Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated May 2008)
Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
Requirements / Sales |
80 000 |
60 000 |
40 000 |
1 414 338 |
1 635 525 |
1 500 000 |
Available / Produced |
101 000 |
87 000 |
111 000 |
572 231 |
608 370 |
508 759 |
Shortage / Imports |
-21 000 |
-27 000 |
-71 000 |
842 107 |
1 027 155 |
991 241 |
2007/2008 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007
Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
AFMA Members |
78 284 |
37 871 |
41 379 |
907 582 |
1 063 945 |
1 105 289 |
Non-AFMA Members |
1 716 |
22 129 |
-1 379 |
506 756 |
571 580 |
394 711 |
Total |
80 000 |
60 000 |
40 000 |
1 414 338 |
1 635 525 |
1 500 000 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007
2007/2008 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.
Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
|
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Raw Materials |
2005/2006 |
|
2006/2007 |
|
2007/2008 |
|
Sunflower oilcake |
216 605 |
5.02 |
169 172 |
3.79 |
160 919 |
3.27 |
Groundnuts oilcake |
2 636 |
0.06 |
316 |
0.01 |
0 |
0.00 |
Soy oilcake |
473 885 |
10.98 |
653 463 |
14.64 |
757 588 |
15.38 |
Full fat soy |
147 702 |
3.43 |
183 047 |
4.10 |
139 270 |
2.83 |
Cotton oilcake |
50 865 |
1.18 |
35 590 |
0.80 |
20 603 |
0.42 |
Full fat cotton |
6 454 |
0.15 |
10 241 |
0.23 |
9 961 |
0.20 |
Canola oilcake |
5 344 |
0.12 |
4 330 |
0.10 |
2 792 |
0.06 |
Full fat canola |
1 218 |
0.03 |
3 757 |
0.08 |
664 |
0.01 |
Total oilcake |
907 582 |
21.04 |
1 063 945 |
24.67 |
1 105 289 |
22.44 |
Total maize products |
2 387 611 |
53.51 |
2 428 502 |
54.05 |
2 622 148 |
53.25 |
Total fishmeal |
78 284 |
1.82 |
37 871 |
0.88 |
41 379 |
0.84 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007
AFMA raw material usage April 2007 to March 2008.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.
Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) |
Imported Fishmeal (ton) |
Year |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
RSA |
95 000 |
75 000 |
105 000 |
|
|
|
Namibia |
6 000 |
12 000 |
6 000 |
|
|
|
Total |
101 000 |
87 000 |
111 000 |
-21 000 |
-27 000 |
-71 000 |
Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2007/2008 – Estimate
Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports (2005/2006-2007/2008)
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local Oilcake production (ton) |
Imported Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
Oilcake |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Groundnuts oilcake |
1 391 |
2 515 |
1 659 |
|
|
|
Sunflower oilcake |
267 120 |
199 500 |
178 500 |
22 144 |
68 808 |
|
Soy cake |
37 200 |
113 440 |
272 000 |
635 173 |
808 051 |
|
– Full fat |
172 800 |
189 840 |
|
4 504 |
3 949 |
|
– Beans |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cotton cake |
37 500 |
32 500 |
32 500 |
121 947 |
99 617 |
|
– Full fat |
35 000 |
35 000 |
|
52 684 |
39 766 |
|
Other |
|
|
|
5 655 |
6 965 |
|
Canola |
17 270 |
21 175 |
14 300 |
|
|
|
Lupins |
3 950 |
14 400 |
9 800 |
|
|
|
Copra & Palm Kernel |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
572 231 |
608 370 |
508 759 |
842 107 |
1 027 156 |
991 241 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2006/2007
2007/2008 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton) (2004/2005-2008/2009 marketing season)
Crop |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
White maize |
5 805 000 |
6 540 700 |
4 187 400 |
4 315 000 |
6 525 050 |
Yellow maize |
3 677 000 |
4 909 300 |
2 430 600 |
2 810 000 |
4 472 800 |
Sorghum |
373 000 |
260 000 |
96 000 |
176 000 |
255 995 |
Groundnuts |
115 000 |
64 000 |
74 000 |
58 000 |
82 185 |
Sunflower |
648 000 |
620 000 |
520 000 |
300 000 |
785 880 |
Soybeans |
220 000 |
272 500 |
424 000 |
205 000 |
302 250 |
Cotton seed ¹ |
50 169 |
37 804 |
25 962 |
19 525 |
18 623 |
Wheat |
1 680 000 |
1 905 000 |
2 105 000 |
1 843 900 |
|
Sweet lupins |
3 950 |
14 100 |
14 400 |
13 300 |
|
Canola |
32 000 |
44 200 |
36 500 |
39 840 |
|
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops (26 February 2008) and third crop estimate for summer crops for the 2008/2009 marketing year (24 April 2008).
¹ Cotton South Africa
Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton) (2008/2009 marketing season)
Crop |
Opening stock |
Imports to RSA |
Production |
Total supply |
White maize |
690 000 |
0 |
6 525 050 |
7 215 050 |
Yellow maize |
369 000 |
0 |
4 472 800 |
4 841 800 |
Sorghum |
47 000 |
0 |
255 995 |
302 995 |
Groundnuts |
19 000 |
0 |
82 185 |
101 185 |
Sunflower |
95 000 |
5 000 |
785 880 |
885 880 |
Soybeans |
95 000 |
60 000 |
302 250 |
457 250 |
Wheat |
380 000 |
1 500 000 |
1 843 900 |
3 723 900 |
Canola |
10 900 |
0 |
39 840 |
50 740 |
Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA (2003/2004-2008/2009 production season)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ha Planted |
Crop |
2003/2004 |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
White maize |
1 842 000 |
1 700 000 |
1 033 000 |
1 624 800 |
1 737 000 |
|
Yellow maize |
1 001 300 |
1 110 000 |
567 200 |
927 000 |
1 062 000 |
|
Sorghum |
130 000 |
86 500 |
37 150 |
69 000 |
89 800 |
|
Groundnuts |
71 500 |
40 000 |
48 550 |
40 770 |
54 200 |
|
Sunflower |
530 000 |
460 000 |
472 480 |
316 350 |
564 300 |
|
Soybeans |
135 000 |
150 000 |
240 570 |
183 000 |
174 400 |
|
Wheat |
748 000 |
830 000 |
805 000 |
764 800 |
632 000 |
750 000 |
Sweet lupins |
10 100 |
7 100 |
14 100 |
16 000 |
14 000 |
N/A |
Canola |
44 200 |
44 250 |
40 200 |
32 000 |
33 260 |
33 000 |
Total |
4 512 100 |
4 427 850 |
3 258 250 |
3 973 720 |
4 360 720 |
783 000 |
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Third estimate to plant for summer crops 2007/2008 production season (24 April 2008). Intentions to plant winter crops 2008/2009 production season (24 April 2008).
Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops |
Season |
White maize |
May-April |
Yellow maize |
May-April |
Sorghum |
April-March |
Groundnuts |
March-February |
Sunflower |
January-December |
Soybeans |
January-December |
Wheat |
October-September |