Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated September 2013)

Table 1

Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2010/2011-2012/2013) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2010/2011	2011/2012	2012/2013	2010/2011	2011/2012	2012/2013
Requirements / Sales	37 000	45 000	45 000	1 857 490	1 856 360	1 877 671
Available / Produced	94 000	105 000	85 000	624 912	766 927	760 321
Shortage / Imports	-57 000	-60 000	-40 000	1 232 578	1 089 433	1 117 350

2012/2013 – Estimate
Source: Fishing Industry; AFMA Chairman's Report 2011/2012

Table 2

Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2010/2011-2012/2013) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2010/2011	2011/2012	2012/2013	2010/2011	2011/2012	2012/2013
AFMA Members	30 754	26 492	41 875	1 255 258	1 329 583	1 254 487
Non-AFMA Members	6 246	18 508	3 125	602 232	526 777	623 184
Total	37 000	45 000	45 000	1 857 490	1 856 360	1 877 671

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2011/2012
2012/2013 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3

The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2010/2011-2012/2013) (April-March)

	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials	2010/2011		2011/2012		2012/2013
Sunflower oilcake	256 841	4.64	279 765	4.55	290 032	4.70
Groundnuts oilcake	138	0.00	2 045	0.03	1 759	0.03
Soy oilcake	815 958	14.75	885 988	14.42	814 604	13.19
Full fat soy	142 758	2.58	122 772	2.00	77 876	1.26
Cottonseed oilcake	17 142	0.31	14 291	0.23	17 539	0.28
Full fat cottonseed	5 704	0.10	7 611	0.12	9 436	0.15
Canola oilcake	5 974	0.11	9 071	0.15	14 847	0.24
Full fat canola	1 056	0.02	0	0.00	0	0.00
Copra and Palm Kernel	7 425	0.13	8 011	0.13	27 969	0.45
Maize Germ Oilcake	2 261	0.04	29	0.00	425	0.00
Total oilcake	1 255 258	22.69	1 329 583	21.67	1 254 487	21.52
Total maize products	3 034 924	54.87	3 236 414	58.68	3 199 641	51.80
Total fishmeal	30 754	0.56	26 492	0.43	41 875	0.68

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2011/2012
AFMA raw material usage April 2012 to March 2013 scaled up to a twelve month period.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4

Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2010/2011-2012/2013) (April-March)

	Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton)			Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year	2010/2011	2011/2012	2012/2013	2010/2011	2011/2012	2012/2013
RSA	72 000	90 000	70 000
Namibia ¹	22 000	15 000	15 000
Total	94 000	105 000	85 000	-57 000	-60 000	-40 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2012/2013 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5

Oilcake: local production and imports   (2010/2011-2012/2013)

	Local Oilcake production (ton)			Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year	2010/2011	2011/2012	2012/2013	2010/2011	2011/2012	2012/2013
Oilcake:
Groundnuts oilcake	3	1	1	1	235	588
Sunflower oilcake	249 984	336 966	233 268	103 062	57 159	166 273
Soy cake	152 000	227 600	364 240	989 112	922 499	728 150
- Full fat	149 600	120 160	105 120
- Beans				357	1 083	468
Cotton cake	7 500			87 354	68 333	127 604
- Full fat	25 000	40 000	11 562	17 928	11 763	37 232
Other:
Canola	22 825	24 200	31 130
Lupins	18 000	18 000	15 000
Copra & Palm Kernel				34 764	28 361	57 035
Total	624 912	766 927	760 321	1 232 578	1 089 433	1 117 350

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2011/2012
2012/2013 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6

Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2009/2010-2013/2014 marketing season)

Crop	2009/2010	2010/2011	2011/2012	2012/2013	2013/2014
White maize	6 775 000	7 822 400	6 052 000	6 740 000	5 580 300
Yellow maize	5 275 000	5 220 600	4 308 000	5 090 000	5 933 100
Sorghum	276 500	220 093	155 000	135 500	154 494
Groundnuts	99 500	87 880	64 250	59 000	42 300
Sunflower	801 000	516 265	860 000	522 000	566 600
Soybeans	516 000	560 950	710 000	650 000	787 100
Cotton seed ¹	15 658	14 793	31 373	22 326	11 545
Wheat	1 958 000	1 430 000	2 005 000	1 870 000	1 784 950
Canola	40 350	36 900	58 800	79 000	113 001

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; First production estimate for winter crops (27 August 2013) and seventh crop estimate for summer crops for the 2013/2014 marketing year (27 August 2013).
¹ Cotton South Africa.

Table 7

Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2013/2014 marketing season)

Crop	Opening stock	Imports to RSA	Production	Exports	Total supply
White maize	757 000	85 000	5 580 300	650 000	5 772 300
Yellow maize	660 000	40 000	5 933 100	1 030 000	5 603 100
Sorghum	48 300	40 000	154 494	40 000	202 794
Groundnuts	17 800	20 000	42 300	15 000	65 100
Sunflower	114 400	11 700	566 600	0	692 700
Soybeans	175 900	800	787 100	4 000	959 800
Wheat	601 000	1 550 000	1 784 950	251 000	3 684 950
Canola	24 500	0	113 001	0	137 501

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8

Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2008/2009-2013/2014 production season)

	Ha Planted
Crop	2008/2009	2009/2010	2010/2011	2011/2012	2012/2013	2013/2014
White maize	1 489 000	1 719 700	1 418 300	1 636 200	1 617 200
Yellow maize	938 500	1 022 700	954 000	1 063 000	1 164 000
Sorghum	85 500	86 675	69 200	48 550	62 620
Groundnuts	54 550	57 450	55 150	45 450	46 900
Sunflower	635 800	397 700	642 700	453 350	504 700
Soybeans	237 750	311 450	418 000	472 000	516 500
Wheat	748 000	642 500	558 100	604 700	511 200	525 500
Canola	34 000	35 060	34 820	43 510	44 100	75 165
Total	4 223 100	4 273 235	4 150 270	4 366 760	4 467 220	600 665

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee: Seventh estimate to plant summer crops 2012/2013 production season (27 August 2013). Revised area estimate to plant winter crops 2013 production season (27 August 2013).

Table 9

Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops

Crops	Season
White maize	May-April
Yellow maize	May-April
Sorghum	April-March
Groundnuts	March-February
Sunflower	January-December
Soybeans	January-December
Wheat	October-September