Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 25 April 2017

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and third production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 643 100 8 618 400 8 513 200 1 014 750 3 408 500 +1.24
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 985 500 5 917 300 5 810 300 932 000 4 370 000 +1.84
Total maize / Totale mielies 2 628 600 14 535 700 14 323 500 1 946 750 7 778 500 +1.48
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 635 750 853 470 896 060 718 500 755 000 -4.75
Soybeans / Sojabone 573 950 1 233 130 1 162 425 502 800 742 000 +6.08
Groundnuts / Grondbone 56 000 86 600 86 600 22 600 17 680 -
Sorghum 42 350 153 480 153 480 48 500 70 500 -
Dry beans / Droëbone 45 050 67 150 65 275 34 400 35 445 +2.87
Total / Totaal 3 981 700 16 929 530 16 687 340 3 273 550 9 399 125 +1.45

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2016/17 = 2017
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2016/17 = 2017

White maize / Witmielies
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing area planted to white maize from 2010 to 2017

Yellow maize / Geelmielies
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing area planted to yellow maize from 2010 to 2017
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and third production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop / Finale oes
2017 2017 2016 2016
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
200 2 000 2 200 2 000 20 000 22 000 500 4 000 4 500 5 000 40 000 45 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 500 45 000 48 500 43 750 643 500 687 250 3 750 50 000 53 750 35 000 675 000 710 000
Free State / Vrystaat
805 000 355 000 1 160 000 4 226 250 1 775 000 6 001 250 390 000 310 000 700 000 1 190 500 1 023 000 2 213 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
4 400 9 500 13 900 26 400 57 000 83 400 2 000 12 000 14 000 10 000 66 000 76 000
KwaZulu-Natal
50 000 50 000 100 000 320 000 335 000 635 000 38 000 48 000 86 000 215 000 307 000 522 000
Mpumalanga
160 000 330 000 490 000 1 040 000 2 112 000 3 152 000 160 000 330 000 490 000 752 000 1 567 000 2 319 000
Limpopo
40 000 24 000 64 000 260 000 148 800 408 800 31 500 22 000 53 500 178 000 132 000 310 000
Gauteng
60 000 60 000 120 000 360 000 342 000 702 000 49 000 56 000 105 000 207 000 235 000 442 000
North West / Noordwes
520 000 110 000 630 000 2 340 000 484 000 2 824 000 340 000 100 000 440 000 816 000 325 000 1 141 000
Total / Totaal
1 643 100 985 500 2 628 600 8 618 400 5 917 300 14 535 700 1 014 750 932 000 1 946 750 3 408 500 4 370 000 7 778 500
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and third production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 250 250 500 600
Free State / Vrystaat 330 000 462 000 400 000 440 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 300 300 - -
Mpumalanga 2 200 2 420 4 000 4 400
Limpopo 90 000 81 000 65 000 48 750
Gauteng 3 000 3 000 4 000 4 000
North West / Noordwes 210 000 304 500 245 000 257 250
Total / Totaal 635 750 853 470 718 500 755 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and third production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 700 1 050 800 1 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 10 500 4 000 13 600
Free State / Vrystaat 240 000 480 000 174 000 148 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 850 2 775 1 500 2 100
KwaZulu-Natal 30 500 86 925 28 000 66 000
Mpumalanga 241 000 506 100 240 000 408 000
Limpopo 8 500 28 900 16 000 38 400
Gauteng 25 400 68 580 23 000 50 600
North West / Noordwes 23 000 48 300 15 500 14 100
Total / Totaal 573 950 1 233 130 502 800 742 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and third production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 4 000 14 000 5 000 10 000
Free State / Vrystaat 22 000 33 000 6 500 2 920
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal - - - -
Mpumalanga - - - -
Limpopo 3 000 4 500 1 600 1 440
Gauteng - - - -
North West / Noordwes 27 000 35 100 9 500 3 320
Total / Totaal 56 000 86 600 22 600 17 680
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and third production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 150 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 650 1 300 350 630
Free State / Vrystaat 20 000 30 000 17 000 17 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 450 250 375
KwaZulu-Natal 4 500 5 400 2 200 2 640
Mpumalanga 5 500 7 700 6 000 6 000
Limpopo 7 000 14 000 3 000 3 750
Gauteng 1 500 2 100 2 500 2 500
North West / Noordwes 5 500 6 050 3 000 2 400
Total / Totaal 45 050 67 150 34 400 35 445
Sorghum
Area planted and third production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap - - - -
Free State / Vrystaat 7 700 26 180 28 000 24 150
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 400 1 600 500 1 650
Mpumalanga 12 000 62 400 10 000 32 500
Limpopo 18 000 50 400 7 000 9 800
Gauteng 750 2 400 - -
North West / Noordwes 3 500 10 500 3 000 2 400
Total / Totaal 42 350 153 480 48 500 70 500

