Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / 28 September 2017

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and final production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final forecast
Finale skatting
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 643 100 9 892 750 9 653 550 1 014 750 3 408 500 +2.48
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 985 500 6 851 250 6 759 925 932 000 4 370 000 +1.35
Total maize / Totale mielies 2 628 600 16 744 000 16 413 475 1 946 750 7 778 500 +2.01
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 635 750 874 595 870 095 718 500 755 000 +0.52
Soybeans / Sojabone 573 950 1 316 370 1 316 370 502 800 742 000 -
Groundnuts / Grondbone 56 000 92 050 90 550 22 600 17 680 +1.66
Sorghum 42 350 151 335 151 335 48 500 70 500 -
Dry beans / Droëbone 45 050 68 525 68 525 34 400 35 445 -
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Total maize / Totaal mielies 366 650 731 000 731 000 266 130 435 740 -
Maize: commercial + non-commercial / Mielies: Kommersieël + nie-kommersieël
Total maize RSA / Totaal mielies RSA 2 995 250 17 475 000 17 144 475 2 212 880 8 214 240 +1.93

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2016/17 = 2017
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2016/17 = 2017

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing total production of maize from 2010 to 2017

White maize / Witmielies
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing white maize production from 2010 to 2017

Yellow maize / Geelmielies
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing yellow maize production from 2010 to 2017
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and final production forecast  2017  Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant Final crop / Finale oes
2017 2017 2016 2016
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
200 2 000 2 200 2 000 20 000 22 000 500 4 000 4 500 5 000 40 000 45 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 500 45 000 48 500 46 200 657 000 703 200 3 750 50 000 53 750 35 000 675 000 710 000
Free State / Vrystaat
805 000 355 000 1 160 000 5 111 750 2 218 750 7 330 500 390 000 310 000 700 000 1 190 500 1 023 000 2 213 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
4 400 9 500 13 900 30 800 66 500 97 300 2 000 12 000 14 000 10 000 66 000 76 000
KwaZulu-Natal
50 000 50 000 100 000 350 000 385 000 735 000 38 000 48 000 86 000 215 000 307 000 522 000
Mpumalanga
160 000 330 000 490 000 1 088 000 2 343 000 3 431 000 160 000 330 000 490 000 752 000 1 567 000 2 319 000
Limpopo
40 000 24 000 64 000 300 000 192 000 492 000 31 500 22 000 53 500 178 000 132 000 310 000
Gauteng
60 000 60 000 120 000 390 000 408 000 798 000 49 000 56 000 105 000 207 000 235 000 442 000
North West / Noordwes
520 000 110 000 630 000 2 574 000 561 000 3 135 000 340 000 100 000 440 000 816 000 325 000 1 141 000
Total / Totaal
1 643 100 985 500 2 628 600 9 892 750 6 851 250 16 744 000 1 014 750 932 000 1 946 750 3 408 500 4 370 000 7 778 500
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and final production estimate  2017  Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 250 375 500 600
Free State / Vrystaat 330 000 478 500 400 000 440 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 300 300 - -
Mpumalanga 2 200 2 420 4 000 4 400
Limpopo 90 000 85 500 65 000 48 750
Gauteng 3 000 3 000 4 000 4 000
North West / Noordwes 210 000 304 500 245 000 257 250
Total / Totaal 635 750 874 595 718 500 755 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and final production estimate  2017  Oppervlakte- en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 700 1 050 800 1 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 3 000 10 500 4 000 13 600
Free State / Vrystaat 240 000 504 000 174 000 148 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 850 2 775 1 500 2 100
KwaZulu-Natal 30 500 89 975 28 000 66 000
Mpumalanga 241 000 554 300 240 000 408 000
Limpopo 8 500 29 750 16 000 38 400
Gauteng 25 400 71 120 23 000 50 600
North West / Noordwes 23 000 52 900 15 500 14 100
Total / Totaal 573 950 1 316 370 502 800 742 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and final production estimate  2017  Oppervlakte en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 4 000 14 000 5 000 10 000
Free State / Vrystaat 22 000 34 100 6 500 2 920
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal - - - -
Mpumalanga - - - -
Limpopo 3 000 4 800 1 600 1 440
Gauteng - - - -
North West / Noordwes 27 000 39 150 9 500 3 320
Total / Totaal 56 000 92 050 22 600 17 680
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and final production estimate  2017  Oppervlakte en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 150 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 650 1 300 350 630
Free State / Vrystaat 20 000 32 000 17 000 17 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 450 250 375
KwaZulu-Natal 4 500 5 400 2 200 2 640
Mpumalanga 5 500 8 525 6 000 6 000
Limpopo 7 000 12 950 3 000 3 750
Gauteng 1 500 2 250 2 500 2 500
North West / Noordwes 5 500 5 500 3 000 2 400
Total / Totaal 45 050 68 525 34 400 35 445
Sorghum
Area planted and final production estimate  2017  Oppervlakte en finale produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2017 2017 2016 2016
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap - - - -
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap - - - -
Free State / Vrystaat 7 700 24 640 28 000 24 150
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap - - - -
KwaZulu-Natal 400 1 520 500 1 650
Mpumalanga 12 000 62 400 10 000 32 500
Limpopo 18 000 50 400 7 000 9 800
Gauteng 750 2 400 - -
North West / Noordwes 3 500 9 975 3 000 2 400
Total / Totaal 42 350 151 335 48 500 70 500

