Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2011 November

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated November 2011)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
Requirements / Sales 77 500 58 000 45 000 1 664 927 1 743 137 1 867 490
Available / Produced 82 500 99 500 97 000 565 181 701 030 624 912
Shortage / Imports -5 000 -41 500 -52 000 1 099 746 1 042 107 1 232 578

2010/2011 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
AFMA Members 74 345 57 680 30 754 1 093 339 1 218 476 1 255 258
Non-AFMA Members 3 155 320 14 246 571 588 524 661 602 232
Total 77 500 58 000 45 000 1 664 927 1 743 137 1 857 490

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
2010/2011 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
Sunflower oilcake 248 884 4.93 313 922 5.91 256 841 4.64
Groundnuts oilcake 1 0.00 0 0.00 138 0.00
Soy oilcake 716 143 14.18 701 055 13.19 815 958 14.75
Full fat soy 92 474 1.83 164 840 3.10 142 758 2.58
Cottonseed oilcake 19 886 0.39 18 739 0.35 17 142 0.31
Full fat cottonseed 4 902 0.10 4 779 0.09 5 704 0.10
Canola oilcake 2 147 0.04 2 834 0.05 5 974 0.11
Full fat canola 31 0.00 618 0.01 1 056 0.02
Copra and Palm Kernel 4 887 0.10 7 655 0.14 7 425 0.13
Maize Germ Oilcake 3 984 0.08 4 033 0.08 2 261 0.04
Total oilcake 1 093 339 21.65 1 218 476 22.93 1 255 258 22.69
Total maize products 2 844 879 52.46 2 900 624 54.58 3 034 924 54.87
Total fish-meal 74 345 1.47 57 680 1.09 30 754 0.56

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
AFMA raw material usage April 2010 to March 2011.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
RSA 75 000 98 000 80 000
Namibia ¹ 7 500 1 500 17 000
Total 82 500 99 500 97 000 -5 000 -41 500 -52 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2010/2011 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2008/2009-2010/2011)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 1 0 3 1
Sunflower oilcake 296 520 364 140 249 984 68 234 84 906 103 062
Soy cake 103 520 152 000 925 270 829 000 989 112
– Full fat 88 000 148 320 149 600 4 302
– Beans 93 600 2 800 357
Cotton cake 51 500 20 000 7 500 81 778 88 000 87 354
– Full fat 30 000 25 000 20 151 33 500 17 928
Other 11 3 900 34 764
Canola 21 560 17 050 22 825
Lupins 14 000 18 000 18 000
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 565 181 701 030 624 912 1 099 746 1 042 106 1 232 578

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2010/2011
2010/2011 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2007/2008-2011/2012 marketing season)
Crop 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
White maize 4 315 000 7 480 000 6 775 000 7 822 400 6 199 900
Yellow maize 2 810 000 5 220 000 5 275 000 5 220 600 4 426 500
Sorghum 176 000 255 000 276 500 220 093 155 430
Groundnuts 58 000 88 800 99 500 87 880 68 295
Sunflower 300 000 872 000 801 000 516 265 861 770
Soybeans 205 000 282 000 516 000 560 950 708 750
Cotton seed ¹ 19 525 17 378 15 658 14 793 30 475
Wheat 1 905 000 2 130 000 1 958 000 1 430 000 1 841 630
Canola 38 150 30 800 40 350 36 900 57 340

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Third production forecast for winter crops (25 October 2011) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2011/2012 marketing year (25 October 2011).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2010/2011 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 1 609 000 20 000 6 181 900 7 810 900
Yellow maize 727 000 0 4 426 500 5 153 500
Sorghum 58 000 44 000 155 430 257 430
Groundnuts 28 000 12 000 68 295 108 295
Sunflower 48 000 5 000 861 770 914 770
Soybeans 103 000 1 000 708 750 812 750
Wheat 486 000 1 400 000 1 841 630 3 727 630
Canola 4 000 0 57 340 61 340

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2006/2007-2011/2012 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
White maize 1 624 800 1 737 000 1 489 000 1 719 700 1 418 300 1 564 200
Yellow maize 927 000 1 062 000 938 500 1 022 700 954 000 1 038 000
Sorghum 69 000 86 800 85 500 86 675 69 200 47 200
Groundnuts 40 770 54 200 54 550 57 450 55 150 58 000
Sunflower 316 350 564 300 635 800 397 700 642 700 555 000
Soybeans 183 000 165 400 237 750 311 450 418 000 460 000
Wheat 764 800 632 000 748 000 642 500 558 100 604 700
Canola 32 000 33 260 34 000 35 060 34 820 43 510
Total 3 957 720 4 334 960 4 223 100 4 273 235 4 150 270 4 370 610

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Intentions to plant summer crops 2011/2012 production season (25 October 2011). Third forecast to plant winter crops 2011 production season (25 October 2011).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September