Area planted and fourth production forecast for winter cereals / Oppervlakte en vierde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse
Index of 28 November Indeks
Estimates courtecy of the Crop Estimates Committee
Syfers deur die Oesskattingskomitee verskaf
| Crop / Gewas | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change Verandering |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2017 | 2017 | 2016 | 2016 | ||
| Ha | Tons | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (B) ÷ (C) | |
| Commercial / Kommersieël | ||||||
| Wheat / Koring | 491 600 | 1 581 250 | 1 655 250 | 508 365 | 1 910 000 | -4.47 |
| Malting barley / Moutgars | 91 380 | 281 059 | 281 059 | 88 695 | 355 000 | – |
| Canola | 84 000 | 96 600 | 100 800 | 68 075 | 105 000 | -4.17 |
| Total / Totaal | 666 980 | 1 958 909 | 2 037 109 | 665 135 | 2 370 000 | -3.84 |
Note: Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2017/18 = 2017
Nota: Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2017
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 2017 | 2016 | 2016 | |
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 326 000 | 684 600 | 323 000 | 1 098 200 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 38 000 | 304 000 | 35 000 | 266 000 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 80 000 | 304 000 | 110 000 | 308 460 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 1 900 | 9 500 | 2 200 | 11 000 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | 7 500 | 42 750 | 6 500 | 37 050 |
| Mpumalanga | 4 000 | 25 200 | 2 300 | 13 800 |
| Limpopo | 20 000 | 126 000 | 17 000 | 103 700 |
| Gauteng | 700 | 4 200 | 365 | 2 190 |
| North West / Noordwes | 13 500 | 81 000 | 12 000 | 69 600 |
| Total / Totaal | 491 600 | 1 581 250 | 508 365 | 1 910 000 |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Production 2000-2017 Produksie
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Production 2000-2017 Produksie
Free State / Vrystaat
Production 2000-2017 Produksie
Winter crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and fourth production forecast of winter crops 28 November 2017 Oppervlakteskatting en derde produksieskatting van wintergewasse
2017 production season
Wheat: The expected commercial production of wheat is 1,581 million tons, which is 4,5% or 74 000 tons less than the previous forecast of 1,655 million tons, mainly because the main wheat producing province, namely the Western Cape, experiences dryness. The area estimate for wheat is 491 600 ha, whilst the expected yield is 3,22 t/ha.
The largest decline in production occurred in the Western Cape, namely 8,7% or 65 200 tons, followed by the Free State by 5,0% or 16 000 tons. Thus, the expected production in the Western Cape is 684 600 tons (43%), whereas the Free State and Northern Cape provinces are both expected to produce 304 000 tons (19%).
Other crops: The production forecast for malting barley remained unchanged at 281 059 tons. The area planted with malting barley is 91 380 ha and the expected yield is 3,08 t/ha.
The expected canola crop is 96 600 tons, which is 4,2% or 4 200 tons less than the previous forecast of 100 800 tons. The area estimate for canola is 84 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,15 t/ha.
Please note that the fifth production forecast for winter cereals for 2017 will be released on 19 December 2017.
Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.
2017 produksieseisoen
Koring: Die verwagte kommersiële produksie vir koring is 1,581 miljoen ton, wat 4,5% of 74 000 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 1,655 miljoen ton, hoofsaaklik omdat die grootste koringproduserende provinsie, naamlik die Wes-Kaap, droogte ervaar. Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is 491 600 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,22 t/ha is.
Die grootste afname in produksie het in die Wes-Kaap plaasgevind, naamlik 8,7% of 65 200 ton, gevolg deur die Vrystaat met 5,0% of 16 000 ton. Dus is die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap 684 600 ton (43%), terwyl die Vrystaat en Noord-Kaap provinsies albei verwag om 304 000 ton (19%) te produseer.
Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is onveranderd gelaat op 281 059 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met moutgars is 91 380 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,08 t/ha beloop.
Die verwagte canola-oes is 96 600 ton, wat 4,2% of 4 200 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 100 800 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 84 000 ha, met ʼn verwagte opbrengs van 1,15 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die vyfde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2017 op 19 Desember 2017 vrygestel sal word.
Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.