Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated March 2013)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2010/2011-2012/2013) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013
Requirements / Sales 37 000 45 000 55 000 1 857 490 1 856 360 1 900 000
Available / Produced 94 000 105 000 105 000 624 912 766 927 918 180
Shortage / Imports -57 000 -60 000 -50 000 1 232 578 1 089 433 981 820

2012/2013 – Estimate
Source: Fishing Industry; AFMA Chairman's Report 2011/2012

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2010/2011-2012/2013) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013
AFMA Members 30 754 26 492 51 033 1 255 258 1 329 126 1 345 149
Non-AFMA Members 6 246 18 508 3 967 602 232 527 234 554 851
Total 37 000 45 000 55 000 1 857 490 1 856 360 1 900 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2011/2012
2011/2012 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2010/2011-2012/2013) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2010/2011   2011/2012   2012/2013  
Sunflower oilcake 256 841 4.64 279 309 4.68 325 821 5.33
Groundnuts oilcake 138 0.00 2 045 0.03 2 262 0.04
Soy oilcake 815 958 14.75 885 988 14.84 853 941 13.97
Full fat soy 142 758 2.58 122 772 2.06 108 252 1.77
Cottonseed oilcake 17 142 0.31 14 291 0.24 15 663 0.26
Full fat cottonseed 5 704 0.10 7 611 0.13 8 739 0.14
Canola oilcake 5 974 0.11 9 071 0.15 10 848 0.18
Full fat canola 1 056 0.02 0 0.00 0 0.00
Copra and Palm Kernel 7 425 0.13 8 011 0.13 19 626 0.32
Maize Germ Oilcake 2 261 0.04 29 0.00 0 0.00
Total oilcake 1 255 258 22.69 1 329 126 22.26 1 345 149 22.00
Total maize products 3 034 924 54.87 3 237 558 54.21 3 238 734 52.97
Total fishmeal 30 754 0.56 26 492 0.44 51 033 0.83

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2011/2012
AFMA raw material usage April 2012 to March 2013 scaled up to a twelve month period.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2010/2011-2012/2013) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013
RSA 72 000 90 000 90 000      
Namibia ¹ 22 000 15 000 15 000      
Total 94 000 105 000 105 000 -57 000 -60 000 -50 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2012/2013 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2010/2011-2012/2013)
  Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013
Oilcake:            
Groundnuts oilcake 3 1 0 1 235  
Sunflower oilcake 249 984 336 966 369 180 103 062 57 159  
Soy cake 152 000 227 600 488 000 989 112 922 499  
  - Full fat 149 600 120 160        
  - Beans       357 1 083  
Cotton cake 7 500     87 354 68 333  
  - Full fat 25 000 40 000 10 000 17 928 11 763  
Other:            
Canola 22 825 24 200 33 000      
Lupins 18 000 18 000 18 000      
Copra & Palm Kernel       34 764 28 361  
Total 624 912 766 927 918 180 1 232 578 1 089 433 1 281 820

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2011/2012
2012/2013 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2009/2010-2013/2014 marketing season)
Crop 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
White maize 6 775 000 7 822 400 6 052 000 6 740 000 6 749 000
Yellow maize 5 275 000 5 220 600 4 308 000 5 090 000 5 604 750
Sorghum 276 500 220 093 155 000 135 500 181 544
Groundnuts 99 500 87 880 64 250 59 000 64 600
Sunflower 801 000 516 265 860 000 522 000 624 210
Soybeans 516 000 560 950 710 000 650 000 914 350
Cotton seed ¹ 15 658 14 793 31 373 22 326 11 204
Wheat 1 958 000 1 430 000 2 005 000 1 895 410  
Canola 40 350 36 900 58 800 79 650  

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops (26 February 2013) and first crop estimate for summer crops for the 2013/2014 marketing year (26 February 2013).
¹ Cotton South Africa.

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2013/2014 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Exports Total supply
White maize 824 000 0 6 749 000 1 527 000 6 046 000
Yellow maize 598 000 0 5 604 750 757 000 5 445 750
Sorghum 92 300 0 181 544 19 800 254 044
Groundnuts 17 800 17 300 64 600 19 900 79 800
Sunflower 114 400 11 700 624 210 0 750 310
Soybeans 175 900 300 914 350 197 000 893 550
Wheat 651 000 1 585 000 1 895 410 260 000 3 871 410
Canola 6 900 0 79 650 0 86 550

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2007/2008-2012/2013 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013
White maize 1 737 000 1 489 000 1 719 700 1 418 300 1 636 200 1 617 200
Yellow maize 1 062 000 938 500 1 022 700 954 000 1 063 000 1 164 000
Sorghum 86 800 85 500 86 675 69 200 48 550 62 620
Groundnuts 54 200 54 550 57 450 55 150 45 450 46 900
Sunflower 564 300 635 800 397 700 642 700 453 350 504 500
Soybeans 165 400 237 750 311 450 418 000 472 000 515 000
Wheat 632 000 748 000 642 500 558 100 604 700 551 200
Canola 33 260 34 000 35 060 34 820 43 510 44 100
Total 4 334 960 4 223 100 4 273 235 4 150 270 4 366 760 4 505 520

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee: First estimate to plant summer crops 2012/2013 production season (26 February 2013). Final area estimate to plant winter crops 2012 production season (26 February 2013).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September