Summer crops: third production forecast (2023) and intentions to plant winter cereals (2023)
Derde produksieskatting vir somergewasse (2023) en voorneme om wintergewasse te plant (2023)
Summer crops / Somergewasse
- Summer crops / Somergewasse
- Graph: Total maize / Grafiek: Totale mielies
- Graph: Soybeans / Grafiek: Sojabone
- Graph / Grafiek: Sorghum
- White and yellow maize / Wit- en geelmielies
- Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
- Soybeans / Sojabone
- Groundnuts / Grondbone
- Dry beans / Droëbone
- Sorghum
- Notes / Aantekeninge
- Non-commercial Maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
- Winter Cereals / Wintergewasse
- Wheat / Koring
- Graph: Wheat / Grafiek: Koring
- Graph: Barley / Grafiek: moutgars
- Graph / Grafiek: Canola
- Notes / Aantekeninge
Estimates courtecy of the Crop Estimates Committee
Syfers deur die Oesskattingskomitee verskaf
Crop / Gewas | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Second forecast Tweede skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change Verandering |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | 2023 | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 | ||
Ha | Tons | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
(A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (B) ÷ (C) | |
Commercial / Kommersieël | ||||||
White maize / Witmielies | 1 521 300 | 8 361 175 | 8 344 375 | 1 575 000 | 7 850 000 | +0.20 |
Yellow maize / Geelmielies | 1 064 800 | 7 528 600 | 7 535 150 | 1 048 000 | 7 620 000 | -0.09 |
Total Maize / Totale Mielies | 2 586 100 | 15 889 775 | 15 879 525 | 2 623 000 | 15 470 000 | +0.06 |
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad | 555 700 | 797 610 | 797 610 | 670 700 | 845 550 | — |
Soybeans / Sojabone | 1 148 300 | 2 755 300 | 2 710 150 | 925 300 | 2 230 000 | +1.67 |
Groundnuts / Grondbone | 31 300 | 49 080 | 49 080 | 43 400 | 48 500 | – |
Sorghum | 34 000 | 107 180 | 109 400 | 37 200 | 103 140 | -2.03 |
Dry beans / Droëbone | 36 650 | 46 710 | 47 930 | 42 900 | 52 590 | -2.55 |
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies | ||||||
Total maize / Totale mielies | 358 620 | 664 040 | N/A | 378 800 | 667 000 | N/A |
Maize: commercial + non-commercial / Mielies: kommersieël + nie-kommersieël | ||||||
Total maize / Totale mielies (RSA) | 2 944 720 | 16 553 815 | N/A | 3 001 800 | 16 137 000 | N/A |
Note: Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2022/2023 = 2023
Nota: Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2022/2023 = 2023
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop ¹ Finale oes ¹ |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 | ||||||||
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | ||||||||
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | |||||||||||
250 | 3 500 | 3 750 | 2 375 | 32 900 | 35 275 | 500 | 3 500 | 4 000 | 4 750 | 32 900 | 37 650 |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | |||||||||||
1 000 | 43 500 | 44 500 | 12 000 | 639 450 | 651 450 | 3 000 | 42 000 | 45 000 | 36 000 | 672 000 | 708 000 |
Free State / Vrystaat | |||||||||||
780 000 | 401 000 | 1 181 000 | 4 407 000 | 2 586 450 | 6 993 450 | 826 500 | 398 000 | 1 224 500 | 3 801 900 | 2 547 800 | 6 349 700 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | |||||||||||
5 750 | 25 000 | 30 750 | 40 250 | 187 500 | 227 750 | 6 000 | 20 500 | 26 500 | 40 800 | 157 900 | 198 700 |
KwaZulu-Natal | |||||||||||
49 000 | 65 000 | 114 000 | 308 700 | 526 500 | 835 200 | 52 000 | 59 000 | 111 000 | 322 400 | 489 700 | 812 100 |
Mpumalanga | |||||||||||
156 500 | 352 000 | 508 500 | 1 017 250 | 2 464 000 | 3 481 250 | 165 000 | 350 000 | 515 000 | 1 072 500 | 2 554 000 | 3 626 500 |
Limpopo | |||||||||||
16 800 | 22 800 | 39 600 | 117 600 | 182 400 | 300 000 | 15 500 | 25 000 | 40 500 | 102 300 | 202 500 | 304 800 |
Gauteng | |||||||||||
