Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2003 September

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated September 2003)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2001/2002-2003/2004) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
Requirements / Sales 118 414 82 988 121 221 1 149 224 1 102 640 1 100 000
Available / Produced 128 000 122 000 122 000 482 448 538 093 538 093
Shortage / Imports -9 586 -39 012 -779 666 776 564 547 561 607

2003/2004 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2000/2001 and 2001/2002

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2001/2002-2003/2004) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
AFMA Members 100 652 70 540 103 038 796 977 816 934 868 908
Non-AFMA Members 17 762 12 448 18 183 352 247 285 706 231 092
Total 118 414 82 988 121 221 1 149 224 1 102 640 1 100 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2000/2001 and 2001/2002
2003/2004 – Estimate
Non-AFMA Members usage estimated at 15% of total fishmeal usage for 03/04.
Non-AFMA Members usage estimated at 21% of total oilcake usage for 03/04.

Table 3
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2001/2002-2003/2004) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
RSA 115 000 110 000 110 000
Namibia 13 000 12 000 12 000
Total 128 000 122 000 122 000 -9 586 -39 012 -779

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2003/2004 – Estimate

Table 4
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2001/2002-2003/2004)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 7 437 8 025
Sunflower oilcake 271 740 352 817 67 151 14 112
Soy cake 38 445 14 406 459 266 562 552
– Full fat 103 075 113 992 15 807 22 800
– Beans
Cotton cake 25 945 14 030 91 025 88 921
– Full fat 5 306 2 870 24 565 24 474
Other 8 610 25 226
Canola 14 162 20 790
Lupins 16 338 11 163
Copra and Palm Kernel 352
Total 482 448 538 093 538 093 666 776 738 085 561 907

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2000/2001 and 2001/2002
2003/2004 – Estimate

Table 5
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2001/2002-2003/2004) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
Sunflower oilcake 232 460 5.71 212 359 5.18 280 200 6.84
Groundnuts oilcake 4 942 0.12 7 386 0.18 2 910 0.07
Soy oilcake 368 054 9.06 413 443 11.07 334 680 8.17
Full fat soy 127 492 3.18 121 426 2.96 136 152 3.32
Cotton oilcake 43 216 1.03 44 939 1.09 92 874 2.27
Full fat cotton 10 525 0.26 6 768 0.16 7 472 0.18
Canola oilcake 8 347 0.15 7 514 0.18 9 018 0.22
Total oilcake 796 977 19.53 816 934 19.90 868 908 21.21
Total maize products 2 227 979 55.58 2 268 560 55.27 2 288 904 55.88
Total fishmeal 100 652 2.48 70 540 1.72 103 038 2.52

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2000/2001 and 2001/2002
AFMA raw material usage April 2003 to March 2004.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 4 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 4.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (1999/2000-2003/2004 marketing season)
Crop 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
White maize 4 664 000 6 154 500 4 109 790 5 078 000 5 862 400
Yellow maize 2 681 000 3 986 440 3 115 350 3 386 000 3 256 375
Sorghum 155 950 352 450 175 580 208 000 196 703
Groundnuts 98 250 113 550 183 840 120 200 66 205
Sunflower 1 109 000 530 625 638 320 932 000 706 760
Soybeans 188 367 148 720 209 705 216 000 139 420
Cotton seed¹ 77 280 40 537 34 438 36 530 26 081
Wheat 1 725 000 2 122 440 2 492 880 2 320 745 1 540 550
Sweet lupins 13 000 17 360 16 338 11 700 4 800
Canola 23 000 26 549 25 750 37 975 40 770

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; First estimate for winter crops (20 August 2003) and final production estimate for summer crops for the 2003/2004 marketing year (20 August 2003).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2003/2004 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 1 718 000 0 5 675 000 7 393 000
Yellow maize 992 000 200 000 3 221 000 4 413 000
Sorghum 44 000 50 000 186 000 280 000
Groundnuts 40 300 10 000 66 200 116 500
Sunflower 283 000 0 710 000 993 000
Soybeans 105 000 22 000 146 000 273 000
Wheat 580 000 810 000 2 373 000 3 763 000
Canola 600 0 51 480 52 080

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Maize production figures differ from the NCEC figures as GSA includes early deliveries in their opening stocks.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (1998/1999-2003/2004 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 1998/1999 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004
White maize 1 829 700 2 003 000 1 596 005 1 721 580 2 083 350
Yellow maize 1 075 000 1 227 440 1 111 900 1 111 000 1 017 000
Sorghum 98 900 142 200 88 300 75 000 84 610
Groundnuts 94 550 82 600 165 250 94 160 50 300
Sunflower 828 000 396 350 521 695 645 510 628 100
Soybeans 130 500 93 787 134 150 124 150 108 130
Wheat 748 000 718 000 860 000 959 400 941 100 747 500
Sweet lupins 16 300 19 000 14 705 14 785 11 000 8 000
Canola 17 000 25 000 19 145 27 000 33 000 44 200

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Area estimate for summer crops 2002/2003 production season. Final area estimate for winter crops 2002/2003 production season.

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September