Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2007 September

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated September 2007)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
Requirements / Sales 80 000 60 000 40 000 1 414 338 1 200 000 1 200 000
Available / Produced 101 000 76 000 96 000 572 231 723 774 723 774
Shortage / Imports -21 000 -16 000 -56 000 842 107 476 226 476 226

2007/2008 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
AFMA Members 78 284 37 841 26 290 907 582 1 066 791 1 147 962
Non-AFMA Members 1 716 22 129 13 710 506 756 133 209 52 038
Total 80 000 60 000 40 000 1 414 338 1 200 000 1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007
2007/2008 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
Sunflower oilcake 216 605 5.02 169 159 3.76 169 824 3.28
Groundnuts oilcake 2 636 0.06 316 0.01 0 0.00
Soy oilcake 473 885 10.98 653 463 14.54 751 770 14.52
Full fat soy 147 702 3.43 183 047 4.07 168 978 3.26
Cotton oilcake 50 865 1.18 35 590 0.79 31 590 0.61
Full fat cotton 6 454 0.15 10 241 0.23 10 710 0.21
Canola oilcake 5 344 0.12 4 330 0.10 1 392 0.03
Full fat canola 1 218 0.03 3 757 0.08 2 388 0.05
Total oilcake 907 582 21 04 1 066 791 23.74 1 147 962 22.18
Total maize products 2 387 611 53.51 2 428 502 54.05 2 641 866 51.03
Total fish-meal 78 284 1.82 37 871 0.84 26 290 0.51

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007
AFMA raw material usage April 2006 to March 2007.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
RSA 95 000 70 000 90 000
Namibia 6 000 6 000 6 000
Total 101 000 76 000 96 000 -21 000 -16 000 -56 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2007/2008 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2005/2006-2007/2008)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 1 391 4 280 4 280
Sunflower oilcake 267 120 261 660 261 660 22 144
Soy cake 37 200 402 400 402 400 22 144
– Full fat 172 800 635 173
– Beans 4 504
Cotton cake 37 500 18 234 18 234
– Full fat 35 000 52 684
Other 5 655
Canola 17 270 23 100 23 100
Lupins 3 950 14 100 14 100
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 572 231 723 774 723 774 842 107 476 226 476 226

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007
2007/2008 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2003/2004-2007/2008 marketing season)
Crop 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
White maize 6 371 000 5 805 000 6 540 700 4 187 400 4 127 400
Yellow maize 3 019 000 3 677 000 4 909 300 2 430 600 2 774 500
Sorghum 219 700 373 000 260 000 96 000 165 875
Groundnuts 60 000 115 000 64 000 74 000 50 360
Sunflower 642 075 648 000 620 000 520 000 308 580
Soybeans 136 500 220 000 272 500 424 000 205 850
Cotton seed ¹ 29 278 50 169 37 804 25 962 20 837
Wheat 1 428 150 1 680 000 1 905 000 2 121 800 1 664 050
Sweet lupins 4 040 3 950 14 100 14 400 10 000
Canola 40 770 32 000 44 200 38 050 32 000

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; First production estimate for winter crops (28 August 2007) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2007/2008 marketing year (28 August 2007).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2007/2008 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 1 473 000 0 4 127 400 5 600 400
Yellow maize 329 000 1 220 000 2 774 500 4 323 500
Sorghum 76 000 40 000 165 875 281 875
Groundnuts 16 000 25 000 50 360 91 360
Sunflower 182 000 1 000 308 580 491 580
Soybeans 132 000 15 000 205 850 352 850
Wheat 582 000 900 000 2 664 050 3 146 050
Canola 9 800 0 32 000 41 800

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2002/2003-2007/2008 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
White maize 2 234 350 1 842 000 1 700 000 1 033 000 1 624 800
Yellow maize 950 350 1 001 300 1 110 000 567 200 927 000
Sorghum 95 100 130 000 86 500 37 150 69 000
Groundnuts 49 850 71 500 40 000 48 550 40 770
Sunflower 605 750 530 000 460 000 472 480 316 350
Soybeans 100 150 135 000 150 000 240 570 183 000
Wheat 941 100 748 000 830 000 805 000 764 800 629 500
Sweet lupins 11 000 10 100 7 100 14 100 16 000 10 000
Canola 33 000 44 200 44 250 40 200 34 700 32 000
Total 5 020 650 4 512 100 4 427 850 3 258 250 3 976 420 671 500

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final estimate to plant for summer crops 2006/2007 production season (28 August 2007). First estimate to plant winter crops 2006/2007 production season (28 August 2007).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September