Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 26 May 2017

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 643 100 9 466 800 8 618 400 1 014 750 3 408 500 +9.84
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 985 500 6 164 250 5 917 300 932 000 4 370 000 +4.17
Total maize / Totale mielies 2 628 600 15 631 050 14 535 700 1 946 750 7 778 500 +7.54
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 635 750 853 470 853 470 718 500 755 000 -
Soybeans / Sojabone 573 950 1 233 130 1 233 130 502 800 742 000 -
Groundnuts / Grondbone 56 000 86 600 86 600 22 600 17 680 -
Sorghum 42 350 153 480 153 480 48 500 70 500 -
Dry beans / Droëbone 45 050 68 450 67 150 34 400 35 445 +1.94
Total / Totaal 3 981 700 18 026 180 16 929 530 3 273 550 9 399 125 +6.48

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2016/17 = 2017
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2016/17 = 2017

RSA maize / RSA mielies
Production   1911-2017   Produksie

Graph of maize production in South Africa from 1911 until 2017

RSA Soybeans / RSA Sojabone
Production   1971-2017   Produksie

Graph showing soybean production in South Africa from 1971 to 2017
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop / Finale oes
2017 2017 2016 2016
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
200 2 000 2 200 2 000 20 000 22 000 500 4 000 4 500 5 000 40 000 45 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 500 45 000 48 500 45 500 652 500 698 000 3 750 50 000 53 750 35 000 675 000 710 000
Free State / Vrystaat
805 000 355 000 1 160 000 4 910 500 1 917 000 6 827 500 390 000 310 000 700 000 1 190 500 1 023 000 2 213 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
4 400 9 500 13 900 30 800 61 750 92 550 2 000 12 000 14 000 10 000 66 000 76 000
KwaZulu-Natal
50 000 50 000 100 000 330 000 355 000 685 000 38 000 48 000 86 000 215 000 307 000 522 000
Mpumalanga
160 000 330 000 490 000 1 040 000 2 112 000 3 152 000 160 000 330 000 490 000 752 000 1 567 000 2 319 000
Limpopo
40 000 24 000 64 000 292 000 192 000 484 000 31 500 22 000 53 500 178 000 132 000 310 000
Gauteng
60 000 60 000 120 000 372 000 348 000 720 000 49 000 56 000 105 000 207 000 235 000 442 000
North West / Noordwes
520 000 110 000 630 000 2 444 000 506 000 2 950 000 340 000 100 000 440 000 816 000 325 000 1 141 000
Total / Totaal
1 643 100 985 500 2 628 600 9 466 800 6 164 250 15 631 050 1 014 750 932 000 1 946 750 3 408 500 4 370 000 7 778 500
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 250 250 500 600
Free State / Vrystaat 330 000 462 000 400 000 440 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 300 300 - -
Mpumalanga 2 200 2 420 4 000 4 400
Limpopo 90 000 81 000 65 000 48 750
Gauteng 3 000 3 000 4 000 4 000
North West / Noordwes 210 000 304 500 245 000 257 250
Total / Totaal 635 750 853 470 718 500 755 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 700 1 050 800 1 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 10 500 4 000 13 600
Free State / Vrystaat 240 000 480 000 174 000 148 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 850 2 775 1 500 2 100
KwaZulu-Natal 30 500 86 925 28 000 66 000
Mpumalanga 241 000 506 100 240 000 408 000
Limpopo 8 500 28 900 16 000 38 400
Gauteng 25 400 68 580 23 000 50 600
North West / Noordwes 23 000 48 300 15 500 14 100
Total / Totaal 573 950 1 233 130 502 800 742 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 4 000 14 000 5 000 10 000
Free State / Vrystaat 22 000 33 000 6 500 2 920
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal - - - -
Mpumalanga - - - -
Limpopo 3 000 4 500 1 600 1 440
Gauteng - - - -
North West / Noordwes 27 000 35 100 9 500 3 320
Total / Totaal 56 000 86 600 22 600 17 680
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 150 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 650 1 300 350 630
Free State / Vrystaat 20 000 32 000 17 000 17 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 450 250 375
KwaZulu-Natal 4 500 5 400 2 200 2 640
Mpumalanga 5 500 8 250 6 000 6 000
Limpopo 7 000 13 300 3 000 3 750
Gauteng 1 500 2 100 2 500 2 500
North West / Noordwes 5 500 5 500 3 000 2 400
Total / Totaal 45 050 68 450 34 400 35 445
Sorghum
Area planted and fourth production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap - - - -
Free State / Vrystaat 7 700 26 180 28 000 24 150
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 400 1 600 500 1 650
Mpumalanga 12 000 62 400 10 000 32 500
Limpopo 18 000 50 400 7 000 9 800
Gauteng 750 2 400 - -
North West / Noordwes 3 500 10 500 3 000 2 400
Total / Totaal 42 350 153 480 48 500 70 500

