Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2008 September

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated September 2008)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
Requirements / Sales 80 000 60 000 55 000 1 635 526 1 758 185 1 700 000
Available / Produced 87 000 91 700 91 000 608 370 494 557 695 291
Shortage / Imports -7 000 -31 700 -36 000 1 027 156 1 263 628 1 004 709

2008/2009 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
AFMA Members 37 871 48 156 48 156 1 063 945 1 089 213 1 089 213
Non-AFMA Members 42 129 11 844 6 844 571 581 668 972 610 787
Total 80 000 60 000 55 000 1 635 526 1 758 185 1 700 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
2008/2009 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
Sunflower oilcake 169 172 3.79 167 856 3.76 167 856 3.76
Groundnuts oilcake 316 0.01 0 0.00 0 0.00
Soy oilcake 653 463 14.64 752 073 16.85 752 073 16.85
Full fat soy 183 047 4.10 130 609 2.93 130 609 2.93
Cotton oilcake 35 590 0.80 19 069 0.43 19 069 0.43
Full fat cotton 10 241 0.23 9 074 0.20 9 074 0.20
Canola oilcake 4 330 0.10 2 963 0.07 2 963 0.07
Full fat canola 3 757 0.08 553 0.01 553 0.01
Total oilcake 1 063 945 24.67 1 089 213 25.25 1 089 213 25.25
Total maize products 2 428 502 54.05 2 627 498 51.29 2 627 498 51.29
Total fish-meal 37 871 0.88 48 156 1.21 48 156 1.21

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
AFMA raw material usage April 2008 to March 2009.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
RSA 75 000 85 000 85 000
Namibia 12 000 6 700 6 000
Total 87 000 91 700 91 000 -7 000 -31 700 -36 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2008/2009 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2006/2007-2008/2009)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 2 515 54 540 344
Sunflower oilcake 199 500 138 558 371 935 68 808 103 987
Soy cake 113 440 115 200 258 396 808 051 904 214
– Full fat 189 840 138 000 3 949 104 377
– Beans
Cotton cake 32 500 32 500 32 500 99 617 109 988
– Full fat 35 000 35 000 39 766 33 338
Other 6 965 7 425
Canola 21 175 21 945 22 120
Lupins 14 400 13 300 9 800
Copra & Palm Kernel
Total 608 370 494 557 695 291 1 027 156 1 263 673 1 004 709

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2007/2008
2008/2009 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2004/2005-2008/2009 marketing season)
Crop 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
White maize 5 805 000 6 540 700 4 187 400 4 315 000 7 098 250
Yellow maize 3 677 000 4 909 300 2 430 600 2 810 000 4 922 900
Sorghum 373 000 260 000 96 000 176 000 260 425
Groundnuts 115 000 64 000 74 000 58 000 85 360
Sunflower 648 000 620 000 520 000 300 000 885 560
Soybeans 220 000 272 500 424 000 205 000 308 295
Cotton seed ¹ 50 169 37 804 25 962 19 525 18 263
Wheat 1 680 000 1 905 000 2 105 000 1 905 000 2 185 350
Sweet lupins 3 950 14 100 14 400 13 300 14 000
Canola 32 000 44 200 36 500 38 150 35 000

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; First forecast for winter crops (27 August 2008) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2008/2009 marketing year (27 August 2008).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2008/2009 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 631 000 0 7 098 250 7 729 250
Yellow maize 439 000 200 000 4 922 900 5 561 900
Sorghum 43 000 0 260 425 303 425
Groundnuts 19 000 10 000 85 360 114 360
Sunflower 95 000 5 000 885 560 985 560
Soybeans 97 000 30 000 308 295 435 295
Wheat 344 000 1 140 000 2 185 350 3 669 350
Canola 6 100 13 000 35 000 54 100

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2003/2004-2008/2009 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
White maize 1 842 000 1 700 000 1 033 000 1 624 800 1 737 000
Yellow maize 1 001 300 1 110 000 567 200 927 000 1 062 000
Sorghum 130 000 86 500 37 150 69 000 89 800
Groundnuts 71 500 40 000 48 550 40 770 54 200
Sunflower 530 000 460 000 472 480 316 350 564 300
Soybeans 135 000 150 000 240 570 183 000 174 400
Wheat 748 000 830 000 805 000 764 800 632 000 750 000
Sweet lupins 10 100 7 100 14 100 16 000 14 000 14 000
Canola 44 200 44 250 40 200 32 000 33 260 33 000
Total 4 512 100 4 427 850 3 258 250 3 973 720 4 360 960 797 000

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final estimate to plant summer crops 2007/2008 production season (27 August 2008). Revised area for winter crops 2008/2009 production season (27 August 2008).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September