Statistics & Estimates / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2013 May

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated May 2013)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2010/2011-2012/2013) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013
Requirements / Sales 37 000 45 000 55 000 1 857 490 1 856 360 1 900 000
Available / Produced 94 000 105 000 105 000 624 912 766 927 918 180
Shortage / Imports -57 000 -60 000 -50 000 1 232 578 1 089 433 981 820

2012/2013 – Estimate
Source: Fishing Industry; AFMA Chairman's Report 2011/2012

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2010/2011-2012/2013) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013
AFMA Members 30 754 26 492 54 710 1 255 258 1 329 126 1 313 286
Non-AFMA Members 6 246 18 508 290 602 232 527 234 586 714
Total 37 000 45 000 55 000 1 857 490 1 856 360 1 900 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2011/2012
2012/2013 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2010/2011-2012/2013) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2010/2011   2011/2012   2012/2013  
Sunflower oilcake 256 841 4.64 279 309 4.68 322 342 5.28
Groundnuts oilcake 138 0.00 2 045 0.03 2 066 0.03
Soy oilcake 815 958 14.75 885 988 14.84 834 318 13.67
Full fat soy 142 758 2.58 122 772 2.06 94 780 1.55
Cottonseed oilcake 17 142 0.31 14 291 0.24 17 472 0.29
Full fat cottonseed 5 704 0.10 7 611 0.13 9 268 0.15
Canola oilcake 5 974 0.11 9 071 0.15 11 372 0.19
Full fat canola 1 056 0.02 0 0.00 0 0.00
Copra and Palm Kernel 7 425 0.13 8 011 0.13 21 670 0.36
Maize Germ Oilcake 2 261 0.04 29 0.00 0 0.00
Total oilcake 1 255 258 22.69 1 329 126 22.26 1 313 286 21.52
Total maize products 3 034 924 54.87 3 237 558 54.21 3 241 150 53.11
Total fish meal 30 754 0.56 26 492 0.44 54 710 0.90

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2011/2012
AFMA raw material usage April 2012 to March 2013 scaled up to a twelve month period.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2010/2011-2012/2013) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013
RSA 72 000 90 000 90 000      
Namibia ¹ 22 000 15 000 15 000      
Total 94 000 105 000 105 000 -57 000 -60 000 -50 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2012/2013 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2010/2011-2012/2013)
  Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013
Oilcake:            
Groundnuts oilcake 3 1 0 1 235  
Sunflower oilcake 249 984 336 966 369 180 103 062 57 159  
Soy cake 152 000 227 600 488 000 989 112 922 499  
  - Full fat 149 600 120 160        
  - Beans       357 1 083  
Cotton cake 7 500     87 354 68 333  
  - Full fat 25 000 40 000 10 000 17 928 11 763  
Other:            
Canola 22 825 24 200 33 000      
Lupins 18 000 18 000 18 000      
Copra & Palm Kernel       34 764 28 361  
Total 624 912 766 927 918 180 1 232 578 1 089 433 981 820

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2011/2012
2012/2013 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2009/2010-2013/2014 marketing season)
Crop 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
White maize 6 775 000 7 822 400 6 052 000 6 740 000 6 155 200
Yellow maize 5 275 000 5 220 600 4 308 000 5 090 000 5 406 800
Sorghum 276 500 220 093 155 000 135 500 168 114
Groundnuts 99 500 87 880 64 250 59 000 57 900
Sunflower 801 000 516 265 860 000 522 000 554 500
Soybeans 516 000 560 950 710 000 650 000 851 000
Cotton seed ¹ 15 658 14 793 31 373 22 326 12 334
Wheat 1 958 000 1 430 000 2 005 000 1 915 310  
Canola 40 350 36 900 58 800 79 650  

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops (25 April 2013) and third crop estimate for summer crops for the 2013/2014 marketing year (25 April 2013).
¹ Cotton South Africa.

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2013/2014 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Exports Total supply
White maize 777 000 0 6 155 200 747 000 6 185 200
Yellow maize 397 000 0 5 406 800 757 000 5 046 800
Sorghum 54 300 110 000 168 114 19 800 312 614
Groundnuts 17 800 20 000 57 900 19 900 75 800
Sunflower 114 400 11 700 554 500 0 680 600
Soybeans 175 900 300 851 000 134 000 893 200
Wheat 651 000 1 485 000 1 915 310 305 000 3 746 310
Canola 6 900 0 79 650 0 86 550

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2008/2009-2013/2014 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2008/2009 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014
White maize 1 489 000 1 719 700 1 418 300 1 636 200 1 617 200  
Yellow maize 938 500 1 022 700 954 000 1 063 000 1 164 000  
Sorghum 85 500 86 675 69 200 48 550 62 620  
Groundnuts 54 550 57 450 55 150 45 450 46 900  
Sunflower 635 800 397 700 642 700 453 350 504 500  
Soybeans 237 750 311 450 418 000 472 000 516 500  
Wheat 748 000 642 500 558 100 604 700 511 200 516 600
Canola 34 000 35 060 34 820 43 510 44 100 55 000
Total 4 223 100 4 273 235 4 150 270 4 366 760 4 467 220 571 600

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee: Third estimate to plant summer crops 2012/2013 production season (25 April 2013). Intentions to plant winter crops 2013 production season (25 April 2013).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September