56 000 | 52 000 | 108 000 | 358 400 | 374 400 | 732 800 | 56 500 | 56 000 | 112 500 | 361 600 | 403 200 | 764 800 |
North West / Noordwes | |||||||||||
456 000 | 100 000 | 556 000 | 2 097 600 | 535 000 | 2 632 600 | 450 000 | 94 000 | 544 000 | 2 107 750 | 560 000 | 2 667 750 |
Total / Totaal | |||||||||||
1 521 300 | 1 064 800 | 2 586 100 | 8 361 175 | 7 528 600 | 15 889 775 | 1 575 000 | 1 048 000 | 2 623 000 | 7 850 000 | 7 620 000 | 15 470 000 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2023 | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 2 500 | 6 250 | 2 500 | 6 250 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 290 000 | 449 500 | 357 000 | 499 800 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 700 | 1 400 | 300 | 750 |
KwaZulu-Natal | 300 | 600 | – | – |
Mpumalanga | 5 000 | 7 250 | 3 500 | 5 250 |
Limpopo | 100 000 | 105 000 | 110 000 | 77 000 |
Gauteng | 2 200 | 2 860 | 2 400 | 3 000 |
North West / Noordwes | 155 000 | 224 750 | 195 000 | 253 500 |
Total / Totaal | 555 700 | 797 610 | 670 700 | 845 550 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2023 | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 1 000 | 3 750 | 800 | 3 000 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 565 000 | 1 327 750 | 415 000 | 912 500 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 4 300 | 12 900 | 3 000 | 9 000 |
KwaZulu-Natal | 44 000 | 158 400 | 39 000 | 150 000 |
Mpumalanga | 305 000 | 671 000 | 300 000 | 710 000 |
Limpopo | 26 000 | 88 400 | 22 500 | 76 500 |
Gauteng | 48 000 | 105 600 | 45 000 | 99 000 |
North West / Noordwes | 155 000 | 387 500 | 100 000 | 270 000 |
Total / Totaal | 1 148 300 | 2 755 300 | 925 300 | 2 230 000 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2023 | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 2 000 | 4 800 | 2 400 | 6 000 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 12 300 | 19 680 | 19 000 | 20 900 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
KwaZulu-Natal | – | – | – | – |
Mpumalanga | – | – | – | – |
Limpopo | 2 000 | 5 100 | 2 000 | 4 600 |
Gauteng | – | – | – | – |
North West / Noordwes | 15 000 | 19 500 | 20 000 | 17 000 |
Total / Totaal | 31 300 | 49 080 | 43 400 | 48 500 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2023 | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 100 | 180 | 100 | 150 |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 450 | 990 | 600 | 1 080 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 14 000 | 11 900 | 15 500 | 13 950 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 200 | 360 | 200 | 300 |
KwaZulu-Natal | 2 100 | 3 150 | 2 300 | 2 760 |
Mpumalanga | 5 000 | 6 750 | 6 000 | 6 600 |
Limpopo | 8 000 | 14 400 | 10 400 | 18 200 |
Gauteng | 800 | 880 | 800 | 800 |
North West / Noordwes | 6 000 | 8 100 | 7 000 | 8 750 |
Total / Totaal | 36 650 | 46 710 | 42 900 | 52 590 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2023 | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
Free State / Vrystaat | 5 200 | 17 680 | 7 800 | 20 700 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
KwaZulu-Natal | 100 | 400 | 200 | 740 |
Mpumalanga | 8 500 | 39 950 | 9 000 | 43 650 |
Limpopo | 15 500 | 37 200 | 15 000 | 26 250 |
Gauteng | 100 | 450 | 200 | 800 |
North West / Noordwes | 4 600 | 11 500 | 5 000 | 11 000 |
Total / Totaal | 34 000 | 107 180 | 37 200 | 103 140 |
Summer crops / Somergewasse
Preliminary area estimate (2023) Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting
Summer field crops – 2023
Commercial maize
The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 15,890 million tons, which is 0,06% or 10 250 tons more than the previous forecast of 15,880 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,586 million ha and the expected yield is 6,14 t/ha.
The estimated maize crop is 2,71% or 419 775 tons larger than the 2022 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 82% of the 2023 crop.
