2025 ICB: dryland winter crops in Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville
WINTER CROPS  //  2025 Income and Cost Budgets

Western Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, canola and oats for Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville
Area Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville
Crop Wheat Canola Oats
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.00 1.65 2.70
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2025 R/ton 6 327 7 637 6 327
Total deductions R/ton 1 078 29 833
– Transport differential R/ton 800 800
– Grade differential R/ton 168
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 110 29 33
Price premiums / Canola back-payment R/ton 764
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 249 8 371 5 494
Gross income R/ha R15 748 R13 813 R14 835

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 45 40 43
Fertilizer R/ha 3 005 3 291 2 592
Lime R/ha 262 220 269
Seed R/ha 790 1 685 904
Fuel R/ha 715 618 673
Herbicide R/ha 1 584 1 014 777
Insecticide R/ha 282 526 133
Fungicides R/ha 660 464 450
Marketing costs R/ha 68 20
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 832 732 852
Casual labour R/ha 17 22 15
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 44 44 44
Total variable expenditure R/ha R8 305 R8 675 R6 751
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 768 R5 257 R2 500
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R7 442 R5 138 R8 084
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 481 R3 114 R2 994
Break-even yield T/ha 1.58 1.04 1.23
Break-even price R/ton R2 768 R5 257 R2 500
Source: Kaap Agri, Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2025.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Swartland
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Swartland)

Gross margin per hectare: Western Cape – Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R4 249 1 255 2 318 3 380 4 442 5 505 6 567 7 629
R4 499 1 818 2 943 4 068 5 192 6 317 7 442 8 567
R4 749 2 380 3 568 4 755 5 942 7 130 8 317 9 504
R4 999 2 943 4 193 5 443 6 692 7 942 9 192 10 442
R5 249 3 505 4 818 6 130 7 442 8 755 10 067 11 379
R5 499 4 068 5 443 6 818 8 192 9 567 10 942 12 317
R5 749 4 630 6 068 7 505 8 942 10 380 11 817 13 254
R5 999 5 193 6 693 8 193 9 692 11 192 12 692 14 192
R6 249 5 755 7 318 8 880 10 442 12 005 13 567 15 129
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.65 1.75 2.00 2.25
R7 371 -1 303 539 2 382 3 488 4 225 6 068 7 911
R7 621 -1 053 852 2 757 3 900 4 663 6 568 8 473
R7 871 -803 1 164 3 132 4 313 5 100 7 068 9 036
R8 121 -553 1 477 3 507 4 725 5 538 7 568 9 598
R8 371 -303 1 789 3 882 5 138 5 975 8 068 10 161
R8 621 -53 2 102 4 257 5 550 6 413 8 568 10 723
R8 871 197 2 414 4 632 5 963 6 850 9 068 11 286
R9 121 447 2 727 5 007 6 375 7 288 9 568 11 848
R9 371 697 3 039 5 382 6 788 7 725 10 068 12 411
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R7 621 R7 871 R8 121 R8 371 R8 621 R8 871 R9 121
0.50 -12 306 -12 181 -12 056 -11 931 -11 806 -11 681 -11 556
1.00 -8 496 -8 246 -7 996 -7 746 -7 496 -7 246 -6 996
1.25 -6 591 -6 278 -5 966 -5 653 -5 341 -5 028 -4 716
1.50 -4 685 -4 310 -3 935 -3 560 -3 185 -2 810 -2 435
1.65 -3 542 -3 130 -2 717 -2 305 -1 892 -1 480 -1 067
1.75 -2 780 -2 342 -1 905 -1 467 -1 030 -592 -155
2.00 -875 -375 125 625 1 125 1 625 2 125
2.25 1 031 1 593 2 156 2 718 3 281 3 843 4 406
2.50 2 936 3 561 4 186 4 811 5 436 6 061 6 686

Notes

  • Please refer to Methodology, Approach and Definitions for in-depth interpretation of enterprise budgets.
  • The canola back-payment assumes 10% of contracted price.
  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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