WINTER CROPS  //  2024 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Eastern Rûens – low potential regions)
Area Southern Cape: Eastern Rûens (low potential)
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.20 2.20 1.65 1.50 1.40
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2024 R/ton 6 247 6 247 7 476 6 247 4 916
Total deductions R/ton 1 115 974 172 951 198
– Transport differential R/ton 817 817 827 98
– Grade differential R/ton 176 124
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 123 33 172 124 100
Price premiums / Canola back-payment R/ton 71 748
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 132 5 185 8 051 5 296 4 718
Gross income R/ha R11 291 R11 408 R13 285 R7 945 R6 605

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 32 33 38 23
Fertilizer R/ha 2 364 2 252 2 880 1 915 1 010
Lime R/ha 227 227 227 190
Seed R/ha 677 512 1 329 895 955
Fuel R/ha 685 700 703 665 637
Herbicide R/ha 1 241 593 806 738 806
Insecticide R/ha 163 47 374 131 148
Fungicides R/ha 595 1 164 638 250 381
Marketing costs R/ha 55 75 34
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 612 585 662 585 363
Casual labour R/ha 8 7 9 7 5
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 154 156 146 37 37
Total variable expenditure R/ha R6 812 R6 352 R7 845 R5 436 R4 343
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 097 R2 887 R4 755 R3 624 R3 102
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R4 479 R5 056 R5 439 R2 509 R2 262
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 036 R2 298 R3 297 R1 673 R1 616
Break-even yield T/ha 1.33 1.22 0.97 1.03 0.92
Break-even price R/ton R3 097 R2 887 R4 755 R3 624 R3 102
Source: SSK, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2024.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Eastern Rûens – low potential)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Eastern Ruens - low potential region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Eastern Rûens (low potential)

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.45 1.70 1.95 2.20 2.45 2.70 2.95
R4 132 -821 213 1 246 2 279 3 312 4 345 5 378
R4 382 -458 638 1 733 2 829 3 924 5 020 6 115
R4 632 -96 1 063 2 221 3 379 4 537 5 695 6 853
R4 882 267 1 488 2 708 3 929 5 149 6 370 7 590
R5 132 629 1 913 3 196 4 479 5 765 7 045 8 328
R5 382 992 2 338 3 683 5 029 6 374 7 720 9 065
R5 632 1 354 2 763 4 171 5 579 6 987 8 395 9 803
R5 882 1 717 3 188 4 658 6 129 7 599 9 070 10 540
R6 132 2 079 3 613 5 146 6 679 8 212 9 745 11 278
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.45 1.70 1.95 2.20 2.45 2.70 2.95
R4 185 -283 764 1 810 2 856 3 903 4 949 5 995
R4 435 80 1 189 2 297 3 406 4 515 5 624 6 733
R4 685 442 1 614 2 785 3 956 5 128 6 299 7 470
R4 935 805 2 039 3 272 4 506 5 740 6 974 8 208
R5 185 1 167 2 464 3 760 5 056 6 353 7 649 8 945
R5 435 1 530 2 889 4 247 5 606 6 965 8 324 9 683
R5 685 1 892 3 314 4 735 6 156 7 578 8 999 10 420
R5 935 2 255 3 739 5 222 6 706 8 190 9 674 11 158
R6 185 2 617 4 164 5 710 7 256 8 803 10 349 11 895
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 0.90 1.15 1.40 1.65 1.90 2.15 2.40
R7 051 -1 499 264 2 027 3 789 5 552 7 315 9 078
R7 301 -1 274 551 2 377 4 202 6 027 7 853 9 678
R7 551 -1 049 839 2 727 4 614 6 502 8 390 10 278
R7 801 -824 1 126 3 077 5 027 6 977 8 928 10 878
R8 051 -599 1 414 3 427 5 439 7 452 9 465 11 478
R8 301 -374 1 701 3 777 5 852 7 927 10 003 12 078
R8 551 -149 1 989 4 127 6 264 8 402 10 540 12 678
R8 801 76 2 276 4 477 6 677 8 877 11 078 13 278
R9 051 301 2 564 4 827 7 089 9 352 11 615 13 878
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R7 301 R7 551 R7 801 R8 051 R8 301 R8 551 R8 801
0.65 -7 578 -7 416 -7 253 -7 091 -6 928 -6 766 -6 603
0.90 -5 753 -5 528 -5 303 -5 078 -4 853 -4 628 -4 403
1.15 -3 928 -3 640 -3 353 -3 065 -2 778 -2 490 -2 203
1.40 -2 102 -1 752 -1 402 -1 052 -702 -352 -2
1.65 -277 136 548 961 1 373 1 786 2 198
1.90 1 549 2 024 2 499 2 974 3 449 3 924 4 399
2.15 3 374 3 911 4 449 4 986 5 524 6 061 6 599
2.40 5 199 5 799 6 399 6 999 7 599 8 199 8 799
2.65 7 025 7 687 8 350 9 012 9 675 10 337 11 000

Notes

  • Please refer to Methodology, Approach and Definitions for in-depth interpretation of enterprise budgets.
  • The canola back-payment assumes 10% of contracted price.
  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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