2025/2026 ICB: Dryland soybean and maize in KwaZulu-Natal

2025/2026 SUMMER CROPS  //  Income and Cost Budgets

KwaZulu-Natal – dryland

Income and cost budgets for maize and soybeans for KwaZulu-Natal (Bloedrivier region)
KwaZulu-Natal: Bloedrivier
Crop Maize Soybeans
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 7.00 2.65
SAFEX simulated price / producer price: 2026 R/ton 3 326 7 085
Total deductions R/ton 534 367
– Transport differential R/ton 452 236
– Grade differential R/ton 20
– Handling and commission R/ton 62 61
– Seed breeding and technology levy R/ton 70
Price premiums R/ton
Net farm gate price R/ton 2 792 6 718
Gross income R/ha R19 546 R17 802

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 743 2 172
Fertilizer R/ha 5 723 2 566
Lime R/ha 653
Seed R/ha 4 455 2 046
Fuel R/ha 1 380 837
Herbicide R/ha 2 049 1 493
Insecticide / Fungicides R/ha 722 937
Marketing costs R/ha
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 790 497
Casual labour R/ha 451
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha
Total variable expenditure R/ha R16 965 R10 548
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 424 R3 980
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R2 581 R7 254
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R369 R2 737
Break-even yield T/ha 5.73 1.52
Break-even price R/ton R2 414 R4 005
Source: BFAP, GSA and individual farmers – 2025
Gross margin comparison – baseline: KwaZulu-Natal (Bloedrivier region)
Gross margin comparison - Baseline: KwaZulu-Natal (Bloedrivier Region)

Gross margin per hectare: KwaZulu-Natal (Bloedrivier)

Maize sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.00 7.50 8.00 8.50
R2 392 -3 807 -2 611 -1 415 -219 977 2 173 3 369
R2 492 -3 257 -2 011 -765 481 1 727 2 973 4 219
R2 592 -2 707 -1 411 -115 1 181 2 477 3 773 5 069
R2 692 -2 157 -811 535 1 881 3 227 4 573 5 919
R2 792 -1 607 -211 1 185 2 581 3 977 5 373 6 769
R2 892 -1 057 389 1 835 3 281 4 727 6 173 7 619
R2 992 -507 989 2 485 3 981 5 477 6 973 8 469
R3 092 43 1 589 3 135 4 681 6 227 7 773 9 319
R3 192 593 2 189 3 785 5 381 6 977 8 573 10 169
Soybeans sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.80 2.05 2.30 2.65 3.00 3.25 3.50
R6 318 824 2 404 3 983 6 194 8 405 9 985 11 564
R6 418 1 004 2 609 4 213 6 459 8 705 10 310 11 914
R6 518 1 184 2 814 4 443 6 724 9 005 10 635 12 264
R6 618 1 364 3 019 4 673 6 989 9 305 10 960 12 614
R6 718 1 544 3 224 4 903 7 254 9 605 11 285 12 964
R6 818 1 724 3 429 5 133 7 519 9 905 11 610 13 314
R6 918 1 904 3 634 5 363 7 784 10 205 11 935 13 664
R7 018 2 084 3 839 5 593 8 049 10 505 12 260 14 014
R7 118 2 264 4 044 5 823 8 314 10 805 12 585 14 364
Soybeans margin above/below maize
Yield Price (R/ton)
R6 418 R6 518 R6 618 R6 718 R6 818 R6 918 R7 018
1.65 -2 539 -2 374 -2 209 -2 044 -1 879 -1 714 -1 549
1.90 -935 -745 -555 -365 -175 15 205
2.15 669 884 1 099 1 314 1 529 1 744 1 959
2.40 2 274 2 514 2 754 2 994 3 234 3 474 3 714
2.65 3 878 4 143 4 408 4 673 4 938 5 203 5 468
2.90 5 483 5 773 6 063 6 353 6 643 6 933 7 223
3.15 7 087 7 402 7 717 8 032 8 347 8 662 8 977
3.40 8 691 9 031 9 371 9 711 10 051 10 391 10 731
3.65 10 296 10 661 11 026 11 391 11 756 12 121 12 486

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • Other macro- and microelements such as calcium, magnesium and zinc are included in the fertiliser costs.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The cost for soybean seed reflects a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • There will be large fluctuations for insurance cost (hail) based on the associated risk in respective areas. It is advised that producers adjust this cost based on their individual premiums.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for.
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