The production forecast of white maize is 8,361 million tons, which is 0,20% or 16 800 tons more than the 8,344 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for white maize is 1,521 million ha and the expected yield is 5,50 t/ha.
In the case of yellow maize, the production forecast is 7,529 million tons, which is 0,09% or 6 550 tons less than the 7,535 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for yellow maize is 1,065 million ha and the yield is 7,07 t/ha.
The yield per ha for the Mpumalanga province was based on scientific and objective results provided by the ARC. Please note that the objective results for the Free State and North West provinces will be available in May 2023.
Other summer crops
Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed remained unchanged at 797 610 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 555 700 ha, while the expected yield is 1,44 t/ha.
Other crops
The production forecast for soybeans increased by 1,67% or 45 150 tons to 2,755 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 1,148 million ha and the expected yield is 2,40 t/ha.
The expected groundnut crop remained unchanged at 49 080 tons. For groundnuts, the area estimate is 31 300 ha, with an expected yield of 1,57 t/ha.
The production forecast for sorghum is 107 180 tons, which is 2,03% or 2 220 tons less than the 109 400 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 34 000 ha and the expected yield is 3,15 t/ha.
In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 46 710 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 36 650 ha, with an expected yield of 1,27 t/ha.
Please note that the fourth production forecast for summer field crops for 2023 will be released on 25 May 2023.
Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.
Somergewasse – 2023
Kommersiële mielies
Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 15,890 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,06% of 10 250 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 15,880 miljoen ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir mielies is 2,586 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 6,14 t/ha.
Die geskatte mielie-oes is 2,71% of 419 775 ton groter as die 2022-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 82% van die 2023-oes produseer.
Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 8,361 miljoen ton, wat 0,20% of 16 800 ton meer is as die 8,344 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir witmielies is 1,521 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 5,50 t/ha.
In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 7,529 miljoen ton, wat 0,09% of 6 550 ton minder is as die 7,535 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir geelmielies is 1,065 miljoen ha en die opbrengs is 7,07 t/ha.
Die opbrengs-bepaling per ha vir die Mpumalanga provinsie is gebaseer op wetenskaplike en objektiewe resultate verstrek deur die LNR. Neem kennis dat die objektiewe resultate vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies, in Mei 2023 gerapporteer sal word.
Ander somergewasse
Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is onveranderd gelaat op 797 610 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 555 700 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,44 t/ha is.
Ander gewasse
Die produksieskatting van sojabone is verhoog met 1,67% of 45 150 ton na 2,755 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 1,148 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,40 t/ha.
Die verwagte grondbone-oes is onveranderd gelaat op 49 080 ton. Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 31 300 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,57 t/ha is.
Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 107 180 ton, wat 2,03% of 2 220 ton minder is as die 109 400 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 34 000 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,15 t/ha.
In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 46 710 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 36 650 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,27 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die vierde produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2023, op 25 Mei 2023 vrygestel sal word.
Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.
Crop / Gewas | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Production Produksie |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change Verandering |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | 2023 | 2022 | 2022 | ||
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
(A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (B) ÷ (D) | |
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou | |||||
White maize / Witmielies | 278 655 | 472 765 | 296 950 | 482 000 | -1.92 |
Yellow maize / Geelmielies | 79 965 | 191 275 | 81 850 | 185 000 | +3.39 |
Maize / Mielies | 358 620 | 664 040 | 378 800 | 667 000 | -0.44 |
The preliminary area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 358 620 ha, which represents a decrease of 5,33%, compared to the 378 800 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 664 040 tons, which is 0,44% less than the 667 000 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 48% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with 21%.
Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 358 620 ha, wat 'n afname van 5,33% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 378 800 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 664 040 ton, wat 0,44% minder is as die 667 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 48% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word, gevolg deur KwaZulu-Natal met 21%.
