Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2006 January

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated January 2006)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
Requirements / Sales 127 000 127 000 127 000 1 121 460 1 212 593 1 200 000
Available / Produced 133 000 132 000 121 000 489 413 416 736 472 221
Shortage / Imports -6 000 -5 000 6 000 632 047 795 857 727 779

2005/2006 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 and 2004/2005

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
AFMA Members 114 402 100 879 94 903 784 961 818 767 886 322
Non-AFMA Members 12 598 26 121 32 097 336 499 393 826 313 678
Total 127 000 127 000 127 000 1 121 460 1 212 593 1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 and 2004/2005
2005/2006 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
Sunflower oilcake 273 123 6.51 213 837 4.96 239 078 5.36
Groundnuts oilcake 1 762 0.04 891 0.02 3 979 0.09
Soy oilcake 364 882 8.70 448 648 10.40 426 461 9.57
Full fat soy 88 950 2.12 92 968 2.16 150 535 3.38
Cotton oilcake 38 044 0.91 46 396 1.08 50 421 1.13
Full fat cotton 4 692 0.11 4 340 0.10 7 068 0.16
Canola oilcake 6 490 0.15 5 138 0.12 3 384 0.08
Full fat canola 1 353 0.03 454 0.01 24 0
Total oilcake 784 961 18.74 818 767 18.97 886 322 19.88
Total maize products 2 344 042 55.91 2 384 886 55.34 2 399 061 53.82
Total fishmeal 114 402 2.73 100 879 2.34 94 903 2.13

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 and 2004/2005
AFMA raw material usage April 2005 to March 2006.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
RSA 120 000 120 000 115 000
Namibia 13 000 12 000 6 000
Total 133 000 132 000 121 000 -6 000 -5 000 6 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2005/2006 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2003/2004-2005/2006)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 1 766 1 766 8 025
Sunflower oilcake 336 000 277 200 260 400 24 379 16 073
Soy cake 6 000 477 814 626 244
– Full fat 113 280 92 080 144 000 19 502 22 234
– Beans
Cotton cake 11 296 21 170 18 233 73 760 89 056
– Full fat 2 346 22 413 32 315
Other 14 181 9 975
Canola 14 685 20 570 26 053
Lupins 4 040 3 950 15 510
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 489 413 416 736 472 221 632 049 795 897 727 779

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 and 2004/2005
2005/2006 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2001/2002-2005/2006 marketing season)
Crop 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
White maize 4 109 790 5 078 000 6 371 000 5 805 000 6 540 700
Yellow maize 3 115 350 3 386 000 3 019 000 3 677 000 4 909 300
Sorghum 175 580 208 000 219 700 373 000 260 000
Groundnuts 183 840 120 200 60 000 115 000 64 000
Sunflower 638 320 932 000 642 075 648 000 620 000
Soybeans 209 705 216 000 136 500 220 000 272 500
Cotton seed ¹ 34 438 36 530 29 278 50 169 37 804
Wheat 2 492 880 2 320 745 1 428 150 1 680 000 1 797 100
Sweet lupins 16 338 11 700 4 040 3 950 14 100
Canola 25 750 37 975 40 770 32 000 45 310

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth estimate for winter crops (19 December 2005) and final production estimate for summer crops for the 2005/2006 marketing year (2 December 2005).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2005/2006 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 2 402 000 0 6 540 700 8 942 700
Yellow maize 746 000 120 000 4 909 300 5 775 300
Sorghum 183 000 0 260 000 443 000
Groundnuts 54 000 1 000 64 000 119 000
Sunflower 120 000 1 000 620 000 741 000
Soybeans 101 000 15 000 272 500 388 500
Wheat 586 000 860 000 1 797 100 3 243 100
Canola 7 500 0 4 310 52 810

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
2004/2005 Marketing Season applies for winter crops.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2000/2001-2005/2006 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
White maize 1 596 005 1 721 580 2 234 350 1 842 000 1 700 000 744 360
Yellow maize 1 111 900 1 111 000 950 350 1 001 300 1 110 000 627 180
Sorghum 88 300 75 000 95 100 130 000 86 500 30 300
Groundnuts 165 250 94 160 49 850 71 500 40 000 65 000
Sunflower 521 695 645 510 605 750 530 000 460 000 592 100
Soybeans 134 150 124 150 100 150 135 000 150 000 231 800
Wheat 860 000 959 400 941 400 748 000 830 000 800 500
Sweet lupins 14 705 14 785 11 000 10 100 7 100 14 100
Canola 19 145 27 000 33 000 44 200 44 250 41 200
Total 4 511 150 4 772 585 5 020 650 4 512 100 4 427 850 3 146 540

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Revised intention to plant for summer crops 2005/2006 production season (21 November 2005). Fifth area estimate to plant for winter crops 2005/2006 production season (19 December 2005).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September