Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated March 2011)

Table 1

Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2008/2009	2009/2010	2010/2011	2008/2009	2009/2010	2010/2011
Requirements / Sales	77 500	58 000	50 000	1 664 927	1 743 137	1 700 000
Available / Produced	82 500	99 500	103 500	565 181	701 030	747 441
Shortage / Imports	-5 000	-41 500	-53 500	1 099 746	1 042 107	952 559

2010/2011 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010

Table 2

Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2008/2009	2009/2010	2010/2011	2008/2009	2009/2010	2010/2011
AFMA Members	74 345	57 680	36 563	1 093 339	1 218 476	1 279 110
Non-AFMA Members	3 155	320	13 437	571 588	524 661	420 890
Total	77 500	58 000	50 000	1 664 927	1 743 137	1 700 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
2010/2011 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3

The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)

	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials	2008/2009		2009/2010		2010/2011
Sunflower oilcake	248 884	4.93	313 922	5.91	287 574	5.21
Groundnuts oilcake	1	0.00	0	0.00	60	0.00
Soy oilcake	716 143	14.18	701 055	13.19	774 906	14.05
Full fat soy	92 474	1.83	164 840	3.10	172 994	3.14
Cottonseed oilcake	19 886	0.39	18 739	0.35	19 244	0.35
Full fat cottonseed	4 902	0.10	4 779	0.09	6 120	0.11
Canola oilcake	2 147	0.04	2 834	0.05	4 818	0.09
Full fat canola	31	0.00	618	0.01	1 056	0.02
Copra and Palm kernel	4 887	0.10	7 655	0.14	7 864	0.14
Maize germ oilcake	3 984	0.08	4 033	0.08	4 474	0.08
Total oilcake	1 093 339	21.65	1 218 476	22.93	1 279 110	23.19
Total maize products	2 844 879	52.46	2 900 624	54.58	2 997 418	54.33
Total fishmeal	74 345	1.47	57 680	1.09	36 563	0.66

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
AFMA raw material usage April 2010 to March 2011.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4

Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)

	Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton)			Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year	2008/2009	2009/2010	2010/2011	2008/2009	2009/2010	2010/2011
RSA	75 000	98 000	90 000
Namibia ¹	7 500	1 500	13 500
Total	82 500	99 500	103 500	-5 000	-41 500	-53 500

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2010/2011 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5

Oilcake: local production and imports   (2008/2009-2010/2011)

	Local Oilcake production (ton)			Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year	2008/2009	2009/2010	2010/2011	2008/2009	2009/2010	2010/2011
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake	1	0	0
Sunflower oilcake	296 520	364 140	288 021	68 234	84 906
Soy cake		103 520	387 360	925 270	829 000
– Full fat	88 000	148 320		4 302
– Beans	93 600				2 800
Cotton cake	51 500	20 000	32 500	81 778	88 000
– Full fat		30 000		20 151	33 500
Other				11	3 900
Canola	21 560	17 050	21 560
Lupins	14 000	18 000	18 000
Copra and Palm kernel
Total	565 181	701 030	747 441	1 099 746	1 042 106	952 559

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2009/2010
2010/2011 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6

Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2007/2008-2011/2012 marketing season)

Crop	2007/2008	2008/2009	2009/2010	2010/2011	2011/2012
White maize	4 315 000	7 480 000	6 775 000	7 822 400	6 364 000
Yellow maize	2 810 000	5 220 000	5 275 000	5 220 600	4 680 000
Sorghum	176 000	255 000	276 500	220 093	209 300
Groundnuts	58 000	88 800	99 500	87 880	84 525
Sunflower	300 000	872 000	801 000	516 265	808 420
Soybeans	205 000	282 000	516 000	560 950	729 050
Cotton seed ¹	19 525	17 378	15 658	14 793	36 348
Wheat	1 905 000	2 130 000	1 958 000	1 464 970
Canola	38 150	30 800	40 350	37 950

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Seventh production forecast for winter crops (24 February 2011) and first crop estimate for summer crops for the 2011/2012 marketing year (24 February 2011).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7

Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2010/2011 marketing season)

Crop	Opening stock	Imports to RSA	Production	Total supply
White maize	2 169 000	0	6 364 000	8 533 000
Yellow maize	637 000	0	4 680 000	5 317 000
Sorghum	42 000	5 000	209 300	256 300
Groundnuts	21 000	3 000	84 525	108 525
Sunflower	48 000	11 000	808 420	867 420
Soybeans	105 000	3 000	729 050	837 050
Wheat	579 000	1 700 000	1 464 970	3 743 970
Canola	10 000	0	37 950	47 950

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8

Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2005/2006-2010/2011 production season)

	Ha Planted
Crop	2005/2006	2006/2007	2007/2008	2008/2009	2009/2010	2010/2011
White maize	1 033 000	1 624 800	1 737 000	1 489 000	1 719 700	1 418 300
Yellow maize	567 200	927 000	1 062 000	938 500	1 022 700	965 000
Sorghum	37 150	69 000	86 800	85 500	86 675	70 200
Groundnuts	48 550	40 770	54 200	54 550	57 450	54 650
Sunflower	472 480	316 350	564 300	635 800	397 700	619 700
Soybeans	240 570	183 000	165 400	237 750	311 450	418 000
Wheat	805 000	764 800	632 000	748 000	642 500	558 100
Canola	40 200	32 000	33 260	34 000	35 060	34 820
Total	3 244 150	3 957 720	4 334 960	4 223 100	4 273 235	4 138 770

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; First forecast to plant summer crops 2011/2012 production season (24 February 2011). Seventh production forecast for winter crops 2010 production season (24 February 2011).

Table 9

Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops

Crops	Season
White maize	May-April
Yellow maize	May-April
Sorghum	April-March
Groundnuts	March-February
Sunflower	January-December
Soybeans	January-December
Wheat	October-September