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Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and final production estimate  28 September 2017  Oppervlakte en finale produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2017

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 16 744 million tons, which is 2,01% or 330 525 tons more than the previous forecast of 16 413 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2 629 million ha, while the expected yield is 6 37 t/ha.

The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces produce 83% of the 2017 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is 1 643 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 985 500 ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 9 893 million tons, which is 2 48 % or 239 200 tons more than the 9 654 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 6,02 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 6 851 million tons, which is 1,35% or 91 325 tons more than the 6 760 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 6,95 t/ha.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed increased slightly by 0,52% or 4 500 tons and amounts to 874 595 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 635 750 ha, while the expected yield is 1,38 t/ha.

Other crops: The production forecast for soybeans remained unchanged at 1 316 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 573 950 ha and the expected yield is 2,29 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop increased by 1,66% or 1 500 tons and is 92 050 tons. The area estimate is 56 000 ha and the expected yield is 1,64 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum also remained unchanged at 151 335 tons, whilst the area estimate for sorghum is 42 350 ha. The expected yield is 3,57 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 68 525 tons, the same as the previous forecast. The area estimate of dry beans is 45 050 ha, with an expected yield of 1,52 t/ha.


Please note that the 'intentions of farmers' to plant summer grain crops for 2018 will be released on 26 October 2017.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2017

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 16 744 miljoen ton gestel, wat 2,01% of 330 525 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 16 413 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2 629 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 6 37 t/ha is.

Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies produseer 83% van die 2017-oes.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1 643 miljoen ha en vir geel­mielies is die oppervlak 985 500 ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 9 893 miljoen ton, wat 2,48% of 239 200 ton meer is as die 9 654 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 6,02 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6 851 miljoen ton, wat 1,35% of 91 325 ton meer is as die 6 760 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 6,95 t/ha.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad het effens gestyg met 0,52% of 4 500 ton en beloop 874 595 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 635 750 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,38 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting van sojabone is on­ver­anderd gelaat op 1 316 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant met sojabone is 573 950 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,29 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is met 1,66% of 1 500 ton verhoog en beloop 92 050 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting is 56 000 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,64 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is ook onveranderd gelaat op 151 335 ton, terwyl die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum 42 350 ha is. Die verwagte opbrengs is 3,57 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 68 525 ton, dieselfde as die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 45 050 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,52 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die 'voorneme van produsente om somergraangewasse te plant' vir 2018, op 26 Oktober 2017 vry­gestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area planted and production estimate  2017  Oppervlakte en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 248 500 463 600 191 225 286 175 +62.00
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 118 150 267 400 74 905 149 565 +78.79
Maize / Mielies 366 650 731 000 266 130 435 740 +67.76

The area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 366 650 ha, which represents an increase of 37,77%, compared to the 266 130 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 731 000 tons, which is 67,76% more than the 435 740 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 64% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape.

