WINTER CROPS  //  2024 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Eastern Rûens – high potential regions)
Area Southern Cape: Eastern Rûens (high potential)
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.00 3.00 2.10 2.50 1.70
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2024 R/ton 6 247 6 247 7 476 6 247 4 916
Total deductions R/ton 1 115 974 172 951 198
– Transport differential R/ton 817 817 827 98
– Grade differential R/ton 176 124
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 123 33 172 124 100
Price premiums / Canola back-payment R/ton 71 748
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 132 5 185 8 051 5 296 4 718
Gross income R/ha R15 397 R15 556 R16 908 R13 241 R8 020

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 44 45 49 38
Fertilizer R/ha 3 020 2 971 3 582 2 630 1 381
Lime R/ha 227 227 227 190
Seed R/ha 790 615 1 445 985 1 114
Fuel R/ha 716 732 719 705 649
Herbicide R/ha 1 216 888 1 086 847 797
Insecticide R/ha 189 165 609 140 178
Fungicides R/ha 871 1 279 667 509 478
Marketing costs R/ha 74 102 43
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 739 739 798 739 400
Casual labour R/ha 11 12 13 11 7
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 154 156 146 37 37
Total variable expenditure R/ha R8 052 R7 932 R9 383 R6 831 R5 041
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 684 R2 644 R4 468 R2 733 R2 966
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R7 345 R7 625 R7 525 R6 410 R2 979
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 448 R2 542 R3 583 R2 564 R1 752
Break-even yield T/ha 1.57 1.53 1.17 1.29 1.07
Break-even price R/ton R2 684 R2 644 R4 468 R2 733 R2 966
Source: SSK, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2024.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Eastern Rûens – high potential)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Eastern Ruens - high potential region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Eastern Rûens (high potential)

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R4 132 1 246 2 279 3 312 4 345 5 378 6 411 7 444
R4 382 1 808 2 904 3 999 5 095 6 191 7 286 8 382
R4 632 2 371 3 529 4 687 5 845 7 003 8 161 9 319
R4 882 2 933 4 154 5 374 6 595 7 816 9 036 10 257
R5 132 3 496 4 779 6 062 7 345 8 628 9 911 11 194
R5 382 4 058 5 404 6 749 8 095 9 441 10 786 12 132
R5 632 4 621 6 029 7 437 8 845 10 253 11 661 13 069
R5 882 5 183 6 654 8 124 9 595 11 066 12 536 14 007
R6 132 5 746 7 279 8 812 10 345 11 878 13 411 14 944
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R4 185 1 486 2 532 3 578 4 625 5 671 6 717 7 764
R4 435 2 048 3 157 4 266 5 375 6 484 7 592 8 701
R4 685 2 611 3 782 4 953 6 125 7 296 8 467 9 639
R4 935 3 173 4 407 5 641 6 875 8 109 9 342 10 576
R5 185 3 736 5 032 6 328 7 625 8 921 10 217 11 514
R5 435 4 298 5 657 7 016 8 375 9 734 11 092 12 451
R5 685 4 861 6 282 7 703 9 125 10 546 11 967 13 389
R5 935 5 423 6 907 8 391 9 875 11 359 12 842 14 326
R6 185 5 986 7 532 9 078 10 625 12 171 13 717 15 264
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.35 1.60 1.85 2.10 2.35 2.60 2.85
R7 051 136 1 899 3 662 5 425 7 188 8 950 10 713
R7 301 474 2 299 4 124 5 950 7 775 9 600 11 426
R7 551 811 2 699 4 587 6 475 8 363 10 250 12 138
R7 801 1 149 3 099 5 049 7 000 8 950 10 900 12 851
R8 051 1 486 3 499 5 512 7 525 9 528 11 550 13 563
R8 301 1 824 3 899 5 974 8 050 10 125 12 200 14 276
R8 551 2 161 4 299 6 437 8 575 10 713 12 850 14 988
R8 801 2 499 4 699 6 899 9 100 11 300 13 500 15 701
R9 051 2 836 5 099 7 362 9 625 11 888 14 150 16 413
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R7 301 R7 551 R7 801 R8 051 R8 301 R8 551 R8 801
1.10 -8 697 -8 422 -8 147 -7 872 -7 597 -7 322 -7 047
1.35 -6 871 -6 534 -6 196 -5 859 -5 521 -5 184 -4 846
1.60 -5 046 -4 646 -4 246 -3 846 -3 446 -3 046 -2 646
1.85 -3 221 -2 758 -2 296 -1 833 -1 371 -908 -446
2.10 -1 395 -870 -345 180 705 1 230 1 755
2.35 430 1 018 1 605 2 193 2 780 3 368 3 955
2.60 2 255 2 905 3 555 4 205 4 855 5 505 6 155
2.85 4 081 4 793 5 506 6 218 6 931 7 643 8 356
3.10 5 906 6 681 7 456 8 231 9 006 9 781 10 556

Notes

  • Please refer to Methodology, Approach and Definitions for in-depth interpretation of enterprise budgets.
  • The canola back-payment assumes 10% of contracted price.
  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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