Summer crops: third production forecast (2023) and intentions to plant winter cereals (2023)
Derde produksieskatting vir somergewasse (2023) en voorneme om wintergewasse te plant (2023)

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Third production forecast  2023  Derde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2023 2023 2023 2022 2022
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 521 300 8 361 175 8 344 375 1 575 000 7 850 000 +0.20
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 064 800 7 528 600 7 535 150 1 048 000 7 620 000 -0.09
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 586 100 15 889 775 15 879 525 2 623 000 15 470 000 +0.06
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 555 700 797 610 797 610 670 700 845 550
Soybeans / Sojabone 1 148 300 2 755 300 2 710 150 925 300 2 230 000 +1.67
Groundnuts / Grondbone 31 300 49 080 49 080 43 400 48 500
Sorghum 34 000 107 180 109 400 37 200 103 140 -2.03
Dry beans / Droëbone 36 650 46 710 47 930 42 900 52 590 -2.55
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Total maize / Totale mielies 358 620 664 040 N/A 378 800 667 000 N/A
Maize: commercial + non-commercial / Mielies: kommersieël + nie-kommersieël
Total maize / Totale mielies (RSA) 2 944 720 16 553 815 N/A 3 001 800 16 137 000 N/A

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2022/2023 = 2023
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2022/2023 = 2023

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2010-2023   Produksie
Graph of the maize production in total: 2010-2023
Soybeans / Sojabone
Production   2010-2023   Produksie
Soybean production graph for 2010-2023
Sorghum
Production   2010-2023   Produksie
Graph for sorghum production: 2010-2023
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Revised area planted and first production forecast  2023  Hersiene oppervlakte en eerste produksieskatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop ¹
Finale oes ¹
2023 2023 2022 2022
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
250 3 500 3 750 2 375 32 900 35 275 500 3 500 4 000 4 750 32 900 37 650
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
1 000 43 500 44 500 12 000 639 450 651 450 3 000 42 000 45 000 36 000 672 000 708 000
Free State / Vrystaat
780 000 401 000 1 181 000 4 407 000 2 586 450 6 993 450 826 500 398 000 1 224 500 3 801 900 2 547 800 6 349 700
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
5 750 25 000 30 750 40 250 187 500 227 750 6 000 20 500 26 500 40 800 157 900 198 700
KwaZulu-Natal
49 000 65 000 114 000 308 700 526 500 835 200 52 000 59 000 111 000 322 400 489 700 812 100
Mpumalanga
156 500 352 000 508 500 1 017 250 2 464 000 3 481 250 165 000 350 000 515 000 1 072 500 2 554 000 3 626 500
Limpopo
16 800 22 800 39 600 117 600 182 400 300 000 15 500 25 000 40 500 102 300 202 500 304 800
Gauteng
56 000 52 000 108 000 358 400 374 400 732 800 56 500 56 000 112 500 361 600 403 200 764 800
North West / Noordwes
456 000 100 000 556 000 2 097 600 535 000 2 632 600 450 000 94 000 544 000 2 107 750 560 000 2 667 750
Total / Totaal
1 521 300 1 064 800 2 586 100 8 361 175 7 528 600 15 889 775 1 575 000 1 048 000 2 623 000 7 850 000 7 620 000 15 470 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and third production forecast  2023  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2023 2023 2022 2022
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 500 6 250 2 500 6 250
Free State / Vrystaat 290 000 449 500 357 000 499 800
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 700 1 400 300 750
KwaZulu-Natal 300 600
Mpumalanga 5 000 7 250 3 500 5 250
Limpopo 100 000 105 000 110 000 77 000
Gauteng 2 200 2 860 2 400 3 000
North West / Noordwes 155 000 224 750 195 000 253 500
Total / Totaal 555 700 797 610 670 700 845 550
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and third production forecast  2023  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2023 2023 2022 2022
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 000 3 750 800 3 000
Free State / Vrystaat 565 000 1 327 750 415 000 912 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 4 300 12 900 3 000 9 000
KwaZulu-Natal 44 000 158 400 39 000 150 000
Mpumalanga 305 000 671 000 300 000 710 000
Limpopo 26 000 88 400 22 500 76 500
Gauteng 48 000 105 600 45 000 99 000
North West / Noordwes 155 000 387 500 100 000 270 000
Total / Totaal 1 148 300 2 755 300 925 300 2 230 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and third production forecast  2023  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2023 2023 2022 2022
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 000 4 800 2 400 6 000
Free State / Vrystaat 12 300 19 680 19 000 20 900
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 2 000 5 100 2 000 4 600
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 15 000 19 500 20 000 17 000
Total / Totaal 31 300 49 080 43 400 48 500
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and third production forecast  2023  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2023 2023 2022 2022
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 180 100 150
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 450 990 600 1 080
Free State / Vrystaat 14 000 11 900 15 500 13 950
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 200 360 200 300
KwaZulu-Natal 2 100 3 150 2 300 2 760
Mpumalanga 5 000 6 750 6 000 6 600
Limpopo 8 000 14 400 10 400 18 200
Gauteng 800 880 800 800
North West / Noordwes 6 000 8 100 7 000 8 750
Total / Totaal 36 650 46 710 42 900 52 590
Sorghum
Area planted and third production forecast  2023  Oppervlakte en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2023 2023 2022 2022
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 5 200 17 680 7 800 20 700
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 100 400 200 740
Mpumalanga 8 500 39 950 9 000 43 650
Limpopo 15 500 37 200 15 000 26 250
Gauteng 100 450 200 800
North West / Noordwes 4 600 11 500 5 000 11 000
Total / Totaal 34 000 107 180 37 200 103 140

