Winter cereals: fifth production forecast (2021)
Wintergewasse: vierde produksieskatting (2021)

Index December 15 Desember Indeks
Crop Estimates Committee logo

Estimates courtecy of the Crop Estimates Committee
Syfers deur die Oesskattingskomitee verskaf

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Area planted and fifth production forecast  2021  Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Fourth forecast
Vierde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 523 500 2 153 435 2 117 435 509 800 2 120 000 +1.70
Malting barley / Moutgars 94 730 339 800 339 800 141 690 588 000
Canola 100 000 190 000 190 000 74 120 165 200
Cereal oats / Hawermout 36 250 80 450 80 450 26 200 57 000
Sweet lupins / Soetlupine 22 000 29 700 30 800 N/A N/A -3.57

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2020/2021 = 2021
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2020/2021 = 2021

Wheat / Koring
Area planted and fifth production forecast  2021  Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2021 2021 2020 2020
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 360 000 1 188 000 326 000 1 103 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 35 500 259 150 37 000 271 950
Free State / Vrystaat 70 000 346 500 94 000 413 600
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 3 800 24 700 4 000 26 000
KwaZulu-Natal 8 500 53 125 7 800 48 360
Mpumalanga 4 100 27 060 3 000 19 500
Limpopo 26 500 164 300 23 000 147 200
Gauteng 1 100 6 600 1 300 8 190
North West / Noordwes 14 000 84 000 13 700 82 200
Total / Totaal 523 500 2 153 435 509 800 2 120 000
Wheat / Koring
Production   2010-2021   Produksie
Wheat: production (2010-2021) graph
Wheat / Koring
Yield   2010-2021   Opbrengs
Wheat: yield (2010-2021) graph

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Area planted and fifth production forecast / Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting

Winter cereal crops – 2021

Wheat

The expected production of wheat is 2,153 million tons, which is 1,70% or 36 000 tons more than the previous forecast of 2,117 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 4,11 t/ha. This is the largest expected wheat crop produced since 2002, when it was 2,427 million tons.

The expected production in the Western Cape is 1,188 million tons (55%), in the Free State 346 500 tons (16%) and in the Northern Cape 259 150 tons (12%).

Other crops

The production forecast for malting barley remained unchanged at 339 800 tons. The area planted is estimated at 94 730 ha, while the expected yield is 3,59 t/ha.

The expected canola crop also remained unchanged at 190 000 tons. This is the largest expected canola crop produced in the history of SA. The area estimate for canola is 100 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,90 t/ha.

The expected crop for oats (cereals) for the 2021 season is 80 450 tons and the area planted is 36 250 ha. The expected yield is 2,22 t/ha.

In the case of sweet lupines, the production forecast decreased slightly by 3,57% or 1 100 tons, from 30 800 tons to 29 700 tons. The area estimate of sweet lupines is 22 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,35 t/ha.


Please note that the sixth production forecast for winter cereals for 2021 will be released on 27 January 2022.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2021

Koring

Die verwagte produksie vir koring is 2,153 miljoen ton, wat 1,70% of 36 000 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 2,117 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 4,11 t/ha is. Dit is die grootste verwagte koringoes sedert 2002, toe dit 2,427 miljoen ton was.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 1,188 miljoen ton (55%), in die Vrystaat 346 500 ton (16%) en in die Noord-Kaap 259 150 ton (12%).

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is onveranderd gelaat op 339 800 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 94 730 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,59 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is ook onveranderd gelaat op 190 000 ton. Dit is die grootste canola-oes wat nόg geproduseer is in die geskiedenis van SA. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 100 000 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,90 t/ha.

Die verwagte oes vir hawer (ontbytgraan) vir die 2021-seisoen is 80 450 ton en die oppervlakteskatting is 36 250 ton. Die verwagte opbrengs is 2,22 t/ha.

In die geval van soetlupine is die produksieskatting effens verlaag met 3,57% of 1 100 ton, van 30 800 ton na 29 700 ton. Die opper­vlakte beplant met soetlupine is 22 000 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,35 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die sesde produksie­skatting vir wintergewasse vir 2021 op 27 Januarie 2022 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.dalrrd.gov.za/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

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