Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated March 2006)

Table 1

Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006
Requirements / Sales	127 000	127 000	127 000	1 121 460	1 212 593	1 200 000
Available / Produced	133 000	132 000	121 000	489 413	416 736	472 221
Shortage / Imports	-6 000	-5 000	6 000	632 047	795 857	727 779

2005/2006 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 and 2004/2005

Table 2

Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006
AFMA Members	114 402	100 879	89 645	784 961	818 767	896 644
Non-AFMA Members	12 598	26 121	37 35	336 499	393 826	303 356
Total	127 000	127 000	127 000	1 121 460	1 212 593	1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 and 2004/2005
2005/2006 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3

The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)

	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials	2003/2004		2004/2005		2005/2006
Sunflower oilcake	273 123	6.51	213 837	4.96	230 633	5.15
Groundnuts oilcake	1 762	0.04	891	0.02	3 094	0.07
Soy oilcake	364 882	8.70	448 648	10.40	441 461	9.86
Full fat soy	88 950	2.12	92 968	2.16	152 984	3.42
Cotton oilcake	38 044	0.91	46 396	1.08	48 676	1.09
Full fat cotton	4 692	0.11	4 340	0.10	7 642	0.17
Canola oilcake	6 490	0.15	5 138	0.12	5 540	0.12
Full fat canola	1 353	0.03	454	0.01	649	0.01
Total oilcake	784 961	18.74	818 767	18.97	896 644	20.02
Total maize products	2 344 042	55.91	2 384 886	55.34	2 405 316	53.82
Total fishmeal	114 402	2.73	100 879	2.34	89 645	2.00

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 and 2004/2005
AFMA raw material usage April 2005 to March 2006.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4

Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)

	Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton)			Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006
RSA	120 000	120 000	115 000
Namibia	13 000	12 000	6 000
Total	133 000	132 000	121 000	-6 000	-5 000	6 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2005/2006 – Estimate

Table 5

Oilcake: local production and imports   (2003/2004-2005/2006)

	Local Oilcake production (ton)			Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake	1 766	1 766	8 025
Sunflower oilcake	336 000	277 200	260 400	24 379	16 073
Soy cake	6 000			477 814	626 244
– Full fat	113 280	92 080	144 000	19 502	22 234
– Beans
Cotton cake	11 296	21 170	18 233	73 760	89 056
– Full fat	2 346			22 413	32 315
Other				14 181	9 975
Canola	14 685	20 570	26 053
Lupins	4 040	3 950	15 510
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total	489 413	416 736	472 221	632 049	795 897	727 779

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2003/2004 and 2004/2005
2005/2006 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6

Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2002/2003-2006/2007 marketing season)

Crop	2002/2003	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006	2006/2007
White maize	5 078 000	6 371 000	5 805 000	6 540 700	3 766 300
Yellow maize	3 386 000	3 019 000	3 677 000	4 909 300	2 446 950
Sorghum	208 000	219 700	373 000	260 000	89 655
Groundnuts	120 200	60 000	115 000	64 000	83 757
Sunflower	932 000	642 075	648 000	620 000	603 920
Soybeans	216 000	136 500	220 000	272 500	377 420
Cotton seed ¹	36 530	29 278	50 169	37 804	37 804
Wheat	2 320 745	1 428 150	1 680 000	1 797 100	-
Sweet lupins	11 700	4 040	3 950	14 100	-
Canola	37 975	40 770	32 000	45 310	-

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final estimate for winter crops (21 February 2006) and first production estimate for summer crops for the 2006/2007 marketing year (21 February 2006).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7

Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2006/2007 marketing season)

Crop	Opening stock	Imports to RSA	Production	Total supply
White maize	2 533 000	0	3 766 300	6 299 300
Yellow maize	1 858 000	200 000	2 446 950	4 504 950
Sorghum	150 000	0	89 655	239 655
Groundnuts	18 000	1 000	83 757	102 757
Sunflower	72 000	1 000	603 920	676 920
Soybeans	104 000	0	377 420	481 420
Wheat	565 000	1 100 000	1 797 100	3 462 100
Canola	10 700	0	45 310	56 010

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
2005/2006 Marketing Season applies for winter crops.

Table 8

Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2000/2001-2005/2006 production season)

	Ha Planted
Crop	2000/2001	2001/2002	2002/2003	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006
White maize	1 596 005	1 721 580	2 234 350	1 842 000	1 700 000	973 000
Yellow maize	1 111 900	1 111 000	950 350	1 001 300	1 110 000	573 200
Sorghum	88 300	75 000	95 100	130 000	86 500	33 520
Groundnuts	165 250	94 160	49 850	71 500	40 000	49 550
Sunflower	521 695	645 510	605 750	530 000	460 000	464 480
Soybeans	134 150	124 150	100 150	135 000	150 000	228 570
Wheat	860 000	959 400	941 100	748 000	830 000	800 500
Sweet lupins	14 705	14 785	11 000	10 100	7 100	14 100
Canola	19 145	27 000	33 000	44 200	44 250	41 200
Total	4 511 150	4 772 585	5 020 650	4 512 100	4 427 850	3 178 120

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Revised intention to plant for summer crops 2005/2006 production season (21 February 2006). Final area estimate to plant for winter crops 2005/2006 production season (21 February 2006).

Table 9

Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops

Crops	Season
White maize	May-April
Yellow maize	May-April
Sorghum	April-March
Groundnuts	March-February
Sunflower	January-December
Soybeans	January-December
Wheat	October-September