake
Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet (1998/1999-2000/2001) (April-March)
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Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
1998/1999 |
1999/2000 |
2000/2001 |
1998/1999 |
1999/2000 |
2000/2001 |
Requirements / Sales |
96 267 |
127 386 |
127 070 |
1 080 354 |
1 063 338 |
1 063 000 |
Available / Produced |
88 340 |
95 000 |
95 000 |
493 581 |
554 903 |
413 359 |
Shortage / Imports |
7 927 |
32 386 |
32 070 |
586 773 |
508 435 |
649 641 |
2000/2001 – Estimate
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 1999/2000
Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage (1998/1999-2000/2001) (April-March)
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Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
1998/1999 |
1999/2000 |
2000/2001 |
1998/1999 |
1999/2000 |
2000/2001 |
AFMA Members |
80 988 |
103 435 |
103 435 |
782 702 |
779 444 |
743 390 |
Non-AFMA Members |
15 279 |
23 951 |
23 635 |
297 652 |
283 894 |
319 610 |
Total |
96 267 |
127 386 |
127 070 |
1 080 354 |
1 063 338 |
1 063 000 |
Source: 2000/2001 – Estimate / AFMA Chairman's Report 1998/1999 and 1999/2000
Non-AFMA Members usage estimated at 18.6% of total fishmeal usage for 2000/2001.
Non-AFMA Members usage estimated at 30% of total oilcake usage for 2000/2001.
Note: At this stage AFMA members estimated 2000/2001 fishmeal usage is estimated to be the
same as in the 1999/2000 season – please refer to attached notes.
Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members (1998/1999-2000/2001) (April-March)
|
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Raw Materials |
1998/1999 |
|
1999/2000 |
|
2000/2001 |
|
Sunflower oilcake |
273 296 |
7.03 |
304 970 |
7.41 |
300 468 |
7.54 |
Groundnuts oilcake |
13 326 |
0.34 |
5 699 |
0.14 |
3 160 |
0.08 |
Soya oilcake |
332 211 |
8.55 |
327 282 |
7.97 |
291 608 |
7.32 |
Full Fat Soya |
101 278 |
2.61 |
74 277 |
1.81 |
93 420 |
2.34 |
Cotton oilcake |
40 519 |
1.04 |
38 628 |
0.94 |
31 746 |
0.80 |
Canola oilcake |
12 251 |
0.32 |
12 420 |
0.30 |
5 230 |
0.13 |
Total oilcake |
782 702 |
19.99 |
779 444 |
18.94 |
743 390 |
18.66 |
Total Maize Products |
2 125 684 |
54.69 |
2 266 449 |
55.06 |
2 228 462 |
55.93 |
Total Fishmeal |
80 988 |
2.08 |
103 435 |
2.51 |
127 890 |
3.21 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 1998/1999
AFMA raw material usage April 1999-March 2000 estimates.
AFMA raw material usage April 2000-March 2001 estimates.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.
Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports (1998/1999-2000/2001) (April-March)
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Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) |
Imported fishmeal (ton) |
Year |
1998/1999 |
1999/2000 |
2000/2001 |
1998/1999 |
1999/2000 |
2000/2001 |
RSA |
65 340 |
80 000 |
80 000 |
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|
|
Namibia |
23 000 |
15 000 |
15 000 |
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|
|
Total |
88 340 |
95 000 |
95 000 |
9 927 |
32 386 |
32 070 |
Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
Fishmeal was imported from Peru, Angola and the Seychelles (1999/2000).
