Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2007 November

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated November 2007)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
Requirements / Sales 80 000 60 000 40 000 1 414 338 1 635 525 1 500 000
Available / Produced 101 000 87 700 111 000 572 231 608 370 508 759
Shortage / Imports -21 000 -27 000 -71 000 842 107 1 027 155 991 241

2007/2008 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
AFMA Members 78 284 37 841 28 216 907 582 1 063 945 1 127 178
Non-AFMA Members 1 716 22 129 11 784 506 756 571 580 371 822
Total 80 000 60 000 40 000 1 414 338 1 635 525 1 500 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007
2007/2008 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
Sunflower oilcake 216 605 5.02 169 172 3.79 160 370 3.24
Groundnuts oilcake 2 636 0.06 316 0.01 0 0.00
Soy oilcake 473 885 10.98 653 463 14.64 746 016 15.05
Full fat soy 147 702 3.43 183 047 4.10 164 564 3.32
Cotton oilcake 50 865 1.18 35 590 0.80 27 336 0.55
Full fat cotton 6 454 0.15 10 241 0.23 11 952 0.24
Canola oilcake 5 344 0.12 4 330 0.10 1 231 0.02
Full fat canola 1 218 0.03 3 757 0.08 1 327 0.03
Total oilcake 907 582 21 04 1 063 945 24.67 1 127 178 22.74
Total maize products 2 387 611 53.51 2 428 502 54.05 2 589 157 52.24
Total fish-meal 78 284 1.82 37 871 0.88 28 216 0.57

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007
AFMA raw material usage April 2007 to March 2008.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
RSA 95 000 75 000 105 000
Namibia 6 000 12 000 6 000
Total 101 000 87 000 111 000 -21 000 -27 000 -71 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2007/2008 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2005/2006-2007/2008)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 1 391 2 515 1 659
Sunflower oilcake 267 120 199 500 178 500 22 144 68 808
Soy cake 37 200 113 440 272 000 635 173 808 051
– Full fat 172 800 189 840 4 504 3 949
– Beans
Cotton cake 37 500 32 500 32 500 121 947 99 617
– Full fat 35 000 35 000 52 684 39 766
Other 5 655 6 965
Canola 17 270 21 175 14 300
Lupins 3 950 14 400 9 800
Copra & Palm Kernel
Total 572 231 608 370 508 759 842 107 1 027 156 991 242

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007
2007/2008 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2003/2004-2007/2008 marketing season)
Crop 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
White maize 6 371 000 5 805 000 6 540 700 4 187 400 4 127 400
Yellow maize 3 019 000 3 677 000 4 909 300 2 430 600 2 774 500
Sorghum 219 700 373 000 260 000 96 000 165 875
Groundnuts 60 000 115 000 64 000 74 000 58 000
Sunflower 642 075 648 000 620 000 520 000 300 000
Soybeans 136 500 220 000 272 500 424 000 205 000
Cotton seed ¹ 29 278 50 169 37 804 25 962 19 715
Wheat 1 428 150 1 680 000 1 905 000 2 121 800 1 714 950
Sweet lupins 4 040 3 950 14 100 14 400 11 200
Canola 40 770 32 000 44 200 38 050 33 200

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Third production estimate for winter crops (24 October 2007) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2007/2008 marketing year (2 October 2007).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2007/2008 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 1 630 000 10 000 4 127 400 5 767 400
Yellow maize 440 000 1 650 000 2 774 500 4 864 500
Sorghum 76 000 40 000 165 875 281 875
Groundnuts 16 000 20 000 58 000 94 000
Sunflower 162 000 8 000 300 000 470 000
Soybeans 132 000 80 000 205 000 417 000
Wheat 453 000 1 450 000 1 714 950 3 617 950
Canola 9 800 0 33 200 42 800

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2002/2003-2007/2008 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
White maize 2 234 350 1 842 000 1 700 000 1 033 000 1 624 800 1 595 000
Yellow maize 950 350 1 001 300 1 110 000 567 200 927 000 1 074 000
Sorghum 95 100 130 000 86 500 37 150 69 000 80 000
Groundnuts 49 850 71 500 40 000 48 550 40 770 50 000
Sunflower 605 750 530 000 460 000 472 480 316 350 520 000
Soybeans 100 150 135 000 150 000 240 570 183 000 150 000
Wheat 941 100 748 000 830 000 805 000 764 800 632 000
Sweet lupins 11 000 10 100 7 100 14 100 16 000 14 000
Canola 33 000 44 200 44 250 40 200 34 700 33 200
Total 5 020 650 4 512 100 4 427 850 3 258 250 3 976 420 4 148 200

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; First intentions to plant for summer crops 2007/2008 production season (27 September 2007). Third estimate to plant winter crops 2006/2007 production season (24 October 2007).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September