Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2008 May

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated May 2008)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
Requirements / Sales 80 000 60 000 40 000 1 414 338 1 635 525 1 500 000
Available / Produced 101 000 87 000 111 000 572 231 608 370 508 759
Shortage / Imports -21 000 -27 000 -71 000 842 107 1 027 155 991 241

2007/2008 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
AFMA Members 78 284 37 871 41 379 907 582 1 063 945 1 105 289
Non-AFMA Members 1 716 22 129 -1 379 506 756 571 580 394 711
Total 80 000 60 000 40 000 1 414 338 1 635 525 1 500 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007
2007/2008 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
Sunflower oilcake 216 605 5.02 169 172 3.79 160 919 3.27
Groundnuts oilcake 2 636 0.06 316 0.01 0 0.00
Soy oilcake 473 885 10.98 653 463 14.64 757 588 15.38
Full fat soy 147 702 3.43 183 047 4.10 139 270 2.83
Cotton oilcake 50 865 1.18 35 590 0.80 20 603 0.42
Full fat cotton 6 454 0.15 10 241 0.23 9 961 0.20
Canola oilcake 5 344 0.12 4 330 0.10 2 792 0.06
Full fat canola 1 218 0.03 3 757 0.08 664 0.01
Total oilcake 907 582 21.04 1 063 945 24.67 1 105 289 22.44
Total maize products 2 387 611 53.51 2 428 502 54.05 2 622 148 53.25
Total fish-meal 78 284 1.82 37 871 0.88 41 379 0.84

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2006/2007
AFMA raw material usage April 2007 to March 2008.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2005/2006-2007/2008) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
RSA 95 000 75 000 105 000
Namibia 6 000 12 000 6 000
Total 101 000 87 000 111 000 -21 000 -27 000 -71 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2007/2008 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2005/2006-2007/2008)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 1 391 2 515 1 659
Sunflower oilcake 267 120 199 500 178 500 22 144 68 808
Soy cake 37 200 113 440 272 000 635 173 808 051
– Full fat 172 800 189 840 4 504 3 949
– Beans
Cotton cake 37 500 32 500 32 500 121 947 99 617
– Full fat 35 000 35 000 52 684 39 766
Other 5 655 6 965
Canola 17 270 21 175 14 300
Lupins 3 950 14 400 9 800
Copra & Palm Kernel
Total 572 231 608 370 508 759 842 107 1 027 156 991 241

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2006/2007
2007/2008 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2004/2005-2008/2009 marketing season)
Crop 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
White maize 5 805 000 6 540 700 4 187 400 4 315 000 6 525 050
Yellow maize 3 677 000 4 909 300 2 430 600 2 810 000 4 472 800
Sorghum 373 000 260 000 96 000 176 000 255 995
Groundnuts 115 000 64 000 74 000 58 000 82 185
Sunflower 648 000 620 000 520 000 300 000 785 880
Soybeans 220 000 272 500 424 000 205 000 302 250
Cotton seed ¹ 50 169 37 804 25 962 19 525 18 623
Wheat 1 680 000 1 905 000 2 105 000 1 843 900
Sweet lupins 3 950 14 100 14 400 13 300
Canola 32 000 44 200 36 500 39 840

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops (26 February 2008) and third crop estimate for summer crops for the 2008/2009 marketing year (24 April 2008).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2008/2009 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 690 000 0 6 525 050 7 215 050
Yellow maize 369 000 0 4 472 800 4 841 800
Sorghum 47 000 0 255 995 302 995
Groundnuts 19 000 0 82 185 101 185
Sunflower 95 000 5 000 785 880 885 880
Soybeans 95 000 60 000 302 250 457 250
Wheat 380 000 1 500 000 1 843 900 3 723 900
Canola 10 900 0 39 840 50 740

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2003/2004-2008/2009 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
White maize 1 842 000 1 700 000 1 033 000 1 624 800 1 737 000
Yellow maize 1 001 300 1 110 000 567 200 927 000 1 062 000
Sorghum 130 000 86 500 37 150 69 000 89 800
Groundnuts 71 500 40 000 48 550 40 770 54 200
Sunflower 530 000 460 000 472 480 316 350 564 300
Soybeans 135 000 150 000 240 570 183 000 174 400
Wheat 748 000 830 000 805 000 764 800 632 000 750 000
Sweet lupins 10 100 7 100 14 100 16 000 14 000 N/A
Canola 44 200 44 250 40 200 32 000 33 260 33 000
Total 4 512 100 4 427 850 3 258 250 3 973 720 4 360 720 783 000

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Third estimate to plant for summer crops 2007/2008 production season (24 April 2008). Intentions to plant winter crops 2008/2009 production season (24 April 2008).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September