Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated March 2012)
Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
2011/2012 |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
2011/2012 |
Requirements / Sales |
77 500 |
58 000 |
50 000 |
1 743 137 |
1 857 490 |
1 857 490 |
Available / Produced |
111 500 |
97 000 |
74 000 |
701 030 |
624 912 |
929 240 |
Shortage / Imports |
-34 000 |
-39 000 |
-24 000 |
1 042 107 |
1 232 578 |
928 250 |
2010/2011 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
2011/2012 |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
2011/2012 |
AFMA Members |
57 680 |
30 754 |
27 567 |
1 218 476 |
1 255 258 |
1 267 389 |
Non-AFMA Members |
19 820 |
27 246 |
22 433 |
524 661 |
602 232 |
590 101 |
Total |
77 500 |
58 000 |
50 000 |
1 743 137 |
1 857 490 |
1 857 490 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
2010/2011 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.
Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
|
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Raw Materials |
2009/2010 |
|
2010/2011 |
|
2011/2012 |
|
Sunflower oilcake |
313 922 |
5.91 |
256 841 |
4.64 |
239 655 |
4.18 |
Groundnut oilcake |
0 |
0.00 |
138 |
0.00 |
2 481 |
0.04 |
Soya oilcake |
701 055 |
13.19 |
815 958 |
14.75 |
875 013 |
15.25 |
Full fat soya |
164 840 |
3.10 |
142 758 |
2.58 |
116 514 |
2.03 |
Cottonseed oilcake |
18 739 |
0.35 |
17 142 |
0.31 |
14 202 |
0.25 |
Full fat cottonseed |
4 779 |
0.09 |
5 704 |
0.10 |
6 015 |
0.10 |
Canola oilcake |
2 834 |
0.05 |
5 974 |
0.11 |
5 583 |
0.10 |
Full fat canola |
618 |
0.01 |
1 056 |
0.02 |
1 056 |
0.02 |
Copra and Palm kernel |
7 655 |
0.14 |
7 425 |
0.13 |
6 867 |
0.12 |
Maize germ oilcake |
4 033 |
0.08 |
2 261 |
0.04 |
0 |
0.00 |
Total oilcake |
1 218 476 |
22.93 |
1 255 258 |
22.69 |
1 267 389 |
22.08 |
Total maize products |
2 900 624 |
54.58 |
3 034 924 |
54.87 |
3 179 727 |
55.41 |
Total fishmeal |
57 680 |
1.09 |
30 754 |
0.56 |
27 567 |
0.48 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
AFMA raw material usage April 2010 to March 2011.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.
Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) |
Imported Fishmeal (ton) |
Year |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
2011/2012 |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
2011/2012 |
RSA |
98 000 |
80 000 |
55 000 |
|
|
|
Namibia ¹ |
13 500 |
17 500 |
19 000 |
|
|
|
Total |
111 500 |
97 000 |
74 000 |
-34 000 |
-39 000 |
-24 000 |
Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2010/2011 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.
Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports (2009/2010-2011/2012)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local Oilcake production (ton) |
Imported Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
2011/2012 |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
2011/2012 |
Oilcake: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Groundnuts oilcake |
0 |
3 |
0 |
|
1 |
|
Sunflower oilcake |
364 140 |
249 984 |
369 180 |
84 906 |
103 062 |
|
Soya cake |
103 520 |
152 000 |
488 000 |
829 000 |
989 112 |
|
– Full fat |
148 320 |
149 600 |
|
|
|
|
– Beans |
|
|
|
2 800 |
357 |
|
Cotton cake |
20 000 |
7 500 |
32 500 |
88 000 |
87 354 |
|
– Full fat |
30 000 |
25 000 |
|
33 500 |
17 928 |
|
Other: |
|
|
|
3 900 |
34 764 |
|
Canola |
17 050 |
22 825 |
21 560 |
|
|
|
Lupins |
18 000 |
18 000 |
18 000 |
|
|
|
Copra and Palm kernel |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
701 030 |
624 912 |
929 240 |
1 042 106 |
1 232 578 |
928 250 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2010/2012
2010/2011 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton) (2008/2009-2012/2013 marketing season)
Crop |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
2011/2012 |
2012/2013 |
White maize |
7 480 000 |
6 775 000 |
7 822 400 |
6 052 000 |
6 803 700 |
Yellow maize |
5 220 000 |
5 275 000 |
5 220 600 |
4 308 000 |
4 901 650 |
Sorghum |
255 000 |
276 500 |
220 093 |
155 000 |
145 150 |
Groundnuts |
88 800 |
99 500 |
87 880 |
64 250 |
67 165 |
Sunflower |
872 000 |
801 000 |
516 265 |
860 000 |
540 820 |
Soybeans |
282 000 |
516 000 |
560 950 |
710 000 |
755 950 |
Cotton seed ¹ |
17 378 |
15 658 |
14 793 |
31 373 |
23 358 |
Wheat |
2 130 000 |
1 958 000 |
1 430 000 |
1 905 280 |
|
Canola |
30 800 |
40 350 |
36 900 |
59 490 |
|
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops (28 February 2012) and first crop estimate for summer crops for the 2012/2013 marketing year (28 February 2012).
¹ Cotton South Africa
Table 7
Estimated Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton) (2012/2013 marketing season)
Crop |
Opening stock |
Imports to RSA |
Production |
Exports |
Total supply |
White Maize |
312 000 |
13 000 |
6 803 700 |
1 072 000 |
6 056 700 |
Yellow maize |
353 000 |
400 000 |
4 901 650 |
450 000 |
5 204 650 |
Sorghum |
34 000 |
88 000 |
145 150 |
20 000 |
247 150 |
Groundnuts |
19 000 |
15 000 |
67 165 |
15 000 |
86 165 |
Sunflower |
233 000 |
1 000 |
540 820 |
0 |
774 820 |
Soybeans |
306 000 |
3 000 |
755 950 |
85 000 |
979 950 |
Wheat |
478 000 |
1 420 000 |
1 905 280 |
245 000 |
3 558 280 |
Canola |
4 000 |
0 |
59 490 |
0 |
63 490 |
Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA (2006/2007-2011/2012 production season)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ha Planted |
Crop |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2009/2010 |
2010/2011 |
2011/2012 |
White maize |
1 624 800 |
1 737 000 |
1 489 000 |
1 719 700 |
1 418 300 |
1 632 200 |
Yellow maize |
927 000 |
1 062 000 |
938 500 |
1 022 700 |
954 000 |
1 050 000 |
Sorghum |
69 000 |
86 800 |
85 500 |
86 675 |
69 200 |
48 550 |
Groundnuts |
40 770 |
54 200 |
54 550 |
57 450 |
55 150 |
45 450 |
Sunflower |
316 350 |
564 300 |
635 800 |
397 700 |
642 700 |
443 300 |
Soybeans |
183 000 |
165 400 |
237 750 |
311 450 |
418 000 |
472 000 |
Wheat |
764 800 |
632 000 |
748 000 |
642 500 |
558 100 |
604 700 |
Canola |
32 000 |
33 260 |
34 000 |
35 060 |
34 820 |
43 510 |
Total |
3 957 720 |
4 334 960 |
4 223 100 |
4 273 235 |
4 150 270 |
4 339 710 |
Source: National Crops Estimates Committee – First forecast to plant summer crops 2011/2012 production season (28 February 2012). Final forecast to plant winter crops 2011 production season (28 February 2012).
Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops |
Season |
White maize |
May-April |
Yellow maize |
May-April |
Sorghum |
April-March |
Groundnuts |
March-February |
Sunflower |
January-December |
Soybeans |
January-December |
Wheat |
October-September |