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Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and third production forecast  25 April 2017  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2017

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 14,536 million tons, which is 1,48% or 212 200 tons more than the previous forecast of 14,324 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,629 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,53 t/ha – the highest yield ever.

The estimated maize crop is 87% bigger than the 2016 crop, which was the smallest crop since 2007. The three main maize produ­cing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 82% of the 2017 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,643 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 985 500 ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 8,618 million tons, which is 1,24% or 105 200 tons more than the 8,513 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,25 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 5,917 million tons, which is 1,84% or 107 000 tons more than the 5,810 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 6,00 t/ha.

The yield per ha for the Mpumalanga province was based on scientific and objective results provided by the National Crop Statistics Consortium (NCSC), which is led by the ARC. Please note that the objective results for the Free State and North West provinces will be available in May 2017.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed is 853 470 tons, which is 4,75% or 42 590 tons less than the 896 060 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 635 750 ha, while the expected yield is 1,34 t/ha.

Other crops: The production forecast for soybeans is 1,233 million tons, which is 6,08% or 70 705 tons more than the 1,162 million tons of the previous forecast. It is the largest soybean crop pro­duced in the history of SA. The estimated area planted to soy­beans is 573 950 ha and the expected yield is 2,15 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop remained unchanged at 86 600 tons. The area estimate is 56 000 ha and the expected yield is 1,55 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum also remained unchanged at 153 480 tons, whilst the area estimate for sorghum is 42 350 ha. The expected yield is 3,62 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 67 150 tons, which is 2,87% or 1 875 tons more than the 65 275 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate of dry beans is 45 050 ha, with an expected yield of 1,49 t/ha.


Please note that the fourth production forecast for summer field crops for 2017 will be released on 26 May 2017.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2017

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 14,536 miljoen ton gestel, wat 1,48% of 212 200 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 14,324 miljoen ton. Die skat­ting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,629 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,53 t/ha is – die hoogste opbrengs ooit.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 87% groter as die 2016-oes, wat die kleinste oes was sedert 2007. Die drie belangrikste mielieprodu­serende gebiede, nl. die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 82% van die 2017-oes produseer.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,643 miljoen ha en vir geel­mielies is die oppervlak 985 500 ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 8,618 miljoen ton, wat 1,24% of 105 200 ton meer is as die 8,513 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,25 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 5,917 miljoen ton, wat 1,84% of 107 000 ton meer is as die 5,810 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 6,00 t/ha.

Die opbrengs-bepaling per ha vir die Mpumalanga provinsie is gebaseer op wetenskaplike en objektiewe resultate verstrek deur die Nasionale Oesskattingskonsortium, gelei deur die LNR. Neem kennis dat die objektiewe resultate vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies, in Mei 2017 gerapporteer sal word.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 853 470 ton, wat 4,75% of 42 590 ton minder is as die 896 060 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 635 750 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,34 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting van sojabone is 1,233 miljoen ton, wat 6,08% of 70 705 ton meer is as die 1,162 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Dit is die grootste sojaboon-oes nog geproduseer in die geskiedenis van SA. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant met sojabone is 573 950 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,15 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 86 600 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting is 56 000 ha, terwyl the verwagte op­brengs 1,55 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is ook onveranderd gelaat op 153 480 ton, terwyl die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum 42 350 ha is. Die verwagte opbrengs is 3,62 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 67 150 ton, wat 2,87% of 1 875 ton meer is as die 65 275 ton van die vorige skat­ting. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 45 050 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,49 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die vierde produksieskatting vir somer­gewasse vir 2017, op 26 Mei 2017 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.


Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant  2016  Voorneme om te plant
Crop / Gewas Intentions ¹
Voorneme
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Change
Verandering
2017 2016 2016
Ha Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (A) ÷ (B)
Wheat / Koring 496 350 508 365 1 909 540 -2.36
Malting barley / Moutgars 96 000 88 695 354 065 +8.24
Canola 90 000 68 075 105 460 +32.21
Total / Totaal 682 350 665 135 2 369 065 +2.59

¹  Based on conditions at the middle of April 2017
¹  Gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2017

Wheat / Koring
Intentions to plant  2017  Voorneme om te plant
Province / Provinsie Intentions ¹
Voorneme
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
2017 2016 2016
Ha Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 325 000 323 000 1 098 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 35 500 35 000 266 000
Free State / Vrystaat 90 000 110 000 308 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 900 2 200 11 000
KwaZulu-Natal 7 500 6 500 37 050
Mpumalanga 3 300 2 300 13 800
Limpopo 20 000 17 000 103 700
Gauteng 350 365 2 190
North West / Noordwes 12 800 12 000 69 600
Total / Totaal 496 350 508 365 1 909 540

¹  Based on conditions at the middle of April 2017
¹  Gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2017

Wheat / Koring
Area planted   2005-2017   Oppervlakte beplant

Graph showing wheat area planted from 2005 to 2017 in South Africa

Malting barley / Moutgars
Area planted   2005-2017   Oppervlakte beplant

Graph depicting area planted of malting barley in South Africa from 2005 to 2017

Canola
Area planted   2005-2017   Oppervlakte beplant

Graph depicting area planted of canola from 2005 to 2017 in South Africa

Winter crops / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant winter crops  25 April 2017  Voorneme om wintergewasse aan te plant

Winter cereal crops – 2017

Producers' intentions to plant winter cereals are based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis of the Department of Agricul­ture, Forestry and Fisheries and reflects the position as at the middle of April 2017.

The figures for wheat represent the total number of hectares that are intended to be planted for grain, excluding any hectares that will be planted for fodder and grazing.

Early indications are that producers intend to plant 496 350 ha of wheat for the 2017 season. This is 2,36% or 12 015 ha less than 508 365 ha planted to wheat in 2016. The main producing areas are within the Western Cape with 325 000 ha (65%), followed by the Free State with 90 000 ha (18%) and the Northern Cape with 35 500 ha (7%).

The expected area planted to malting barley is 96 000 ha, which is 8,24% or 7 305 ha more than the 88 695 ha of the previous year. The expected area planted to canola is 90 000 ha, which is 32,21 or 21 925 ha more than the 68 075 ha planted in 2016.


Please note that the intentions to plant winter cereals for 2017 will be released on 25 April 2017.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2017

Produsente se voorneme om wintergewasse te plant is gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise van die Depar­te­ment van Landbou, Bosbou en Visserye en weerspieël die situa­sie teen die middel van April 2017.

Die syfers vir koring verteenwoordig die totale aantal hektare wat werklik beplant gaan word vir graan, uitgesluit alle hektare wat beplant gaan word vir groenvoer en weiding.

Vroeë aanduidings is dat produsente van voorneme is om 496 350 ha koring te plant vir die 2017-produksie-seisoen. Dit is 2,36 of 12 015 ha minder koring aangeplant as in 2016. Die grootste produserende gebiede is in die Wes-Kaap, met 325 000 ha (65%), gevolg deur die Vrystaat met 90 000 ha (18%) en die Noord-Kaap met 35 500 ha (7%).

Die verwagte aanplantings van moutgars is 96 000 ha – 8,24% of 7 305 ha meer as die 88 695 ha van die vorige jaar. Die verwagte aanplantings van canola is 90 000 ha, wat 32,21% of 21 925 ha meer is as die 68 075 ha wat aangeplant was in 2016.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2017 op 26 Julie 2017 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.