Final area planted and crop production figures of commercial maize, sunflower seed, soybeans, groundnuts and sorghum for 2021
At a meeting held on 10 February 2022, the Crop Estimates Liaison Committee (CELC) oversaw the process for the finalisation of the crop production figures of commercial white and yellow maize, sunflower seed, soybeans, groundnuts and sorghum for 2021.
The estimated total production figures as released by the national Crop Estimates Committee (CEC) were revised, using the published figures of the South Africa Grain Information Services (SAGIS) of actual deliveries as the basis for the calculations. The figures from the maize utilisation survey to determine on-farm usage and retentions, which was conducted by the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development (DALRRD) and the telephonic survey conducted by the National Crop Statistics Consortium (NCSC), were added to the SAGIS delivery figures to calculate the final crop production figures.
Comparing the final calculated crop figures with the numbers set by the CEC during November 2021, the size of the commercial maize crop is now 16,315 million tons, which is 0,50% or 80 735 tons more than the final crop estimate figure of 16,234 million tons. For white maize, the recalculated crop size is 8,600 million tons, which is 0,10% or 8 815 tons less than the final crop estimate figure, and for yellow maize the recalculated crop size is 7,715 million tons, which is 1,17% or 89 550 tons more than the final crop estimate figure.
In the case of the commercial sunflower seed crop, the final calculated crop figure is now 678 000 tons – 0,11% or 760 tons more than the final crop estimate figure of 677 240 tons. The soybeans crop is 1,897 million tons (up by 0,35% or 6 550 tons), whilst the groundnuts crop is 64 300 tons. The sorghum crop were slightly adjusted upwards by 0,63% (or 1 355 tons) to 215 000 tons.
CELC accepted the final recalculated crop production figures for 2021 (please refer to the figures in the accompanying tables).
The CEC would like to thank all producers and industry role-players who provided information on a regular basis to improve the accuracy of the crop estimates. Producers, who do not participate in the Department's monthly survey, are requested as a matter of urgency to make an effort to contribute to the crop estimates process.
| Crop | Final area planted | Final crop | CEC area planted | CEC final estimate ¹ | Final crop vs Final estimate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2021 | Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | ||
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (B) ÷ (D) | |
| White maize | 1 691 900 | 8 600 000 | 1 691 900 | 8 608 815 | -0.10 |
| Yellow maize | 1 063 500 | 7 715 000 | 1 063 500 | 7 625 450 | +1.17 |
| Total Maize | 2 755 400 | 16 315 000 | 2 755 400 | 16 234 265 | +0.50 |
| Sunflower seed | 477 800 | 678 000 | 477 800 | 677 240 | +0.11 |
| Soybeans | 827 100 | 1 897 000 | 827 100 | 1 800 450 | +0.35 |
| Groundnuts | 38 550 | 64 300 | 38 550 | 59 950 | +7.26 |
| Sorghum | 49 200 | 215 000 | 49 200 | 213 645 | +0.63 |
¹ As estimated by the CEC on 25 November 2021
| Crop | Total | Producer deliveries reported by SAGIS ² | Projected deliveries ³ | On-farm for own use/direct sales, seed, etc |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Mar 2021 to Dec 2021) | (Jan 2022 to Feb 2022) | |||
| Tons | Tons | Tons | Tons | |
| White maize | 8 600 000 | 8 295 441 | 102 559 | 202 000 |
| Yellow maize | 7 715 000 | 7 190 331 | 102 669 | 422 000 |
| Total maize | 16 315 000 | 15 485 772 | 205 228 | 624 000 |
| Sunflower seed | 678 000 | 675 406 | 2 594 | 0 |
| Soybeans | 1 897 000 | 1 848 838 | 13 162 | 35 000 |
| Groundnuts | 64 300 | 63 433 | 667 | 200 |
| Sorghum | 215 000 | 210 906 | 3 194 | 900 |
² SAGIS producer deliveries relates to the current crop.
³ Projected deliveries for maize, sunflower seed and soybeans are based on the historic trend of producer deliveries (as recorded by SAGIS) for the month of February. With regard to sorghum and groundnuts, projected deliveries are based on the historic trend of producer deliveries for the month of January and February.