Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated April 2015)

Table 1

Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015
Requirements / Sales	45 000	25 000	45 000	1 877 671	1 979 065	2 084 747
Available / Produced	85 000	65 000	85 000	969 100	969 100	1 173 905
Shortage / Imports	-40 000	-40 000	-40 000	908 571	1 009 965	910 842

2014/2015 – Estimate
Source: Fishing Industry; AFMA Chairman's Report 2014/2015

Table 2

Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015
AFMA Members	41 875	19 770	29 027	1 254 487	1 272 823	1 338 005
Non-AFMA Members	3 125	5 230	15 973	623 184	706 242	746 742
Total	45 000	25 000	45 000	1 877 671	1 979 065	2 084 747

Source: AFMA website
2014/2015 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3

The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)

	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials	2012/2013		2013/2014		2014/2015
Sunflower oilcake	290 032	4.70	294 583	4.58	302 901	4.50
Groundnut oilcake	1 759	0.03	1 917	0.03	777	0.01
Soy oilcake	814 604	13.19	821 670	12.78	866 088	12.88
Full fat soy	77 876	1.26	75 267	1.17	95 873	1.43
Cottonseed oilcake	17 539	0.28	20 892	0.32	14 334	0.21
Full fat cottonseed	9 436	0.15	10 340	0.16	7 713	0.11
Canola oilcake	14 847	0.24	23 555	0.37	29 190	0.43
Full fat canola	0	0.00	0	0.00	0	0.00
Copra and Palm Kernel	27 969	0.45	23 231	0.36	19 995	0.30
Maize Germ Oilcake	425	0.00	1 368	0.02	1 134	0.02
Total oilcake	1 254 487	21.52	1 272 823	19.79	1 338 005	19.89
Total maize products	3 199 641	51.80	3 324 316	51.69	3 484 314	51.80
Total fishmeal	41 875	0.68	19 770	0.31	29 027	0.43
Feed	6 176 151		6 397 563		6 726 288

Source: AFMA website
AFMA raw material usage April 2014 to March 2015.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4

Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)

	Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton)				Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015	2015/2016 PROJECT	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015
RSA	70 000	65 000	85 000	85 000
Namibia ¹	14 000	13 000	13 000	13 000
Total	84 000	78 000	80 000	80 000	-40 000	-40 000	-40 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2014/2015 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5

Oilcake: local production and imports   (2013/2014-2014/2015)

	Local Oilcake production (ton)			Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year	2013/2014	2014/2015	2015/2016 PROJECT	2013/2014	2014/2015	2015/2016 PROJECT
Oilcake:
Groundnuts oilcake	0	0	0	588	777	777
Sunflower oilcake	278 297	320 842	258 400	166 273	61 434	60 000
Soy cake	449 272	628 990	657 000	728 150	610 022	574 525
- Full fat	155 654	118 598	120 000
- Beans				468	103 051	150 000
Cotton cake				127 604	121 082	121 082
- Full fat	5 602	8 740	19 098	37 232	37 000	37 000
Other:
Canola	66 275	72 865	72 865	0	0	0
Lupins	14 000	14 000	14 000	0	0	0
Copra & Palm Kernel				57 035
Total	969 100	1 164 035	1 141 363	1 117 350	933 366	943 384

Source: AFMA website
2014/2015 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soya and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
South African Supply and Demand Estimate Report NAMC 27 March 2015.

Table 6

Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2011/2012-2015/2016 marketing season)

Crop	2011/2012	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015	2015/2016
White maize	6 052 000	6 740 000	5 545 000	7 710 000	4 639 400
Yellow maize	4 308 000	5 090 000	6 145 000	6 540 000	5 026 950
Sorghum	155 000	135 500	147 200	265 000	158 300
Groundnuts	64 250	59 000	41 500	74 500	67 845
Sunflower	860 000	522 000	557 000	832 000	578 600
Soybeans	710 000	650 000	784 500	948 000	942 850
Cotton seed ¹	31 373	22 326	26 300	8 740	19 098
Wheat	2 005 000	1 870 000	1 870 000	1 775 534	1 775 534
Canola	58 800	79 000	112 041	123 500	123 500

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops and first crop estimate for summer crops for the 2015/2016 marketing year (26 February 2015).
¹ Cotton South Africa.

Table 7

Estimated Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2015/2016 marketing season)

Crop	Opening stock	Imports to RSA	Production	Exports	Total supply
White maize	1 239 074	50 000	4 639 400	580 000	5 348 474
Yellow maize	1 065 945	500 000	5 026 950	185 000	6 407 895
Sorghum	122 842	0	158 300	24 000	257 142
Groundnuts	13 300	0	67 845	16 000	65 145
Sunflower	47 116	61 000	853 325	50	961 391
Soybeans	63 054	150 000	942 850	500	1 155 404
Wheat	489 253	1 668 412	1 870 000	268 451	3 759 214
Canola	12 500	0	123 500	0	136 000

Source: Opening stock, import and export figures obtained from South African Supply and Demand.
Estimates Report, National Agricultural Marketing Council, 27 March 2015.

Table 8

Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2009/2010-2014/2015 production season)

	Ha Planted
Crop	2009/2010	2010/2011	2011/2012	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015
White maize	1 719 700	1 418 300	1 636 200	1 617 200	1 551 200	1 460 000
Yellow maize	1 022 700	954 000	1 063 000	1 164 000	1 137 000	1 204 800
Sorghum	86 675	69 200	48 550	62 620	78 850	70 500
Groundnuts	57 450	55 150	45 450	46 900	52 125	58 000
Sunflower	397 700	642 700	453 350	504 700	598 950	568 000
Soybeans	311 450	418 000	472 000	516 500	502 900	687 300
Wheat	642 500	558 100	604 700	511 200	505 500	476 570
Canola	35 060	34 820	43 510	44 100	72 165	95 000
Total	4 273 235	4 150 270	4 366 760	4 467 220	4 498 690	4 620 170

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee: First production estimate to plant summer crops 2015 production season (25 March 2015). Area estimate to plant winter crops 2014 production season (25 March 2015).

Table 9

Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops

Crops	Season
White maize	May-April
Yellow maize	May-April
Sorghum	April-March
Groundnuts	March-February
Sunflower	January-December
Soybeans	January-December
Wheat	October-September