Crop / Gewas | Intentions * Voorneme * |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change / Verandering |
---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | 2022 | 2022 | ||
Ha | Ha | Tons | % | |
(A) | (B) | (C) | (A) ÷ (B) | |
Commercial / Kommersieël | ||||
Wheat / Koring | 542 600 | 566 800 | 2 088 590 | -4.27 |
Barley / Gars | 109 100 | 101 000 | 308 675 | +8.02 |
Canola | 127 500 | 123 510 | 210 530 | +3.23 |
Cereal oats / Hawermout | 29 600 | 27 000 | 29 900 | +9.63 |
Sweet lupins / Soetlupine | 11 500 | 21 000 | 15 750 | -45.24 |
Total winter cereals / Totaal wintergewasse | 820 300 | 839 310 | 2 653 445 | -2.26 |
* Based on conditions at the middle of April 2023
* Gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2023
Province / Provinsie | Intentions Voorneme |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final estimate Finale skatting |
---|---|---|---|
2023 | 2022 | 2022 | |
Ha | Ha | Tons | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 362 500 | 360 000 | 918 000 |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 40 000 | 47 000 | 324 300 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 77 000 | 96 000 | 432 000 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 6 300 | 6 000 | 40 200 |
KwaZulu-Natal | 8 500 | 9 200 | 60 720 |
Mpumalanga | 4 100 | 4 000 | 27 600 |
Limpopo | 31 000 | 29 000 | 185 600 |
Gauteng | 1 200 | 1 100 | 7 370 |
North West / Noordwes | 12 000 | 14 500 | 92 800 |
Total / Totaal | 542 600 | 566 800 | 2 088 590 |
Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant for 2023 / Voorneme om te plant vir 2023
Winter cereal crops – 2023
Producers' intentions to plant winter cereals are mainly based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis of the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development and reflects the position as at the middle of April 2023. Inputs were also received from the representatives of the respective Provincial Departments of Agriculture.
The figures for wheat represent the total number of hectares that are intended to be planted for grain, excluding any hectares that will be planted for fodder and grazing.
Early indications are that producers intend to plant 542 600 ha of wheat for the 2023 production season. This is 4,27% or 24 200 ha less than the 566 800 ha planted to wheat in 2022.
The main producing areas are within the Western Cape with 362 500 ha (67%), followed by the Free State with 77 000 ha (14%) and the Northern Cape with 40 000 ha (7%).
The expected area planted to malting barley is 109 100 ha, which is 8,02% or 8 100 ha more than the 101 000 ha of the previous year.
The expected area planted to canola is also 127 500 ha, which is 3,23% or 3 990 ha more than the 123 510 ha planted in 2022.
TProducers intend to plant 29 600 ha of cereal oats, which is 9,63 or 2 600 ha more than the 27 000 ha of the previous season.
The expected area planted to sweet lupines is 11 500 ha, which is 45,24% or 9 500 ha less than the previous season.
Please note that the preliminary area estimate of winter crops for 2023 will be released on 26 July 2023.
Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.
Wintergewasse – 2023
Produsente se voorneme om wintergewasse te plant is hoofsaaklik gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise van die Departement van Landbou, Grondhervorming en Landelike Ontwikkeling en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van April 2023. Insette is ook ontvang vanaf die verteenwoordigers van die onderskeie Provinsiale Departemente van Landbou.
Die syfers vir koring verteenwoordig die totale aantal hektare wat werklik beplant gaan word vir graan, uitgesluit alle hektare wat beplant gaan word vir groenvoer en weiding.
Vroeë aanduidings is dat produsente van voorneme is om 542 600 ha koring te plant vir die 2023-produksie-seisoen. Dit is 4,27% of 24 200 ha minder koring aangeplant as die 566 800 ha in 2022.
Die grootste produserende gebiede is in die Wes-Kaap, met 362 500 ha (67%), gevolg deur die Vrystaat met 77 000 ha (14%) en die Noord-Kaap met 40 000 ha (7%).
Die verwagte aanplantings van moutgars is 109 100 ha – 8,02% of 8 100 ha meer as die 101 000 ha van die vorige jaar.
Die verwagte aanplantings van canola is ook 127 500 ha, wat 3,23% of 3 990 ha meer is as die 123 510 ha wat aangeplant was in 2022.
Produsente is van voorneme om 29 600 ha hawermout te plant, wat 9,63% of 2 600 ha meer is as die 27 000 ha van die vorige seisoen.
Die verwagte aanplantings van soetlupine is 11 500 ha, wat 45,24% of 9 500 ha minder is as die vorige seisoen.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2023 op 26 Julie 2023 vrygestel sal word.
Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.
CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting
- Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
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- The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 14:30.
- No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
- Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
- Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
- Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.