Statistics & Estimates / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2015 August

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated August 2015)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2013/2014-2015/2016) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016
Requirements / Sales 25 000 45 000 45 000 1 967 445 1 966 459 2 076 039
Available / Produced 65 000 85 000 85 000 969 100 969 100 1 179 939
Shortage / Imports -40 000 -40 000 -40 000 998 345 997 359 896 100

2014/2015 – Estimate
Source: Fishing Industry

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015
AFMA Members 41 875 19 770 23 185 1 254 487 1 272 823 1 343 024
Non-AFMA Members -16 875 25 230 21 815 712 958 693 636 733 015
Total 25 000 45 000 45 000 1 967 445 1 966 459 2 076 039

Source: AFMA website
2014/2015 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2012/2013   2013/2014   2014/2015  
Sunflower oilcake 290 032 4.70 294 583 4.58 301 024 4.48
Groundnut oilcake 1 759 0.03 1 917 0.03 739 0.01
Soy oilcake 814 604 13.19 821 670 12.78 883 510 13.16
Full fat soy 77 876 1.26 75 267 1.17 85 271 1.27
Cottonseed oilcake 17 539 0.28 20 892 0.32 14 353 0.21
Full fat cottonseed 9 436 0.15 10 340 0.16 7 062 0.11
Canola oilcake 14 847 0.24 23 555 0.37 30 920 0.46
Full fat canola 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
Copra and Palm Kernel 27 969 0.45 23 231 0.36 19 016 0.28
Maize Germ Oilcake 425 0.00 1 368 0.02 1 129 0.02
Total oilcake 1 254 487 21.52 1 272 823 19.79 1 343 024 20.00
Total maize products 3 199 641 51.80 3 324 316 51.69 3 493 998 52.04
Total fishmeal 41 875 0.68 19 770 0.31 23 185 0.35
Feed 6 176 151   6 397 563   6 714 004  

Source: AFMA Chairman AFMA website
AFMA raw material usage April 2014 to March 2015.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016
PROJECT
2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015
RSA 70 000 65 000 85 000 85 000      
Namibia ¹ 14 000 13 000 13 000 13 000      
Total 84 000 78 000 80 000 80 000 -40 000 -40 000 -40 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2014/2015 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2013/2014-2014/2015)
  Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016
PROJECT
2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016
PROJECT
Oilcake:            
Groundnuts oilcake 0 0 0 588 777 691
Sunflower oilcake 278 297 320 842 260 300 166 273 61 434 160 000
Soy cake 449 272 654 839 722 000 609 613 511 013 525 997
  - Full fat 155 654 118 598 131 558      
Cotton cake       127 604 153 490 121 082
  - Full fat 5 602 8 740 19 098 37 232 37 000 37 000
Other:            
Canola 66 275 62 920 56 313 0 3 013 0
Lupins 14 000 14 000 12 000 0 0 0
Copra & Palm Kernel       57 035 19 793 30 000
Total 969 100 1 179 939 1 201 269 998 345 786 520 874 770

Source: SAGIS
2014/2015 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soya and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
South African Supply and Demand Estimate Report NAMC 28 August 2015.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2011/2012-2015/2016 marketing season)
Crop 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016
White maize 6 052 000 6 740 000 5 545 000 7 710 000 4 649 800
Yellow maize 4 308 000 5 090 000 6 145 000 6 540 000 5 188 700
Sorghum 155 000 135 500 147 200 265 000 114 700
Groundnuts 64 250 59 000 41 500 74 500 56 675
Sunflower 860 000 522 000 557 000 832 000 656 800
Soybeans 710 000 650 000 784 500 948 000 1 041 600
Cotton seed ¹ 31 373 22 326 26 300 8 740 19 098
Wheat 2 005 000 1 870 000 1 870 000 1 775 534 1 690 975
Canola 58 800 79 000 112 041 123 500 112 000

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops and seventh crop estimate for summer crops for the 2015/2016 marketing year (26 August 2015). Final winter crop estimate (26 August 2015).
¹ Cotton South Africa.

Table 7
Estimated Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2015/2016 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Producer deliveries Exports Total supply
White maize 1 282 581 100 000 4 539 800 550 000 5 372 381
Yellow maize 791 054 650 000 4 838 700 260 000 6 019 754
Sorghum 121 812 0 112 200 30 000 204 012
Groundnuts 13 300 0 56 675 16 000 53 975
Sunflower 92 927 25 000 656 800 150 774 577
Soybeans 63 704 150 000 1 009 600 2 500 1 220 804
Wheat 560 026 1 850 000 1 658 975 308 000 3 761 001
Canola 12 500 0 112 000 0 124 500

Source: Opening stock, import and export figures obtained from South African Supply and Demand.
Estimates Report, National Agricultural Marketing Council, 28 August 2015.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2009/2010-2014/2015 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2009/2010 2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015
White maize 1 719 700 1 418 300 1 636 200 1 617 200 1 551 200 1 448 050
Yellow maize 1 022 700 954 000 1 063 000 1 164 000 1 137 000 1 204 800
Sorghum 86 675 69 200 48 550 62 620 78 850 70 500
Groundnuts 57 450 55 150 45 450 46 900 52 125 58 000
Sunflower 397 700 642 700 453 350 504 700 598 950 576 000
Soybeans 311 450 418 000 472 000 516 500 502 900 687 300
Wheat 642 500 558 100 604 700 511 200 505 500 477 650
Canola 35 060 34 820 43 510 44 100 72 165 80 000
Total 4 273 235 4 150 270 4 366 760 4 467 220 4 498 690 4 602 300

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee: Fifth production estimate summer crops 2015 production season (30 June 2015). Area estimate to plant winter crops 2014 production season (7 May 2015).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September