Statistics & Estimates / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2014 March

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated March 2014)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2011/2012-2013/2014) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
Requirements / Sales 45 000 45 000 25 000 1 856 360 1 877 671 2 000 000
Available / Produced 105 000 85 000 55 000 766 927 760 321 889 877
Shortage / Imports -60 000 -40 000 -30 000 1 089 433 1 117 350 1 110 123

2013/2014 – Estimate
Source: Fishing Industry; AFMA Chairman's Report 2013/2014

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2011/2012-2013/2014) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
AFMA Members 26 492 41 875 22 221 1 329 583 1 254 487 1 289 626
Non-AFMA Members 18 508 3 125 2 779 526 777 623 184 710 374
Total 45 000 45 000 25 000 1 856 360 1 877 671 2 000 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2013/2014
2013/2014 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2011/2012-2013/2014) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2011/2012   2012/2013   2013/2014  
Sunflower oilcake 279 765 4.55 290 032 4.70 309 717 4.79
Groundnut oilcake 2 045 0.03 1 759 0.03 1 953 0.03
Soy oilcake 885 988 14.42 814 604 13.19 809 067 12.52
Full fat soy 122 772 2.00 77 876 1.26 85 865 1.33
Cottonseed oilcake 14 291 0.23 17 539 0.28 23 710 0.37
Full fat cottonseed 7 611 0.12 9 436 0.15 12 207 0.19
Canola oilcake 9 071 0.15 14 847 0.24 21 170 0.33
Full fat canola 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
Copra and Palm Kernel 8 011 0.13 27 969 0.45 24 442 0.38
Maize Germ Oilcake 29 0.00 425 0.00 1 493 0.02
Total oilcake 1 329 583 21.67 1 254 487 21.52 1 289 626 19.95
Total maize products 3 236 414 58.68 3 199 641 51.80 3 372 666 52.19
Total fish meal 26 492 0.43 41 875 0.68 22 221 0.34

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2012/2013
AFMA raw material usage April 2013 to March 2014 scaled up to a twelve month period.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2011/2012-2013/2014) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
RSA 90 000 70 000 40 000      
Namibia ¹ 15 000 15 000 15 000      
Total 105 000 85 000 55 000 -60 000 -40 000 -30 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2013/2014 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2011/2012-2013/2014)
  Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
Oilcake:            
Groundnuts oilcake 1 1 0 235 588  
Sunflower oilcake 336 966 233 268 252 000 57 159 166 273  
Soy cake 227 600 364 240 552 000 922 499 728 150  
  - Full fat 120 160 105 120        
  - Beans       1 083 468  
Cotton cake     5 602 68 333 127 604  
  - Full fat 40 000 11 562   11 763 37 232  
Other:            
Canola 24 200 31 130 66 275      
Lupins 18 000 15 000 14 000      
Copra & Palm Kernel       28 361 57 035  
Total 766 927 760 321 889 877 1 089 433 1 117 350 1 110 123

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2012/2013
2013/2014 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2010/2011-2014/2015 marketing season)
Crop 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015
White maize 7 822 400 6 052 000 6 740 000 5 545 000 6 548 050
Yellow maize 5 220 600 4 308 000 5 090 000 6 145 000 5 854 700
Sorghum 220 093 155 000 135 500 147 200 239 650
Groundnuts 87 880 64 250 59 000 41 500 82 365
Sunflower 516 265 860 000 522 000 557 000 778 175
Soybeans 560 950 710 000 650 000 784 500 832 350
Cotton seed ¹ 14 793 31 373 22 326 10 641 16 608
Wheat 1 430 000 2 005 000 1 870 000 1 804 450  
Canola 36 900 58 800 79 000 112 041  

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops (27 February 2014) and first crop estimate for summer crops for the 2014/2015 marketing year (27 February 2014).
¹ Cotton South Africa.

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2014/2015 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Exports Total supply
White maize 225 000 0 6 548 050 1 065 000 5 708 050
Yellow maize 345 000 0 5 854 700 701 000 5 498 700
Sorghum 43 700 0 239 650 25 000 258 350
Groundnuts 13 300 0 82 365 16 000 79 665
Sunflower 35 100 0 778 175 0 813 275
Soybeans 45 300 600 832 350 17 000 861 250
Wheat 489 000 1 550 000 1 804 450 251 000 3 592 450
Canola 12 500 0 112 041 0 124 541

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2008/2009-2013/2014 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
White maize 1 489 000 1 719 700 1 418 300 1 636 200 1 617 200 1 531 200
Yellow maize 938 500 1 022 700 954 000 1 063 000 1 164 000 1 137 000
Sorghum 85 500 86 675 69 200 48 550 62 620 86 850
Groundnuts 54 550 57 450 55 150 45 450 46 900 52 525
Sunflower 635 800 397 700 642 700 453 350 504 700 598 950
Soybeans 237 750 311 450 418 000 472 000 516 500 502 900
Wheat 748 000 642 500 558 100 604 700 511 200 505 500
Canola 34 000 35 060 34 820 43 510 44 100 72 156
Total 4 223 100 4 273 235 4 150 270 4 366 760 4 467 220 4 487 081

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee: First estimate to plant summer crops 2013/2014 production season (27 February 2014). Area estimate to plant winter crops 2013 production season (27 February 2014).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September