Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2003 January

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated January 2003)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2000/2001-2002/2003) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003
Requirements / Sales 142 848 118 414 84 475 1 021 862 1 149 224 1 100 000
Available / Produced 110 000 128 000 122 000 514 020 482 448 538 093
Shortage / Imports 32 848 -9 586 -37 525 507 842 666 776 561 907

2002/2003 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2000/2001 and 2001/2002

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2000/2001-2002/2003) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003
AFMA Members 115 990 100 652 71 804 749 041 796 977 813 137
Non-AFMA Members 26 858 17 762 12 671 272 821 352 247 286 863
Total 142 848 118 414 84 475 1 021 862 1 149 224 1 100 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2000/2001 and 2001/2002
2002/2003 – Estimate
Non-AFMA Members usage estimated at 15% of total fishmeal usage.
Non-AFMA Members usage estimated at 26% of total oilcake usage for 02/03.

Table 3
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2000/2001-2002/2003) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003
RSA 95 000 115 000 110 000
Namibia 15 000 13 000 12 000
Total 110 000 128 000 122 000 32 848 -9 586 -37 525

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2002/2003 – Estimate

Table 4
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2000/2001-2002/2003)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 4 173 7 437 8 025
Sunflower oilcake 342 720 271 740 352 817 62 424 67 151
Soy cake 12 896 38 445 14 406 446 637 459 266
– Full fat 102 000 103 075 113 992 30 293 15 807
– Beans
Cotton cake 19 024 25 945 14 030 88 307 91 025
– Full fat 1 245 5 306 2 870 24 565
Other 7 426 8 610
Canola 14 602 14 162 20 790
Lupins 17 360 16 338 11 163
Copra and Palm Kernel 47 352
Total 514 020 482 448 538 093 635 134 666 776 561 907

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2000/2001 and 2001/2002
2002/2003 – Estimate

Table 5
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2000/2001-2002/2003) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003
Sunflower oilcake 286 078 7.26 232 460 5.71 196 572 4.77
Groundnuts oilcake 3 845 0.10 4 942 0.12 8 957 0.22
Soy oilcake 315 681 8.01 368 054 9.06 426 961 10.35
Full fat soy 90 996 2.31 127 492 3.18 124 901 3.03
Cotton oilcake 31 205 0.79 43 216 1.03 43 678 1.05
Full fat cotton 10 525 0.26 6 835 0.17
Canola oilcake 8 683 0.22 8 347 0.15 3 284 0.08
Total oilcake 749 041 19.01 796 977 19.53 813 137 19.7
Total maize products 2 238 554 56.82 2 227 979 55.58 2 244 245 54.37
Total fishmeal 115 990 2.94 100 652 2.48 71 804 1.74

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2000/2001 and 2001/2002
AFMA raw material usage April 2001 to March 2002. AFMA raw material usage April 2002 to March 2003.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 4 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 4.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (1999/2000-2002/2003 marketing season)
Crop 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003
White maize 4 664 000 6 154 500 4 109 790 4 915 000
Yellow maize 2 681 000 3 986 440 3 115 350 3 320 000
Sorghum 155 950 352 450 175 580 202 000
Groundnuts 98 250 113 550 183 840 120 200
Sunflower 1 109 000 530 625 638 320 932 000
Soybeans 188 367 148 720 209 705 216 000
Cotton seed¹ 77 280 40 537 34 438 33 940
Wheat 1 725 000 2 122 440 2 492 880 2 281 780
Sweet lupins² 13 000 17 360 16 338 11 200
Canola² 23 000 26 549 25 750 37 975
Sweet lupins³ 17 331 15 925 10 923
Canola³ 22 000 42 325

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final estimate for winter crops (20 February 2003) and first production estimate for summer crops for the 2003/2004 marketing year.
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa
² Sweet lupins and Canola production as estimated by the NCEC.
³ Sweet lupins estimated by PRF-study groups.

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2002/2003 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 559 000 420 000 4 915 000 5 894 000
Yellow maize 643 000 250 000 3 320 000 4 213 000
Sorghum 25 000 65 000 202 000 292 000
Groundnuts 86 600 2 000 120 200 208 800
Sunflower 147 000 2 000 932 000 1 081 000
Soybeans 61 000 40 000 216 000 317 000
Wheat 580 000 500 000 2 281 000 3 361 000

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Maize production figures differ from the NCEC figures as GSA includes early deliveries in their opening stocks.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (1997/1998-2002/2003 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 1997/1998 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003
White maize 1 797 200 1 829 700 2 003 000 1 596 005 1 721 580 2 003 150
Yellow maize 1 158 800 1 075 000 1 227 440 1 111 900 1 111 000 1 023 100
Sorghum 131 200 98 900 142 200 88 300 75 000 91 400
Groundnuts 59 100 94 550 82 600 165 250 94 160 55 000
Sunflower 511 000 828 000 396 350 521 695 645 510 587 200
Soybeans 125 000 130 500 93 787 134 150 124 150 120 000
Wheat 748 000 718 000 860 000 959 400 941 100
Sweet lupins¹ 16 300 19 000 14 705 14 785 11 000
Canola¹ 17 000 25 000 19 145 27 000 33 000
Sweet lupins² 16 300 19 000 14 442 14 550 10 000
Canola² 17 000 25 000 21 500 25 000 32 300

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Summer crops final production estimate (01/02 production season). Final production estimate for winter crops (20 February 2002) (01/02 production season) and fifth estimate (18 December 2002) (02/03 production season). Revised intentions to plant for summer crops (20 November 2002).
² Sweet lupins and Canola production as estimated by the NCEC.
³ Sweet lupins estimated by PRF-study groups.

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September