Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2007 March

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated March 2007)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
Requirements / Sales 127 000 80 000 60 000 1 212 593 1 414 338 1 200 000
Available / Produced 132 000 101 000 76 000 416 736 572 231 723 774
Shortage / Imports -5 000 -21 000 -16 000 795 857 842 107 476 226

2006/2007 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
AFMA Members 100 879 78 284 45 654 818 767 907 582 1 014 123
Non-AFMA Members 26 121 1 716 14 346 393 826 506 756 185 877
Total 127 000 80 000 60 000 1 212 593 1 414 338 1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
2006/2007 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
Sunflower oilcake 213 837 4.96 216 605 5.02 174 258 3.74
Groundnuts oilcake 891 0.02 2 636 0.06 544 0.01
Soy oilcake 448 648 10.40 473 885 10.98 623 184 13.38
Full fat soy 92 968 2.16 147 702 3.43 159 564 3.42
Cotton oilcake 46 396 1.08 50 865 1.18 39 822 0.58
Full fat cotton 4 340 0.10 6 454 0.15 5 784 0.12
Canola oilcake 5 138 0.12 5 344 0.12 2 834 0.06
Full fat canola 454 0.01 1 218 0.03 2 558 0.05
Total oilcake 818 767 18.97 907 582 21.04 1 014 123 21.77
Total maize products 2 384 886 55.34 2 387 611 53.51 2 391 250 51.32
Total fish-meal 100 879 2.34 78 284 1.82 45 654 0.98

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
AFMA raw material usage April 2006 to March 2007.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2004/2005-2006/2007) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
RSA 120 000 95 000 70 000
Namibia 12 000 6 000 6 000
Total 132 000 101 000 76 000 -5 000 -21 000 -16 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2006/2007 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2004/2005-2006/2007)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 1 766 1 391 4 280
Sunflower oilcake 277 200 267 120 261 660 16 073 22 144
Soy cake 37 200 402 400 626 244 635 173
– Full fat 92 080 172 800 22 234 4 504
– Beans
Cotton cake 21 170 37 500 18 234 89 056 121 947
– Full fat 35 000 32 315 52 684
Other 9 975 5 655
Canola 20 570 17 270 23 100
Lupins 3 950 3 950 14 100
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 416 736 572 231 723 774 795 897 842 107 488 916

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2005/2006
2006/2007 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2003/2004-2007/2008 marketing season)
Crop 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
White maize 6 371 000 5 805 000 6 540 700 4 187 400 4 659 300
Yellow maize 3 019 000 3 677 000 4 909 300 2 430 600 3 097 900
Sorghum 219 700 373 000 260 000 96 000 155 300
Groundnuts 60 000 115 000 64 000 74 000 52 470
Sunflower 642 075 648 000 620 000 520 000 314 230
Soybeans 136 500 220 000 272 500 424 000 277 700
Cotton seed ¹ 29 278 50 169 37 804 25 962 23 351
Wheat 1 428 150 1 680 000 1 905 000 2 121 800
Sweet lupins 4 040 3 950 14 100 14 400
Canola 40 770 32 000 44 200 38 050

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops (27 February 2007) and first crop estimate for summer crops for the 2007/2008 marketing year (27 February 2007).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2007/2008 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 1 329 000 0 4 659 300 5 988 300
Yellow maize 448 000 450 000 3 097 900 3 995 900
Sorghum 61 000 20 000 155 300 236 300
Groundnuts 18 000 20 000 52 470 90 470
Sunflower 162 000 1 000 000 314 230 1 476 230
Soybeans 132 000 10 000 277 700 419 700
Wheat 582 000 850 000 2 161 170 3 593 170
Canola 15 300 0 39 725 55 025

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2001/2002-2006/2007 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
White maize 1 721 580 2 234 350 1 842 000 1 700 000 1 033 000 1 674 800
Yellow maize 1 111 000 950 350 1 001 300 1 110 000 567 200 922 000
Sorghum 75 000 95 100 130 000 86 500 37 150 69 000
Groundnuts 94 160 49 850 71 500 40 000 48 550 40 770
Sunflower 645 510 605 750 530 000 460 000 472 480 316 350
Soybeans 124 150 100 150 135 000 150 000 240 570 183 000
Wheat 959 400 941 100 748 000 830 000 805 000 764 800
Sweet lupins 14 785 11 000 10 100 7 100 14 100 16 000
Canola 27 000 33 000 44 200 44 250 40 200 34 700
Total 4 772 585 5 020 650 4 512 100 4 427 850 3 258 250 4 021 420

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; First estimate to plant for summer crops 2006/2007 production season (27 February 2007). Final estimate to plant for winter crops 2006/2007 production season (27 February 2007).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September