INCOME & COST BUDGETS  |  Summer Crops 2020/2021

North West – irrigation

Income and cost budgets for maize, soybeans, sunflower and sorghum for North West (Brits region)
Area North West: Brits, Northam and Koedoeskop
Crop Maize Soybeans Sunlower Sorghum
Production system Irrigation

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 12.00 3.80 3.00 7.00
SAFEX simulated price / producer price: 2021 R/ton 2 633 5 897 5 979 2 926
Total deductions R/ton 229 143 258 63
– Transport differential R/ton 166 195
– Grade differential R/ton
– Marketing and handling R/ton 63 143 63 63
Price premiums R/ton
Net farm gate price R/ton 2 44 5 754 5 721 2 863
Gross income R/ha R28 845 R21 866 R17 162 R20 044

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha 850 850
Crop insurance R/ha 981 1 203 412 510
Fertilizer R/ha 6 123 2 160 1 808 3 323
Lime R/ha 510 332
Seed R/ha 3 869 1 881 973 704
Fuel R/ha 1 117 659 964 1 061
Herbicide R/ha 895 1 090 243 714
Insecticide / Fungicides R/ha 502 66 681 836
Marketing costs R/ha
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 595 521 513 670
Casual labour R/ha 205 109 139
Aerial spray R/ha 220
Irrigation electricity R/ha 3 231 2 526 2 056 2 644
Water R/ha 2 229 1 743 1 419 1 824
Other expenditure: scheduling/irrigation equipment R&M R/ha 388 411 388 411
Total variable expenditure R/ha R21 496 R13 111 R9 566 R13 387
Total variable expenditure R/ton R1 791 R3 450 R3 189 R1 912
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R7 349 R8 755 R7 596 R6 657
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R612 R2 304 R2 532 R951
Break-even yield T/ha 8.94 2.28 1.67 4.67
Break-even price R/ton R1 791 R3 450 R3 189 R1 912
Source: BFAP, GSA, NWK and individual farmers – 2020.
Gross margin comparison – baseline: North West (Brits)
Figure 3.3: Gross margin comparison – Baseline: North West (Brits region) irrigation

Gross margin per hectare: North West (Brits)

Maize sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 10.50 11.00 11.50 12.00 12.50 13.00 13.50
R2 004 -456 546 1 548 2 549 3 551 4 553 5 555
R2 104 594 1 646 2 698 3 749 4 801 5 853 6 905
R2 204 1 644 2 746 3 848 4 949 6 051 7 153 8 255
R2 304 2 694 3 846 4 998 6 149 7 301 8 453 9 605
R2 404 3 744 4 946 6 148 7 349 8 551 9 753 10 955
R2 504 4 794 6 046 7 298 8 549 9 801 11 053 12 305
R2 604 5 844 7 146 8 448 9 749 11 051 12 353 13 655
R2 704 6 894 8 246 9 598 10 949 12 301 13 653 15 005
R2 804 7 944 9 346 10 748 12 149 13 551 14 953 16 355
Soybeans sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.80 4.00 4.25 4.50
R5 354 2 952 4 290 5 629 7 235 8 306 9 645 10 983
R5 454 3 252 4 615 5 979 7 615 8 706 10 070 11 433
R5 554 3 552 4 940 6 329 7 995 9 106 10 495 11 883
R5 654 3 852 5 265 6 679 8 375 9 506 10 920 12 333
R5 754 4 152 5 590 7 029 8 755 9 906 11 345 12 783
R5 854 4 452 5 915 7 379 9 135 10 306 11 770 13 233
R5 954 4 752 6 240 7 729 9 515 10 706 12 195 13 683
R6 054 5 052 6 565 8 079 9 895 11 106 12 620 14 133
R6 154 5 352 6 890 8 429 10 275 11 506 13 045 14 583
Sunflower sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.30 2.55 2.80 3.00 3.30 3.55 3.80
R5 321 2 672 4 002 5 332 6 396 7 993 9 323 10 653
R5 421 2 902 4 257 5 612 6 696 8 323 9 678 11 033
R5 521 3 132 4 512 5 892 6 996 8 653 10 033 11 413
R5 621 3 362 4 767 6 172 7 296 8 983 10 338 11 793
R5 721 3 592 5 022 6 452 7 596 9 313 10 743 12 173
R5 821 3 822 5 277 6 732 7 896 9 743 11 098 12 553
R5 921 4 052 5 532 7 012 8 196 9 973 11 453 12 933
R6 021 4 282 5 787 7 292 8 496 10 303 11 808 13 313
R6 121 4 512 6 042 7 572 8 796 10 633 12 163 13 693
Soybeans margin above/below maize
Yield Price (R/ton)
R5 454 R5 554 R5 654 R5 754 R5 854 R5 954 R6 054
2.75 -5 461 -5 186 -4 911 -4 636 -4 361 -4 086 -3 811
3.00 -4 098 -3 798 -3 498 -3 198 -2 898 -2 598 -2 298
3.25 -2 734 -2 409 -2 084 -1 759 -1 434 -1 109 -784
3.50 -1 370 -1 020 -670 -320 30 380 730
3.80 266 646 1 026 1 406 1 786 2 166 2 546
4.00 1 357 1 757 2 157 2 557 2 957 3 357 3 757
4.25 2 720 3 145 3 570 3 995 4 420 4 845 5 270
4.50 4 084 4 534 4 984 5 434 5 884 6 334 6 784
4.75 5 447 5 922 6 397 6 872 7 347 7 822 8 297

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • Fertiliser assumptions (kg/ha): Maize N:P:K – 240:42:48. Soybeans N:P:K – 14:36:42. Sunflower N:P:K – 60:15:24. Grain sorghum N:P:K – 140:25:28.
  • Other macro- and microelements such as calcium, magnesium and zinc are included in the fertiliser costs.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The cost for soybean seed reflects a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • There will be large fluctuations for insurance cost (hail) based on the associated risk in respective areas. It is advised that producers adjust this cost based on their individual premiums.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for.
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