Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2011 March

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated March 2011)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
Requirements / Sales 77 500 58 000 50 000 1 664 927 1 743 137 1 700 000
Available / Produced 82 500 99 500 103 500 565 181 701 030 747 441
Shortage / Imports -5 000 -41 500 -53 500 1 099 746 1 042 107 952 559

2010/2011 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
AFMA Members 74 345 57 680 36 563 1 093 339 1 218 476 1 279 110
Non-AFMA Members 3 155 320 13 437 571 588 524 661 420 890
Total 77 500 58 000 50 000 1 664 927 1 743 137 1 700 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
2010/2011 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
Sunflower oilcake 248 884 4.93 313 922 5.91 287 574 5.21
Groundnuts oilcake 1 0.00 0 0.00 60 0.00
Soy oilcake 716 143 14.18 701 055 13.19 774 906 14.05
Full fat soy 92 474 1.83 164 840 3.10 172 994 3.14
Cottonseed oilcake 19 886 0.39 18 739 0.35 19 244 0.35
Full fat cottonseed 4 902 0.10 4 779 0.09 6 120 0.11
Canola oilcake 2 147 0.04 2 834 0.05 4 818 0.09
Full fat canola 31 0.00 618 0.01 1 056 0.02
Copra and Palm kernel 4 887 0.10 7 655 0.14 7 864 0.14
Maize germ oilcake 3 984 0.08 4 033 0.08 4 474 0.08
Total oilcake 1 093 339 21.65 1 218 476 22.93 1 279 110 23.19
Total maize products 2 844 879 52.46 2 900 624 54.58 2 997 418 54.33
Total fish meal 74 345 1.47 57 680 1.09 36 563 0.66

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
AFMA raw material usage April 2010 to March 2011.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2008/2009-2010/2011) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
RSA 75 000 98 000 90 000
Namibia ¹ 7 500 1 500 13 500
Total 82 500 99 500 103 500 -5 000 -41 500 -53 500

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2010/2011 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2008/2009-2010/2011)
  Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 1 0 0
Sunflower oilcake 296 520 364 140 288 021 68 234 84 906
Soy cake 103 520 387 360 925 270 829 000
– Full fat 88 000 148 320 4 302
– Beans 93 600 2 800
Cotton cake 51 500 20 000 32 500 81 778 88 000
– Full fat 30 000 20 151 33 500
Other 11 3 900
Canola 21 560 17 050 21 560
Lupins 14 000 18 000 18 000
Copra and Palm kernel
Total 565 181 701 030 747 441 1 099 746 1 042 106 952 559

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2009/2010
2010/2011 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2007/2008-2011/2012 marketing season)
Crop 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
White maize 4 315 000 7 480 000 6 775 000 7 822 400 6 364 000
Yellow maize 2 810 000 5 220 000 5 275 000 5 220 600 4 680 000
Sorghum 176 000 255 000 276 500 220 093 209 300
Groundnuts 58 000 88 800 99 500 87 880 84 525
Sunflower 300 000 872 000 801 000 516 265 808 420
Soybeans 205 000 282 000 516 000 560 950 729 050
Cotton seed ¹ 19 525 17 378 15 658 14 793 36 348
Wheat 1 905 000 2 130 000 1 958 000 1 464 970
Canola 38 150 30 800 40 350 37 950

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Seventh production forecast for winter crops (24 February 2011) and first crop estimate for summer crops for the 2011/2012 marketing year (24 February 2011).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2010/2011 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 2 169 000 0 6 364 000 8 533 000
Yellow maize 637 000 0 4 680 000 5 317 000
Sorghum 42 000 5 000 209 300 256 300
Groundnuts 21 000 3 000 84 525 108 525
Sunflower 48 000 11 000 808 420 867 420
Soybeans 105 000 3 000 729 050 837 050
Wheat 579 000 1 700 000 1 464 970 3 743 970
Canola 10 000 0 37 950 47 950

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2005/2006-2010/2011 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011
White maize 1 033 000 1 624 800 1 737 000 1 489 000 1 719 700 1 418 300
Yellow maize 567 200 927 000 1 062 000 938 500 1 022 700 965 000
Sorghum 37 150 69 000 86 800 85 500 86 675 70 200
Groundnuts 48 550 40 770 54 200 54 550 57 450 54 650
Sunflower 472 480 316 350 564 300 635 800 397 700 619 700
Soybeans 240 570 183 000 165 400 237 750 311 450 418 000
Wheat 805 000 764 800 632 000 748 000 642 500 558 100
Canola 40 200 32 000 33 260 34 000 35 060 34 820
Total 3 244 150 3 957 720 4 334 960 4 223 100 4 273 235 4 138 770

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; First forecast to plant summer crops 2011/2012 production season (24 February 2011). Seventh production forecast for winter crops 2010 production season (24 February 2011).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September