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Preliminary area estimate (2023) Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting

Summer field crops – 2023

Commercial maize

The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 15,890 million tons, which is 0,06% or 10 250 tons more than the previous forecast of 15,880 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,586 million ha and the expected yield is 6,14 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 2,71% or 419 775 tons larger than the 2022 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 82% of the 2023 crop.

The production forecast of white maize is 8,361 million tons, which is 0,20% or 16 800 tons more than the 8,344 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for white maize is 1,521 million ha and the expected yield is 5,50 t/ha.

In the case of yellow maize, the production forecast is 7,529 million tons, which is 0,09% or 6 550 tons less than the 7,535 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for yellow maize is 1,065 million ha and the yield is 7,07 t/ha.

The yield per ha for the Mpumalanga province was based on scientific and objective results provided by the ARC. Please note that the objective results for the Free State and North West provinces will be available in May 2023.

Other summer crops

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed remained unchanged at 797 610 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 555 700 ha, while the expected yield is 1,44 t/ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for soybeans increased by 1,67% or 45 150 tons to 2,755 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 1,148 million ha and the expected yield is 2,40 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop remained unchanged at 49 080 tons. For groundnuts, the area estimate is 31 300 ha, with an expected yield of 1,57 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum is 107 180 tons, which is 2,03% or 2 220 tons less than the 109 400 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 34 000 ha and the expected yield is 3,15 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 46 710 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 36 650 ha, with an expected yield of 1,27 t/ha.


Please note that the fourth production forecast for summer field crops for 2023 will be released on 25 May 2023.

Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2023

Kommersiële mielies

Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 15,890 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,06% of 10 250 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 15,880 miljoen ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir mie­lies is 2,586 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 6,14 t/ha.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 2,71% of 419 775 ton groter as die 2022-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 82% van die 2023-oes produseer.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 8,361 miljoen ton, wat 0,20% of 16 800 ton meer is as die 8,344 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir witmielies is 1,521 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 5,50 t/ha.

In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 7,529 miljoen ton, wat 0,09% of 6 550 ton minder is as die 7,535 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir geelmielies is 1,065 miljoen ha en die opbrengs is 7,07 t/ha.

Die opbrengs-bepaling per ha vir die Mpumalanga provinsie is gebaseer op wetenskaplike en objektiewe resultate verstrek deur die LNR. Neem kennis dat die objektiewe resultate vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies, in Mei 2023 gerapporteer sal word.

Ander somergewasse

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is on­veranderd gelaat op 797 610 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 555 700 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,44 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is verhoog met 1,67% of 45 150 ton na 2,755 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 1,148 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,40 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 49 080 ton. Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 31 300 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,57 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 107 180 ton, wat 2,03% of 2 220 ton minder is as die 109 400 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 34 000 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,15 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 46 710 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 36 650 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,27 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die vierde produksieskatting vir somer­gewasse vir 2023, op 25 Mei 2023 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Preliminary area planted and production estimate  2023  Voorlopige oppervlakte- en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2023 2023 2022 2022
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 278 655 472 765 296 950 482 000 -1.92
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 79 965 191 275 81 850 185 000 +3.39
Maize / Mielies 358 620 664 040 378 800 667 000 -0.44