Die oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 366 650 ha, wat 'n toename van 37,77% verteen­woordig in vergelyking met die 266 130 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 731 000 ton, wat 67,76% meer is as die 435 740 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 64% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2017   Oppervlakte

Graph showing area of non-commercial maize from 2000 to 2017 in South Africa

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2017   Produksie

Graph showing non-commercial maize production in South Africa from 2000 to 2017

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Revised area planted and second production forecast  2017  Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2017 2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  Wheat / Koring 491 600 1 716 650 1 603 700 508 365 1 910 000 +7.04
  Malting barley / Moutgars 91 380 268 309 265 990 88 695 355 000 +0.87
Canola 84 000 100 800 109 200 68 075 105 000 -7.69

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2017/18 = 2017
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2017

Wheat / Koring
Revised area planted and second production forecast  2017  Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2017 2017 2017 2016 2016
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 326 000 815 000 861 250 323 000 1 098 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 38 000 300 200 285 000 35 000 266 000
Free State / Vrystaat 80 000 320 000 182 000 110 000 308 460
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 900 9 500 9 500 2 200 11 000
KwaZulu-Natal 7 500 42 750 42 750 6 500 37 050
Mpumalanga 4 000 24 000 19 800 2 300 13 800
Limpopo 20 000 120 000 120 000 17 000 103 700
Gauteng 700 4 200 2 400 365 2 190
North West / Noordwes 13 500 81 000 81 000 12 000 69 600
Total / Totaal 491 600 1 716 650 1 603 700 508 365 1 910 000

Wheat / Koring
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing production of wheat from 2010 to 2017 in South Africa

Malting barley / Moutgars
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph depicting production of malting barley in South Africa from 2010 to 2017

Canola
Production   2010-2017   Produksie

Graph showing production of canola from 2010 to 2017 in South Africa

Winter crops / Wintergewasse
Revised area estimate and second production forecast of winter crops  28 September 2017  Hersiene oppervlakteskatting en tweede produksieskatting van wintergewasse

Winter cereal crops

The expected commercial production of wheat is 1 717 million tons, which is 7,04% or 112 950 tons more than the previous forecast of 1 604 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,49 t/ha.

The expected production in the Western Cape is 815 000 tons (47%), in the Free State 320 000 tons (19%) and in the Northern Cape 300 200 tons (17%).

The area estimate for wheat was revised to 491 600 ha, which is 12 000 ha more than the 479 600 ha of the previous estimate. The reason for the increase in the area planted was because of an upward revision in the area of the Free State, from 70 000 ha to 80 000 ha, followed by the Western Cape, from 325 000 ha to 326 000 ha, Mpumalanga, from 3 300 ha to 4 000 ha and Gauteng, from 400 ha to 700 ha.

Other crops: The production forecast for malting barley is 268 309 tons, which is 0,87% or 2 319 tons more than the previous forecast of 265 990 tons. The area planted estimate was increased by 0,14% or 130 ha to 91 380 ha, while the expected yield is 2,94 t/ha.

The expected canola crop was adjusted downwards by 7,69% or 8 400 tons, from 109 200 tons to 100 800 tons. The area estimate for canola is 84 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,20 t/ha.


Please note that the third production forecast for winter cereals for 2017 will be released on 26 October 2017.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse

Die verwagte kommersiële produksie vir koring is 1 717 miljoen ton, wat 7,04% of 112 950 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1 604 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,49 t/ha is.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 815 000 ton (47%), in die Vrystaat 320 000 ton (19%) en in die Noord-Kaap 300 200 ton (17%).

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is hersien na 491 600 ha, wat 12 000 ha meer is as die 479 600 ha van die vorige skatting. Die rede vir die toename in die oppervlakte beplant was as gevolg van 'n opwaartse aanpassing in die oppervlakte van die Vrystaat, vanaf 70 000 ha tot 80 000 ha, gevolg deur die Wes-Kaap, vanaf 325 000 ha tot 326 000 ha, Mpumalanga, vanaf 3 300 ha tot 4 000 ha en Gauteng, vanaf 400 ha tot 700 ha.

Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is 268 309 ton, wat 0,87% of 2 319 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 265 990 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant skatting is opwaarts aangepas met 0,14% of 130 ha, na 91 380 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 2,94 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is afwaarts aangepas met 7,69% of 8 400 ton, vanaf 109 200 ton tot 100 800 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir kanola is 84 000 ha, met ʼn verwagte opbrengs van 1,20 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die derde produksieskatting vir winter­gewasse vir 2017 op 26 Oktober 2017 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.