Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2007 May

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated May 2007)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
Requirements / Sales 127 000 80 000 60 000 1 212 593 1 414 338 1 200 000
Available / Produced 132 000 101 000 76 000 416 736 572 231 723 774
Shortage / Imports -5 000 -21 000 -16 000 795 857 842 107 476 226

2006/2007 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
AFMA Members 100 879 78 284 39 081 818 767 907 582 1 062 672
Non-AFMA Members 26 121 1 716 20 919 393 826 506 756 137 328
Total 127 000 80 000 60 000 1 212 593 1 414 338 1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
2006/2007 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
Sunflower oilcake 213 837 4.96 216 605 5.02 169 633 3.80
Groundnuts oilcake 891 0.02 2 636 0.06 344 0.01
Soy oilcake 448 648 10.40 473 885 10.98 646 208 14.49
Full fat soy 92 968 2.16 147 702 3.43 184 736 4.14
Cotton oilcake 46 396 1.08 50 865 1.18 36 352 0.82
Full fat cotton 4 340 0.10 6 454 0.15 10 443 0.23
Canola oilcake 5 138 0.12 5 344 0.12 4 459 0.10
Full fat canola 454 0.01 1 218 0.03 3 879 0.09
Total oilcake 818 767 18.97 907 582 21.04 1 062 672 23.83
Total maize products 2 384 886 55.34 2 387 611 53.51 2 405 774 53.94
Total fish-meal 100 879 2.34 78 284 1.82 39 081 0.88

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
AFMA raw material usage April 2006 to March 2007.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
RSA 120 000 95 000 70 000
Namibia 12 000 6 000 6 000
Total 132 000 101 000 76 000 -5 000 -21 000 -16 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2006/2007 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2004/2005-2006/2007)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 1 766 1 391 4 280
Sunflower oilcake 277 200 267 120 261 660 16 073 22 144
Soy cake 37 200 402 400 626 244 635 173
– Full fat 92 080 172 800 22 234 4 504
– Beans
Cotton cake 21 170 37 500 18 234 89 056 121 947
– Full fat 35 000 32 315 52 684
Other 9 975 5 655
Canola 20 570 17 270 23 100
Lupins 3 950 3 950 14 100
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 416 736 572 231 723 774 795 897 842 107 488 916

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
2006/2007 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2003/2004-2007/2008 marketing season)
Crop 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
White maize 6 371 000 5 805 000 6 540 700 4 187 400 4 065 400
Yellow maize 3 019 000 3 677 000 4 909 300 2 430 600 2 895 000
Sorghum 219 700 373 000 260 000 96 000 153 100
Groundnuts 60 000 115 000 64 000 74 000 49 060
Sunflower 642 075 648 000 620 000 520 000 288 580
Soybeans 136 500 220 000 272 500 424 000 227 600
Cotton seed ¹ 29 278 50 169 37 804 25 962 21 752
Wheat 1 428 150 1 680 000 1 905 000 2 121 800
Sweet lupins 4 040 3 950 14 100 14 400
Canola 40 770 32 000 44 200 38 050

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops (27 February 2007) and first crop estimate for summer crops for the 2007/2008 marketing year (25 April 2007).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2007/2008 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 1 301 000 0 4 065 400 6 366 400
Yellow maize 868 000 1 100 000 2 895 000 4 863 000
Sorghum 185 000 10 000 153 100 348 100
Groundnuts 15 000 25 000 49 060 89 060
Sunflower 182 000 1 000 288 580 471 580
Soybeans 132 000 15 000 227 600 374 600
Wheat 582 000 900 000 2 161 170 3 643 170
Canola 9 400 0 38 050 47 450

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2002/2003-2007/2008 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
White maize 2 234 350 1 842 000 1 700 000 1 033 000 1 624 800
Yellow maize 950 350 1 001 300 1 110 000 567 200 927 000
Sorghum 95 100 130 000 86 500 37 150 69 000
Groundnuts 49 850 71 500 40 000 48 550 40 770
Sunflower 605 750 530 000 460 000 472 480 316 350
Soybeans 100 150 135 000 150 000 240 570 183 000
Wheat 941 100 748 000 830 000 805 000 764 800 686 800
Sweet lupins 11 000 10 100 7 100 14 100 16 000 18 000
Canola 33 000 44 200 44 250 40 200 34 700 40 000
Total 5 020 650 4 512 100 4 427 850 3 258 250 3 976 420 744 800

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Third estimate to plant for summer crops 2006/2007 production season (25 April 2007). First intentions to plant winter crops 2006/2007 production season (27 March 2007).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September