Statistics & Estimates / Crop Estimates / Cec 24 November 2016

Area planted estimate and fourth production forecast of winter crops 2016

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Area planted estimate and fourth production forecast  2016  Oppervlakte- en vierde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2016 2016 2016 2015 2015
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  Wheat / Koring 508 365 1 766 280 1 733 980 482 150 1 440 000 +1.9
  Malting barley / Moutgars 88 695 309 815 299 895 93 730 332 000 +3.3
Canola 68 075 112 260 108 860 78 050 93 000 +3.1
Total / Totaal 665 135 2 188 355 2 142 735 653 930 1 865 000 +2.1

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2016/17 = 2016
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2016/17 = 2016

Wheat / Koring
Area planted estimate and fourth production forecast  2016  Oppervlakte- en vierde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2016 2016 2015 2015
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 323 000 969 000 310 000 697 500
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 35 000 252 000 36 000 259 200
Free State / Vrystaat 110 000 308 000 80 000 176 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 2 200 11 440 3 100 14 880
KwaZulu-Natal 6 500 37 050 7 300 41 000
Mpumalanga 2 300 13 800 3 500 19 500
Limpopo 17 000 102 000 27 000 144 420
Gauteng 365 2 190 250 1 500
North West / Noordwes 12 000 70 800 15 000 85 500
Total / Totaal 508 365 1 766 280 482 150 1 440 000

Wheat – RSA – Koring
Area planted and production   1986-2016   Oppervlakte beplant en produksie

Graph showing area planted to wheat and production from 1986 to 2016 in South Africa

Wheat – Western Cape / Wes-Kaap – Koring
Area planted and production   1986-2016   Oppervlakte beplant en produksie

Graph showing area planted and production of wheat in Western Cape, South Africa from 1986 to 2016

Wheat – Free State / Vrystaat – Koring
Area planted and production   1986-2016   Oppervlakte beplant en produksie

Graph showing production and area planted to wheat in the Free State, South Africa, from 1986 to 2016

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and fourth production forecast  24 November 2016  Oppervlakte- en vierde produksieskatting

Wheat

The expected commercial production of wheat is 1,766 million tons, which is 1,9% or 32 300 tons more than the previous fore­cast of 1,734 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,47 t/ha.

The expected production in the Western Cape is 969 000 tons (55%), in the Free State 308 000 tons (17%) and in the Northern Cape 252 000 tons (14%).

The area estimate for wheat 508 365 ha.

Other crops: The production forecast for malting barley is 309 815 tons, which is 3,3% more than the previous forecast of 299 895 tons. The area planted is estimated at 88 695 ha, while the ex­pected yield is 3,49 t/ha.

The expected canola crop was adjusted upwards by 3 400 tons to 112 260 tons. The area estimate for canola is 68 075 ha, with an expected yield of 1,65 t/ha.


Please note that the fifth production forecast for winter cereals for 2016 will be released on 20 December 2016.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Koring

Die verwagte kommersiële produksie vir koring is 1,766 miljoen ton, wat 1,9% of 32 300 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1,734 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,47 t/ha is.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 969 000 ton (55%), in die Vrystaat 308 000 ton (17%) en in die Noord-Kaap 252 000 ton (14%).

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is 508 365 ha.

Ander gewasse: Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is 309 815 ton, wat 3,3% meer is as die vorige skatting van 299 895 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant is beraam op 88 695 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,49 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is opwaarts aangepas met 3 400 ton na 112 260 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir kanola is 68 075 ha, met ʼn verwagte opbrengs van 1,65 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die vyfde produksieskatting vir win­ter­gewasse vir 2016 op 20 Desember 2016 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

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