Reports / Archives / Research Reports / 2000/2001 / 2000 Annexure 3

Research Report 2000/2001

Annexure III

Short- and medium-term requirements and usage of fish meal and oilcake

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (1998/1999-2000/2001) (April-March)
  Fish meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001
Requirements / Sales 96 267 127 386 127 070 1 080 354 1 063 338 1 063 000
Available / Produced 88 340 95 000 95 000 493 581 554 903 413 359
Shortage / Imports 7 927 32 386 32 070 586 773 508 435 649 641

2000/2001 – Estimate
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 1999/2000

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (1998/1999-2000/2001) (April-March)
  Fish meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001
AFMA Members 80 988 103 435 103 435 782 702 779 444 743 390
Non-AFMA Members 15 279 23 951 23 635 297 652 283 894 319 610
Total 96 267 127 386 127 070 1 080 354 1 063 338 1 063 000

Source: 2000/2001 – Estimate / AFMA Chairman's Report 1998/1999 and 1999/2000
Non-AFMA Members usage estimated at 18.6% of total fish meal usage for 2000/2001.
Non-AFMA Members usage estimated at 30% of total oilcake usage for 2000/2001.
Note: At this stage AFMA members estimated 2000/2001 fish meal usage is estimated to be the same as in the 1999/2000 season – please refer to attached notes.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (1998/1999-2000/2001) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 1998/1999   1999/2000   2000/2001  
Sunflower oilcake 273 296 7.03 304 970 7.41 300 468 7.54
Groundnuts oilcake 13 326 0.34 5 699 0.14 3 160 0.08
Soya oilcake 332 211 8.55 327 282 7.97 291 608 7.32
Full Fat Soya 101 278 2.61 74 277 1.81 93 420 2.34
Cotton oilcake 40 519 1.04 38 628 0.94 31 746 0.80
Canola oilcake 12 251 0.32 12 420 0.30 5 230 0.13
Total oilcake 782 702 19.99 779 444 18.94 743 390 18.66
Total Maize Products 2 125 684 54.69 2 266 449 55.06 2 228 462 55.93
Total Fish meal 80 988 2.08 103 435 2.51 127 890 3.21

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 1998/1999
AFMA raw material usage April 1999-March 2000 estimates.
AFMA raw material usage April 2000-March 2001 estimates.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (1998/1999-2000/2001) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish meal production (ton) Imported fish meal (ton)
Year 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001
RSA 65 340 80 000 80 000
Namibia 23 000 15 000 15 000
Total 88 340 95 000 95 000 9 927 32 386 32 070

Source: AFMA; SA Fish Meal Marketing Company
Fish meal was imported from Peru, Angola and the Seychelles (1999/2000).
2000/2001 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (1998/1999-2000/2001)
  Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001
Oilcake:
Groundnuts oilcake 8 225 6 000 1 828
Sunflower oilcake 280 140 364 560 36 755 12 906
Soya cake 68 800 54 791 416 045 366 492
- Full Fat 81 022 74 302 19 437
- Beans 25 814
Cotton cake 12 820 28 980 74 822 89 360
- Full Fat 24 424 620 30 989
Other 6 897 13 691
Canola 18 150 12 650
Lupins 13 000
Copra & Palm Kernel 172
Total 493 581 554 903 413 359 586 773 508 435 649 641

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 1998/1999 and 1999/2000
2000/2001 – Estimate

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA (ton)   (1997/1998-2000/2001 marketing season)
Crop 1997/1998 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001
White maize 4 614 000 4 383 000 4 664 000 6 154 500
Yellow maize 3 874 000 2 699 000 2 681 000 3 986 440
Sorghum 355 000 264 600 155 950 352 450
Groundnuts 95 000 65 160 98 250 113 550
Sunflower 450 000 562 067 1 109 000 530 625
Soya beans 120 000 200 900 188 367 148 720
Cotton seed 45 693 59 869 77 280 40 537
Wheat 2 300 000 1 725 000 1 725 000 1 983 300
Sweet Lupin¹ 9 000 13 000 23 510
Canola¹ 21 000 23 000 26 525
Sweet lupins² 24 130
Canola² 27 930

¹ Sweet lupins and Canola production as estimated by the NCEC.
² Sweet lupins and Canola production as estimated by PRF-study groups.
Source: National Crop Estimates (for 1997-1999) and ninth Production Estimate for summer crops (1999-2000 production season) and third production estimate for winter crops (2000/2001).
SAGIS; Cotton South Africa.

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2000/2001 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 609 000 6 154 500 6 763 500
Yellow maize 374 000 3 986 440 4 360 440
Sorghum 25 000 52 450 377 450
Groundnuts 27 000 113 550 140 550
Sunflower 450 000 530 625 980 625
Soya beans 42 000 34 000 148 720 224 720
Wheat 548 000 1 983 300 2 531 300

Source: Opening stock and import figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Production estimates from the National Crop Estimates Committee Ninth production estimate (1999/2000 production season).

Table 8
Area Planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2001/2002-2000/2001 production season)
  Ha planted
Crop 1996/1997 1997/1998 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001
White maize 1 794 000 1 797 200 1 829 700 2 003 000
Yellow maize 1 567 000 1 158 000 1 075 000 1 227 440
Sorghum 160 600 131 200 98 900 142 200
Groundnuts 95 000 59 100 94 550 82 600
Sunflower 464 000 511 000 828 000 396 350
Soya beans 87 000 125 000 130 500 93 787
Wheat 748 000 718 000 853 500
Sweet lupins¹ 16 300 19 000 21 205
Canola¹ 17 000 25 000 22 025
Sweet lupins² 16 300 19 000 15 420
Canola² 17 000 25 000 19 700

¹ Sweet lupins and Canola production as estimated by the NCEC.
² Sweet lupins and Canola production as estimated by PRF-study groups.
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee: ninth production estimate for summer crops (1999/2000 production season) and third production estimate for winter crops (2000/2001 production season).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crop Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September