2000/2001 – Estimate
Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports (1998/1999-2000/2001)
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Local Oilcake production (ton) |
Imported Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
1998/1999 |
1999/2000 |
2000/2001 |
1998/1999 |
1999/2000 |
2000/2001 |
Oilcake: |
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|
|
|
|
Groundnuts oilcake |
8 225 |
6 000 |
|
1 828 |
|
|
Sunflower oilcake |
280 140 |
364 560 |
|
36 755 |
12 906 |
|
Soya cake |
68 800 |
54 791 |
|
416 045 |
366 492 |
|
- Full Fat |
81 022 |
74 302 |
|
19 437 |
|
|
- Beans |
|
|
|
|
25 814 |
|
Cotton cake |
12 820 |
28 980 |
|
74 822 |
89 360 |
|
- Full Fat |
24 424 |
620 |
|
30 989 |
|
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Other |
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|
|
6 897 |
13 691 |
|
Canola |
18 150 |
12 650 |
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Lupins |
|
13 000 |
|
|
|
|
Copra & Palm Kernel |
|
|
|
|
172 |
|
Total |
493 581 |
554 903 |
413 359 |
586 773 |
508 435 |
649 641 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 1998/1999 and 1999/2000
2000/2001 – Estimate
Table 6
Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA (ton) (1997/1998-2000/2001 marketing season)
Crop |
1997/1998 |
1998/1999 |
1999/2000 |
2000/2001 |
White maize |
4 614 000 |
4 383 000 |
4 664 000 |
6 154 500 |
Yellow maize |
3 874 000 |
2 699 000 |
2 681 000 |
3 986 440 |
Sorghum |
355 000 |
264 600 |
155 950 |
352 450 |
Groundnuts |
95 000 |
65 160 |
98 250 |
113 550 |
Sunflower |
450 000 |
562 067 |
1 109 000 |
530 625 |
Soya beans |
120 000 |
200 900 |
188 367 |
148 720 |
Cotton seed |
45 693 |
59 869 |
77 280 |
40 537 |
Wheat |
2 300 000 |
1 725 000 |
1 725 000 |
1 983 300 |
Sweet Lupin¹ |
|
9 000 |
13 000 |
23 510 |
Canola¹ |
|
21 000 |
23 000 |
26 525 |
Sweet lupins² |
|
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|
24 130 |
Canola² |
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|
27 930 |
¹ Sweet lupins and Canola production as estimated by the NCEC.
² Sweet lupins and Canola production as estimated by PRF-study groups.
Source: National Crop Estimates (for 1997-1999) and ninth Production Estimate for summer crops (1999-2000 production season) and third production estimate for winter crops (2000/2001).
SAGIS; Cotton South Africa.
Table 7
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton) (2000/2001 marketing season)
Crop |
Opening stock |
Imports to RSA |
Production |
Total supply |
White maize |
609 000 |
|
6 154 500 |
6 763 500 |
Yellow maize |
374 000 |
|
3 986 440 |
4 360 440 |
Sorghum |
25 000 |
|
52 450 |
377 450 |
Groundnuts |
27 000 |
|
113 550 |
140 550 |
Sunflower |
450 000 |
|
530 625 |
980 625 |
Soya beans |
42 000 |
34 000 |
148 720 |
224 720 |
Wheat |
548 000 |
|
1 983 300 |
2 531 300 |
Source: Opening stock and import figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Production estimates from the National Crop Estimates Committee Ninth production estimate (1999/2000 production season).
Table 8
Area Planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA (2001/2002-2000/2001 production season)
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Ha planted |
Crop |
1996/1997 |
1997/1998 |
1998/1999 |
1999/2000 |
2000/2001 |
White maize |
1 794 000 |
1 797 200 |
1 829 700 |
2 003 000 |
|
Yellow maize |
1 567 000 |
1 158 000 |
1 075 000 |
1 227 440 |
|
Sorghum |
160 600 |
131 200 |
98 900 |
142 200 |
|
Groundnuts |
95 000 |
59 100 |
94 550 |
82 600 |
|
Sunflower |
464 000 |
511 000 |
828 000 |
396 350 |
|
Soya beans |
87 000 |
125 000 |
130 500 |
93 787 |
|
Wheat |
|
|
748 000 |
718 000 |
853 500 |
Sweet lupins¹ |
|
|
16 300 |
19 000 |
21 205 |
Canola¹ |
|
|
17 000 |
25 000 |
22 025 |
Sweet lupins² |
|
|
16 300 |
19 000 |
15 420 |
Canola² |
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|
17 000 |
25 000 |
19 700 |
¹ Sweet lupins and Canola production as estimated by the NCEC.
² Sweet lupins and Canola production as estimated by PRF-study groups.
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee: ninth production estimate for summer crops (1999/2000 production season) and third production estimate for winter crops (2000/2001 production season).
Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crop |
Season |
White maize |
May-April |
Yellow maize |
May-April |
Sorghum |
April-March |
Groundnuts |
March-February |
Sunflower |
January-December |
Soybeans |
January-December |
Wheat |
October-September |