Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2012 January

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated January 2012)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
Requirements / Sales 77 500 58 000 50 000 1 743 137 1 857 490 1 857 490
Available / Produced 111 500 97 000 74 000 701 030 624 912 929 240
Shortage / Imports -34 000 -39 000 -24 000 1 042 107 1 232 578 928 250

2010/2011 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2010/2011-2011/2012) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
AFMA Members 57 680 30 754 27 690 1 218 476 1 255 258 1 219 098
Non-AFMA Members 19 820 27 246 22 310 524 661 602 232 638 392
Total 77 500 58 000 50 000 1 743 137 1 857 490 1 857 490

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
2010/2011 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
Sunflower oilcake 313 922 5.91 256 841 4.64 223 200 4.01
Groundnut oilcake 0 0.00 138 0.00 2 580 0.05
Soya oilcake 701 055 13.19 815 958 14.75 852 156 15.32
Full fat soya 164 840 3.10 142 758 2.58 105 750 1.90
Cottonseed oilcake 18 739 0.35 17 142 0.31 14 826 0.27
Full fat cottonseed 4 779 0.09 5 704 0.10 5 910 0.11
Canola oilcake 2 834 0.05 5 974 0.11 6 930 0.12
Full fat canola 618 0.01 1 056 0.02 1 056 0.02
Copra and Palm kernel 7 655 0.14 7 425 0.13 6 690 0.12
Maize germ oilcake 4 033 0.08 2 261 0.04 0 0.00
Total oilcake 1 218 476 22.93 1 255 258 22.69 1 219 098 21.92
Total maize products 2 900 624 54.58 3 034 924 54.87 3 095 550 55.66
Total fish meal 57 680 1.09 30 754 0.56 27 690 0.50

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2009/2010
AFMA raw material usage April 2010 to March 2011.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2009/2010-2011/2012) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
RSA 98 000 80 000 55 000
Namibia ¹ 13 500 17 500 19 000
Total 111 500 97 000 74 000 -34 000 -39 000 -24 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2010/2011 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2009/2010-2011/2012)
  Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
Oilcake:            
Groundnuts oilcake 0 3 0 1
Sunflower oilcake 364 140 249 984 369 180 84 906 103 062
Soya cake 103 520 152 000 488 000 829 000 989 112
  – Full fat 148 320 149 600
  – Beans 2 800 357
Cotton cake 20 000 7 500 32 500 88 000 87 354
  – Full fat 30 000 25 000 33 500 17 928
Other: 3 900 34 764
Canola 17 050 22 825 21 560
Lupins 18 000 18 000 18 000
Copra and Palm kernel
Total 701 030 624 912 929 240 1 042 106 1 232 578 928 250

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2010/2012
2010/2011 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2007/2008-2011/2012 marketing season)
Crop 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
White maize 4 315 000 7 480 000 6 775 000 7 822 400 6 052 000
Yellow maize 2 810 000 5 220 000 5 275 000 5 220 600 4 308 000
Sorghum 176 000 255 000 276 500 220 093 155 000
Groundnuts 58 000 88 800 99 500 87 880 64 250
Sunflower 300 000 872 000 801 000 516 265 860 000
Soybeans 205 000 282 000 516 000 560 950 710 000
Cotton seed ¹ 19 525 17 378 15 658 14 793 31 373
Wheat 1 905 000 2 130 000 1 958 000 1 430 000 1 773 180
Canola 38 150 30 800 40 350 36 900 59 490

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth production forecast for winter crops (21 December 2011) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2011/2012 marketing year (1 December 2011).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Estimated Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2011/2012 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White Maize 1 609 000 60 000 6 052 000 7 721 000
Yellow maize 727 000 350 000 4 308 000 5 385 000
Sorghum 58 000 55 000 155 000 269 000
Groundnuts 28 000 15 000 64 250 107 250
Sunflower 48 000 11 000 860 000 919 000
Soybeans 103 000 1 000 710 000 814 000
Wheat 478 000 1 420 000 1 773 180 3 671 180
Canola 4 000 0 59 490 63 490

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2006/2007-2011/2012 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012
White maize 1 624 800 1 737 000 1 489 000 1 719 700 1 418 300 1 564 200
Yellow maize 927 000 1 062 000 938 500 1 022 700 954 000 1 038 000
Sorghum 69 000 86 800 85 500 86 675 69 200 47 200
Groundnuts 40 770 54 200 54 550 57 450 55 150 58 000
Sunflower 316 350 564 300 635 800 397 700 642 700 555 000
Soybeans 183 000 165 400 237 750 311 450 418 000 460 000
Wheat 764 800 632 000 748 000 642 500 558 100 604 700
Canola 32 000 33 260 34 000 35 060 34 820 43 510
Total 3 957 720 4 334 960 4 223 100 4 273 235 4 150 270 4 370 610

Source: National Crops Estimates Committee – Intentions to plant summer crops 2011/2012 production season (25 October 2011). Fifth forecast to plant winter crops 2011 production season (21 December 2011).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September