The preliminary area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 358 620 ha, which represents a decrease of 5,33%, compared to the 378 800 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 664 040 tons, which is 0,44% less than the 667 000 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 48% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with 21%.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 358 620 ha, wat 'n afname van 5,33% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 378 800 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 664 040 ton, wat 0,44% minder is as die 667 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 48% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word, gevolg deur KwaZulu-Natal met 21%.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2023   Oppervlakte
Area planted to non-commercial maize: 2000-2023 graph
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2023   Produksie
Production of non-commercial maize: 2000-2023 graph
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant  2023  Voorneme om te plant
Crop / Gewas Intentions *
Voorneme *
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2023 2022 2022
Ha Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (A) ÷ (B)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 542 600 566 800 2 088 590 -4.27
Barley / Gars 109 100 101 000 308 675 +8.02
Canola 127 500 123 510 210 530 +3.23
Cereal oats / Hawermout 29 600 27 000 29 900 +9.63
Sweet lupins / Soetlupine 11 500 21 000 15 750 -45.24
Total winter cereals / Totaal wintergewasse 820 300 839 310 2 653 445 -2.26

* Based on conditions at the middle of April 2023
* Gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2023

Wheat / Koring
Intentions to plant  2023  Voorneme om te plant
Province / Provinsie Intentions
Voorneme
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
2023 2022 2022
Ha Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 362 500 360 000 918 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 40 000 47 000 324 300
Free State / Vrystaat 77 000 96 000 432 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 6 300 6 000 40 200
KwaZulu-Natal 8 500 9 200 60 720
Mpumalanga 4 100 4 000 27 600
Limpopo 31 000 29 000 185 600
Gauteng 1 200 1 100 7 370
North West / Noordwes 12 000 14 500 92 800
Total / Totaal 542 600 566 800 2 088 590
Wheat / Koring
Production   2010-2023   Produksie
Area planted to wheat: 2010-2023 graph
Barley / Moutgars
Production   2010-2023   Produksie
Area planted to malting-barley: 2010-2023 graph
Canola
Production   2010-2023   Produksie
Area planted to canola: 2010-2023 graph

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant for 2023 / Voorneme om te plant vir 2023

Winter cereal crops – 2023

Producers' intentions to plant winter cereals are mainly based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directo­rate: Statistics and Economic Analysis of the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development and reflects the position as at the middle of April 2023. Inputs were also received from the representatives of the respective Provincial Departments of Agriculture.

The figures for wheat represent the total number of hectares that are intended to be planted for grain, excluding any hectares that will be planted for fodder and grazing.

Early indications are that producers intend to plant 542 600 ha of wheat for the 2023 production season. This is 4,27% or 24 200 ha less than the 566 800 ha planted to wheat in 2022.

The main producing areas are within the Western Cape with 362 500 ha (67%), followed by the Free State with 77 000 ha (14%) and the Northern Cape with 40 000 ha (7%).

The expected area planted to malting barley is 109 100 ha, which is 8,02% or 8 100 ha more than the 101 000 ha of the previous year.

The expected area planted to canola is also 127 500 ha, which is 3,23% or 3 990 ha more than the 123 510 ha planted in 2022.

TProducers intend to plant 29 600 ha of cereal oats, which is 9,63 or 2 600 ha more than the 27 000 ha of the previous season.

The expected area planted to sweet lupines is 11 500 ha, which is 45,24% or 9 500 ha less than the previous season.


Please note that the preliminary area estimate of winter crops for 2023 will be released on 26 July 2023.

Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2023

Produsente se voorneme om wintergewasse te plant is hoof­saaklik gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise van die Departement van Landbou, Grondhervorming en Landelike Ontwikkeling en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van April 2023. Insette is ook ontvang vanaf die verteenwoordigers van die onderskeie Provinsiale Departemente van Landbou.

Die syfers vir koring verteenwoordig die totale aantal hektare wat werklik beplant gaan word vir graan, uitgesluit alle hektare wat beplant gaan word vir groenvoer en weiding.

Vroeë aanduidings is dat produsente van voorneme is om 542 600 ha koring te plant vir die 2023-produksie-seisoen. Dit is 4,27% of 24 200 ha minder koring aangeplant as die 566 800 ha in 2022.

Die grootste produserende gebiede is in die Wes-Kaap, met 362 500 ha (67%), gevolg deur die Vrystaat met 77 000 ha (14%) en die Noord-Kaap met 40 000 ha (7%).

Die verwagte aanplantings van moutgars is 109 100 ha – 8,02% of 8 100 ha meer as die 101 000 ha van die vorige jaar.

Die verwagte aanplantings van canola is ook 127 500 ha, wat 3,23% of 3 990 ha meer is as die 123 510 ha wat aangeplant was in 2022.

Produsente is van voorneme om 29 600 ha hawermout te plant, wat 9,63% of 2 600 ha meer is as die 27 000 ha van die vorige seisoen.

Die verwagte aanplantings van soetlupine is 11 500 ha, wat 45,24% of 9 500 ha minder is as die vorige seisoen.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2023 op 26 Julie 2023 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

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