Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated March 2012)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
Requirements / Sales 77 500 58 000 50 000 1 743 137 1 857 490 1 857 490
Available / Produced 111 500 97 000 74 000 701 030 624 912 929 240
Shortage / Imports -34 000 -39 000 -24 000 1 042 107 1 232 578 928 250

2010/2011 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
AFMA Members 57 680 30 754 27 567 1 218 476 1 255 258 1 267 389
Non-AFMA Members 19 820 27 246 22 433 524 661 602 232 590 101
Total 77 500 58 000 50 000 1 743 137 1 857 490 1 857 490

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
2010/2011 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
Sunflower oilcake 313 922 5.91 256 841 4.64 239 655 4.18
Groundnut oilcake 0 0.00 138 0.00 2 481 0.04
Soya oilcake 701 055 13.19 815 958 14.75 875 013 15.25
Full fat soya 164 840 3.10 142 758 2.58 116 514 2.03
Cottonseed oilcake 18 739 0.35 17 142 0.31 14 202 0.25
Full fat cottonseed 4 779 0.09 5 704 0.10 6 015 0.10
Canola oilcake 2 834 0.05 5 974 0.11 5 583 0.10
Full fat canola 618 0.01 1 056 0.02 1 056 0.02
Copra and Palm kernel 7 655 0.14 7 425 0.13 6 867 0.12
Maize germ oilcake 4 033 0.08 2 261 0.04 0 0.00
Total oilcake 1 218 476 22.93 1 255 258 22.69 1 267 389 22.08
Total maize products 2 900 624 54.58 3 034 924 54.87 3 179 727 55.41
Total fishmeal 57 680 1.09 30 754 0.56 27 567 0.48

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
AFMA raw material usage April 2010 to March 2011.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
RSA 98 000 80 000 55 000
Namibia ¹ 13 500 17 500 19 000
Total 111 500 97 000 74 000 -34 000 -39 000 -24 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2010/2011 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2009/2010-2011/2012)
  Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
Oilcake:
Groundnuts oilcake 0 3 0 1
Sunflower oilcake 364 140 249 984 369 180 84 906 103 062
Soya cake 103 520 152 000 488 000 829 000 989 112
  – Full fat 148 320 149 600
  – Beans 2 800 357
Cotton cake 20 000 7 500 32 500 88 000 87 354
  – Full fat 30 000 25 000 33 500 17 928
Other: 3 900 34 764
Canola 17 050 22 825 21 560
Lupins 18 000 18 000 18 000
Copra and Palm kernel
Total 701 030 624 912 929 240 1 042 106 1 232 578 928 250

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2010/2012
2010/2011 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2008/2009-2012/2013 marketing season)
Crop 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013
White maize 7 480 000 6 775 000 7 822 400 6 052 000 6 803 700
Yellow maize 5 220 000 5 275 000 5 220 600 4 308 000 4 901 650
Sorghum 255 000 276 500 220 093 155 000 145 150
Groundnuts 88 800 99 500 87 880 64 250 67 165
Sunflower 872 000 801 000 516 265 860 000 540 820
Soybeans 282 000 516 000 560 950 710 000 755 950
Cotton seed ¹ 17 378 15 658 14 793 31 373 23 358
Wheat 2 130 000 1 958 000 1 430 000 1 905 280
Canola 30 800 40 350 36 900 59 490

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops (28 February 2012) and first crop estimate for summer crops for the 2012/2013 marketing year (28 February 2012).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Estimated Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2012/2013 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Exports Total supply
White Maize 312 000 13 000 6 803 700 1 072 000 6 056 700
Yellow maize 353 000 400 000 4 901 650 450 000 5 204 650
Sorghum 34 000 88 000 145 150 20 000 247 150
Groundnuts 19 000 15 000 67 165 15 000 86 165
Sunflower 233 000 1 000 540 820 0 774 820
Soybeans 306 000 3 000 755 950 85 000 979 950
Wheat 478 000 1 420 000 1 905 280 245 000 3 558 280
Canola 4 000 0 59 490 0 63 490

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2006/2007-2011/2012 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
White maize 1 624 800 1 737 000 1 489 000 1 719 700 1 418 300 1 632 200
Yellow maize 927 000 1 062 000 938 500 1 022 700 954 000 1 050 000
Sorghum 69 000 86 800 85 500 86 675 69 200 48 550
Groundnuts 40 770 54 200 54 550 57 450 55 150 45 450
Sunflower 316 350 564 300 635 800 397 700 642 700 443 300
Soybeans 183 000 165 400 237 750 311 450 418 000 472 000
Wheat 764 800 632 000 748 000 642 500 558 100 604 700
Canola 32 000 33 260 34 000 35 060 34 820 43 510
Total 3 957 720 4 334 960 4 223 100 4 273 235 4 150 270 4 339 710

Source: National Crops Estimates Committee – First forecast to plant summer crops 2011/2012 production season (28 February 2012). Final forecast to plant winter crops 2011 production season (28 February 2012).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September