Statistics & Estimates / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2014 September

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated September 2014)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2013 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2013
Requirements / Sales 45 000 45 000 30 000 1 877 671 1 979 065 1 992 895
Available / Produced 85 000 55 000 80 000 760 321 920 779 1 065 905
Shortage / Imports -40 000 -30 000 -50 000 1 117 350 1 058 286 926 990

2014/2015 – Estimate
Source: Fishing Industry; AFMA Chairman's Report 2013/2014

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015
AFMA Members 41 875 19 770 27 444 1 254 487 1 272 823 1 263 084
Non-AFMA Members 3 125 5 230 2 556 623 184 706 242 729 811
Total 45 000 25 000 30 000 1 877 671 1 979 065 1 992 895

Source: AFMA website
2014/2015 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2012/2013   2013/2014   2014/2015  
Sunflower oilcake 290 032 4.70 294 583 4.58 298 380 4.64
Groundnut oilcake 1 759 0.03 1 917 0.03 2 028 0.03
Soy oilcake 814 604 13.19 821 670 12.78 818 214 12.73
Full fat soy 77 876 1.26 75 267 1.17 74 652 1.16
Cottonseed oilcake 17 539 0.28 20 892 0.32 12 330 0.19
Full fat cottonseed 9 436 0.15 10 340 0.16 6 582 0.10
Canola oilcake 14 847 0.24 23 555 0.37 25 926 0.40
Full fat canola 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
Copra and Palm Kernel 27 969 0.45 23 231 0.36 23 760 0.37
Maize Germ Oilcake 425 0.00 1 368 0.02 1 206 0.02
Total oilcake 1 254 487 21.52 1 272 823 19.79 1 263 084 19.65
Total maize products 3 199 641 51.80 3 324 316 51.69 3 289 908 51.18
Total fishmeal 41 875 0.68 19 770 0.31 27 444 0.43
Feed 6 176 151   6 397 563   6 428 694  

Source: AFMA website
AFMA raw material usage April 2014 to March 2015.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2011/2012-2014/2015) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015
PROJECT
2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
RSA 90 000 70 000 40 000 65 000      
Namibia ¹ 15 000 15 000 15 000 15 000      
Total 105 000 85 000 55 000 80 000 -40 000 -30 000 -50 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2014/2015 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2011/2012-2014/2015)
  Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015
PROJECT
2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
Oilcake:              
Groundnuts oilcake 1 1 0 0 235 588  
Sunflower oilcake 336 966 233 268 253 252 285 000 57 159 166 273  
Soy cake 227 600 364 240 426 650 558 600 922 499 728 150  
  - Full fat 120 160 105 120 155 000 120 000      
  - Beans         1 083 468  
Cotton cake     5 602   68 333 127 604  
  - Full fat 40 000 11 562 5 602 6 000 11 763 37 232  
Other:              
Canola 24 200 31 130 66 275 82 305      
Lupins 18 000 15 000 14 000 14 000      
Copra & Palm Kernel         28 361 57 035  
Total 766 927 760 321 920 779 1 065 905 1 089 433 1 117 350 1 110 123

Source: AFMA website
2014/2015 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
South African Supply and Demand Estimate Report NAMC 29 August 2014.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2010/2011-2014/2015 marketing season)
Crop 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015
White maize 7 822 400 6 052 000 6 740 000 5 545 000 7 697 350
Yellow maize 5 220 600 4 308 000 5 090 000 6 145 000 6 192 800
Sorghum 220 093 155 000 135 500 147 200 233 220
Groundnuts 87 880 64 250 59 000 41 500 89 640
Sunflower 516 265 860 000 522 000 557 000 853 325
Soybeans 560 950 710 000 650 000 784 500 944 340
Cotton seed ¹ 14 793 31 373 22 326 10 641 17 115
Wheat 1 430 000 2 005 000 1 870 000 1 804 450  
Canola 36 900 58 800 79 000 112 041  

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops and fifth crop estimate for summer crops for the 2014/2015 marketing year (26 June 2014).
¹ Cotton South Africa.

Table 7
Estimated Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2014/2015 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Exports Total supply
White maize 203 473 0 7 697 350 1 008 923 6 891 900
Yellow maize 263 131 0 6 192 800 635 000 5 820 931
Sorghum 49 929 0 233 220 25 000 258 149
Groundnuts 13 300 0 89 640 16 000 86 940
Sunflower 46 341 0 853 325 10 899 656
Soybeans 62 738 70 000 944 340 15 000 1 062 078
Wheat 489 000 1 650 000 1 799 450 254 000 3 684 450
Canola 12 500 0 112 041 0 124 541

Source: Opening stock, import and export figures obtained from South African Supply and Demand.
Estimates Report, National Agricultural Marketing Council, 1 July 2014.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2008/2009-2013/2014 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
White maize 1 489 000 1 719 700 1 418 300 1 636 200 1 617 200 1 551 200
Yellow maize 938 500 1 022 700 954 000 1 063 000 1 164 000 1 137 000
Sorghum 85 500 86 675 69 200 48 550 62 620 78 850
Groundnuts 54 550 57 450 55 150 45 450 46 900 52 125
Sunflower 635 800 397 700 642 700 453 350 504 700 598 950
Soybeans 237 750 311 450 418 000 472 000 516 500 502 900
Wheat 748 000 642 500 558 100 604 700 511 200 505 500
Canola 34 000 35 060 34 820 43 510 44 100 72 165
Total 4 223 100 4 273 235 4 150 270 4 366 760 4 467 220 4 498 690

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee: Second estimate to plant summer crops 2013/2014 production season (26 June 2014). Area estimate to plant winter crops 2013 production season (27 March 2014).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September