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
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  • The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
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  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and fourth production forecast  25 April 2017  Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2017

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 15,631 million tons, which is 7,54% or 1,095 million tons more than the previous forecast of 14,536 million tons. It is the largest maize crop produced in the history of SA. The area estimate for maize is 2,629 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,95 t/ha – also the highest yield ever.

The estimated maize crop is 101% bigger than the 2016 crop, which was the smallest crop since 2007. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 83% of the 2017 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,643 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 985 500 ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 9,467 million tons, which is 9,84% or 848 400 tons more than the 8,618 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,76 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 6,164 million tons, which is 4,17% or 246 950 tons more than the 5,917 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 6,25 t/ha.

The yield per ha for the Free State and North West provinces was based on scientific and objective results provided by the National Crop Statistics Consortium (NCSC), which is led by the ARC.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed remained unchanged at 853 470 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 635 750 ha, while the expected yield is 1,34 t/ha.

Other crops: The production forecast for soybeans also re­main­ed unchanged at 1,233 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 573 950 ha and the expected yield is 2,15 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop remained unchanged at 86 600 tons. The area estimate is 56 000 ha and the expected yield is 1,55 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum also remained unchanged at 153 480 tons, whilst the area estimate for sorghum is 42 350 ha. The expected yield is 3,62 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 68 450 tons, which is 1,94% or 1 300 tons more than the 67 150 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate of dry beans is 45 050 ha, with an expected yield of 1,52 t/ha.


Please note that the fifth production forecast for summer field crops for 2017 will be released on 28 June 2017.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2017

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 15,631 miljoen ton gestel, wat 7,54% of 1,095 miljoen ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 14,536 miljoen ton. Dit is die grootste mielie-oes nog geproduseer in die geskiedenis van SA. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,629 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,95 t/ha is – ook die hoogste opbrengs ooit.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 101% groter as die 2016-oes, wat die kleinste oes was sedert 2007. Die drie belangrikste mielie­pro­du­serende gebiede, nl. die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noord­wes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 83% van die 2017-oes produseer.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,643 miljoen ha en vir geel­mielies is die oppervlak 985 500 ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 9,467 miljoen ton, wat 9,84% of 848 400 ton meer is as die 8,618 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,76 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,164 miljoen ton, wat 4,17% of 246 950 ton meer is as die 5,917 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 6,25 t/ha.

Die opbrengs-bepaling per ha vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies is gebaseer op wetenskaplike en objektiewe resultate verstrek deur die Nasionale Oesskattingskonsortium, gelei deur die LNR.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is onveranderd gelaat op 853 470 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 635 750 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,34 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting van sojabone is ook on­veranderd gelaat op 1,233 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant met sojabone is 573 950 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,15 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 86 600 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting is 56 000 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,55 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is ook onveranderd gelaat op 153 480 ton, terwyl die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum 42 350 ha is. Die verwagte opbrengs is 3,62 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 68 450 ton, wat 1,94% of 1 300 ton meer is as die 67 150 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 45 050 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,52 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die vyfde produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2017, op 28 Junie 2017 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area planted and production estimate  2017  Oppervlakte en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 248 500 463 600 191 225 286 175 +62.00
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 118 150 267 400 74 905 149 565 +78.79
Maize / Mielies 366 650 731 000 266 130 435 740 +67.76

The area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 366 650 ha, which represents an increase of 37,77%, compared to the 266 130 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 731 000 tons, which is 67,76% more than the 435 740 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 64% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape.

Die oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 366 650 ha, wat 'n toename van 37,77% verteen­woordig in vergelyking met die 266 130 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 731 000 ton, wat 67,76% meer is as die 435 740 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 64% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2017   Oppervlakte

Graph showing area of non-commercial maize from 2000 to 2017 in South Africa

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2017   Produksie

Graph showing non-commercial maize production in South Africa from 2000 to 2017