Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2006 July

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated July 2006)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
Requirements / Sales 127 000 127 000 80 000 1 121 460 1 212 593 1 200 000
Available / Produced 133 000 127 000 80 000 489 413 416 736 472 221
Shortage / Imports -6 000 -5 000 -21 000 632 047 795 857 727 779

2005/2006 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 and 2004/2005

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
AFMA Members 114 402 100 879 78 441 784 961 818 767 910 507
Non-AFMA Members 12 598 26 121 1 559 336 499 393 826 289 493
Total 127 000 127 000 80 000 1 121 460 1 212 593 1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 and 2004/2005
2005/2006 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
Sunflower oilcake 273 123 6.51 213 837 4.96 216 60 4.85
Groundnuts oilcake 1 762 0.04 891 0.02 2 636 0.06
Soy oilcake 364 882 8.70 448 648 10.40 473 885 10.62
Full fat soy 88 950 2.12 92 968 2.16 147 702 3.31
Cotton oilcake 38 044 0.91 46 396 1.08 50 865 1.14
Full fat cotton 4 692 0.11 4 340 0.10 6 454 0.14
Canola oilcake 6 490 0.15 5 138 0.12 5 344 0.12
Full fat canola 1 353 0.03 454 0.01 1 218 0.03
Total oilcake 784 961 18.74 818 767 18.97 910 507 20.41
Total maize products 2 344 042 55.91 2 384 886 55.34 2 387 611 53.51
Total fishmeal 114 402 2.73 100 879 2.34 78 441 1.76

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 and 2004/2005
AFMA raw material usage April 2005 to March 2006.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
RSA 120 000 120 000 95 000
Namibia 13 000 12 000 6 000
Total 133 000 132 000 101 000 -6 000 -5 000 -21 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2005/2006 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2003/2004-2005/2006)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 1 766 1 766 8 025
Sunflower oilcake 336 000 277 200 260 400 24 379 16 073
Soy cake 6 000 477 814 626 244
– Full fat 113 280 92 080 144 000 19 502 22 234
– Beans
Cotton cake 11 296 21 170 18 233 73 760 89 056
– Full fat 2 346 22 413 32 315
Other 14 181 9 975
Canola 14 685 20 570 26 053
Lupins 4 040 3 950 15 510
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 489 413 416 736 472 221 632 049 795 897 727 779

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 and 2004/2005
2005/2006 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2002/2003-2006/2007 marketing season)
Crop 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
White maize 5 078 000 6 371 000 5 805 000 6 540 700 3 615 650
Yellow maize 3 386 000 3 019 000 3 677 000 4 909 300 2 382 300
Sorghum 208 000 219 700 373 000 260 000 79 890
Groundnuts 120 200 60 000 115 000 64 000 72 600
Sunflower 932 000 642 075 648 000 620 000 538 470
Soybeans 216 000 136 500 220 000 272 500 390 245
Cotton seed ¹ 36 530 29 278 50 169 37 804 33 436
Wheat 2 320 745 1 428 150 1 680 000 1 905 000 -
Sweet lupins 11 700 4 040 3 950 14 100 -
Canola 37 975 40 770 32 000 44 200 -

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final estimate for winter crops (4 May 2006) and fifth production estimate for summer crops for the 2006/2007 marketing year (20 June 2006).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2006/2007 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 2 511 000 0 3 615 650 6 126 650
Yellow maize 987 000 700 000 2 382 300 4 069 300
Sorghum 178 000 30 000 79 890 287 890
Groundnuts 6 000 5 000 72 600 83 600
Sunflower 100 000 1 000 538 470 639 470
Soybeans 89 000 0 390 245 479 245
Wheat 574 000 1 050 000 1 905 100 3 529 000
Canola 10 700 0 44 200 54 900

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
2005/2006 Marketing Season applies for winter crops.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2001/2002-2006/2007 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007
White maize 1 721 580 2 234 350 1 842 000 1 700 000 985 000
Yellow maize 1 111 000 950 350 1 001 300 1 110 000 580 700
Sorghum 75 000 95 100 130 000 86 500 33 550
Groundnuts 94 160 49 850 71 500 40 000 48 550
Sunflower 645 510 605 750 530 000 460 000 472 480
Soybeans 124 150 100 150 135 000 150 000 239 570
Wheat 959 400 941 100 748 000 830 000 805 000 820 900
Sweet lupins 14 785 11 000 10 100 7 100 14 100 15 500
Canola 27 000 33 000 44 200 44 250 40 200 36 600
Total 4 772 585 5 020 650 4 512 100 4 427 850 3 219 150 873 000

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth estimate to plant for summer crops 2005/2006 production season (20 June 2006). Revised intentions to plant for winter crops 2005/2006 production season (23 May 2006).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September