Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated May 2007)
Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
Requirements / Sales |
127 000 |
80 000 |
60 000 |
1 212 593 |
1 414 338 |
1 200 000 |
Available / Produced |
132 000 |
101 000 |
76 000 |
416 736 |
572 231 |
723 774 |
Shortage / Imports |
-5 000 |
-21 000 |
-16 000 |
795 857 |
842 107 |
476 226 |
2006/2007 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
AFMA Members |
100 879 |
78 284 |
39 081 |
818 767 |
907 582 |
1 062 672 |
Non-AFMA Members |
26 121 |
1 716 |
20 919 |
393 826 |
506 756 |
137 328 |
Total |
127 000 |
80 000 |
60 000 |
1 212 593 |
1 414 338 |
1 200 000 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
2006/2007 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.
Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
|
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Raw Materials |
2004/2005 |
|
2005/2006 |
|
2006/2007 |
|
Sunflower oilcake |
213 837 |
4.96 |
216 605 |
5.02 |
169 633 |
3.80 |
Groundnuts oilcake |
891 |
0.02 |
2 636 |
0.06 |
344 |
0.01 |
Soy oilcake |
448 648 |
10.40 |
473 885 |
10.98 |
646 208 |
14.49 |
Full fat soy |
92 968 |
2.16 |
147 702 |
3.43 |
184 736 |
4.14 |
Cotton oilcake |
46 396 |
1.08 |
50 865 |
1.18 |
36 352 |
0.82 |
Full fat cotton |
4 340 |
0.10 |
6 454 |
0.15 |
10 443 |
0.23 |
Canola oilcake |
5 138 |
0.12 |
5 344 |
0.12 |
4 459 |
0.10 |
Full fat canola |
454 |
0.01 |
1 218 |
0.03 |
3 879 |
0.09 |
Total oilcake |
818 767 |
18.97 |
907 582 |
21.04 |
1 062 672 |
23.83 |
Total maize products |
2 384 886 |
55.34 |
2 387 611 |
53.51 |
2 405 774 |
53.94 |
Total fishmeal |
100 879 |
2.34 |
78 284 |
1.82 |
39 081 |
0.88 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
AFMA raw material usage April 2006 to March 2007.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.
Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) |
Imported Fishmeal (ton) |
Year |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
RSA |
120 000 |
95 000 |
70 000 |
|
|
|
Namibia |
12 000 |
6 000 |
6 000 |
|
|
|
Total |
132 000 |
101 000 |
76 000 |
-5 000 |
-21 000 |
-16 000 |
Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2006/2007 – Estimate
Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports (2004/2005-2006/2007)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local Oilcake production (ton) |
Imported Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
Oilcake |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Groundnuts oilcake |
1 766 |
1 391 |
4 280 |
|
|
|
Sunflower oilcake |
277 200 |
267 120 |
261 660 |
16 073 |
22 144 |
|
Soy cake |
|
37 200 |
402 400 |
626 244 |
635 173 |
|
– Full fat |
92 080 |
172 800 |
|
22 234 |
4 504 |
|
– Beans |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cotton cake |
21 170 |
37 500 |
18 234 |
89 056 |
121 947 |
|
– Full fat |
|
35 000 |
|
32 315 |
52 684 |
|
Other |
|
|
|
9 975 |
5 655 |
|
Canola |
20 570 |
17 270 |
23 100 |
|
|
|
Lupins |
3 950 |
3 950 |
14 100 |
|
|
|
Copra and Palm Kernel |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
416 736 |
572 231 |
723 774 |
795 897 |
842 107 |
488 916 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
2006/2007 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton) (2003/2004-2007/2008 marketing season)
Crop |
2003/2004 |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
White maize |
6 371 000 |
5 805 000 |
6 540 700 |
4 187 400 |
4 065 400 |
Yellow maize |
3 019 000 |
3 677 000 |
4 909 300 |
2 430 600 |
2 895 000 |
Sorghum |
219 700 |
373 000 |
260 000 |
96 000 |
153 100 |
Groundnuts |
60 000 |
115 000 |
64 000 |
74 000 |
49 060 |
Sunflower |
642 075 |
648 000 |
620 000 |
520 000 |
288 580 |
Soybeans |
136 500 |
220 000 |
272 500 |
424 000 |
227 600 |
Cotton seed ¹ |
29 278 |
50 169 |
37 804 |
25 962 |
21 752 |
Wheat |
1 428 150 |
1 680 000 |
1 905 000 |
2 121 800 |
|
Sweet lupins |
4 040 |
3 950 |
14 100 |
14 400 |
|
Canola |
40 770 |
32 000 |
44 200 |
38 050 |
|
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops (27 February 2007) and first crop estimate for summer crops for the 2007/2008 marketing year (25 April 2007).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa
Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton) (2007/2008 marketing season)
Crop |
Opening stock |
Imports to RSA |
Production |
Total supply |
White maize |
1 301 000 |
0 |
4 065 400 |
6 366 400 |
Yellow maize |
868 000 |
1 100 000 |
2 895 000 |
4 863 000 |
Sorghum |
185 000 |
10 000 |
153 100 |
348 100 |
Groundnuts |
15 000 |
25 000 |
49 060 |
89 060 |
Sunflower |
182 000 |
1 000 |
288 580 |
471 580 |
Soybeans |
132 000 |
15 000 |
227 600 |
374 600 |
Wheat |
582 000 |
900 000 |
2 161 170 |
3 643 170 |
Canola |
9 400 |
0 |
38 050 |
47 450 |
Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA (2002/2003-2007/2008 production season)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ha Planted |
Crop |
2002/2003 |
2003/2004 |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
White maize |
2 234 350 |
1 842 000 |
1 700 000 |
1 033 000 |
1 624 800 |
|
Yellow maize |
950 350 |
1 001 300 |
1 110 000 |
567 200 |
927 000 |
|
Sorghum |
95 100 |
130 000 |
86 500 |
37 150 |
69 000 |
|
Groundnuts |
49 850 |
71 500 |
40 000 |
48 550 |
40 770 |
|
Sunflower |
605 750 |
530 000 |
460 000 |
472 480 |
316 350 |
|
Soybeans |
100 150 |
135 000 |
150 000 |
240 570 |
183 000 |
|
Wheat |
941 100 |
748 000 |
830 000 |
805 000 |
764 800 |
686 800 |
Sweet lupins |
11 000 |
10 100 |
7 100 |
14 100 |
16 000 |
18 000 |
Canola |
33 000 |
44 200 |
44 250 |
40 200 |
34 700 |
40 000 |
Total |
5 020 650 |
4 512 100 |
4 427 850 |
3 258 250 |
3 976 420 |
744 800 |
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Third estimate to plant for summer crops 2006/2007 production season (25 April 2007). First intentions to plant winter crops 2006/2007 production season (27 March 2007).
Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops |
Season |
White maize |
May-April |
Yellow maize |
May-April |
Sorghum |
April-March |
Groundnuts |
March-February |
Sunflower |
January-December |
Soybeans |
January-December |
Wheat |
October-September |