Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated January 2016)

Table 1

Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2013/2014-2015/2016) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2013/2014	2014/2015	2015/2016	2013/2014	2014/2015	2015/2016
Requirements / Sales	25 000	45 000	20 000	1 967 445	1 966 459	2 025 768
Available / Produced	65 000	85 000	78 000	969 100	969 100	1 179 939
Shortage / Imports	-40 000	-40 000	-58 000	998 345	997 359	845 829

2015/2016 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry

Table 2

Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015
AFMA Members	41 875	19 770	23 185	1 254 487	1 272 823	1 409 588
Non-AFMA Members	-16 875	25 230	21 815	712 958	694 622	556 871
Total	25 000	45 000	45 000	1 967 445	1 967 445	1 966 459

Source: AFMA website
2014/2015 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3

The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)

	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials	2012/2013		2013/2014		2014/2015
Sunflower oilcake	290 032	4.70	294 583	4.58	304 949	4.34
Groundnut oilcake	1 759	0.03	1 917	0.03	739	0.01
Soya oilcake	814 604	13.19	821 670	12.78	959 282	13.66
Full fat soya	77 876	1.26	75 267	1.17	77 981	1.11
Cottonseed oilcake	17 539	0.28	20 892	0.32	12 646	0.18
Full fat cottonseed	9 436	0.15	10 340	0.16	6 682	0.10
Canola oilcake	14 847	0.24	23 555	0.37	31 675	0.45
Full fat canola	0	0.00	0	0.00	329	0.00
Copra and Palm kernel	27 969	0.45	23 231	0.36	13 776	0.20
Maize germ oilcake	425	0.00	1 368	0.02	1 529	0.02
Total oilcake	1 254 487	21.52	1 272 823	19.79	1 409 588	20.07
Total maize products	3 199 641	51.80	3 324 316	51.69	3 656 011	52.05
Total fishmeal	41 875	0.68	19 770	0.31	13 042	0.19
Feed	6 176 151		6 397 563		7 024 411

Source: AFMA website
AFMA raw material usage April 2015 to August 2015. Actual.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4

Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2012/2013-2014/2015) (April-March)

	Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton)				Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015	2015/2016 PROJECT	2013/2014	2014/2015	2015/2016
RSA	70 000	65 000	85 000	78 000
Namibia ¹	14 000	13 000	13 000	1 200
Total	84 000	78 000	80 000	80 000	-40 000	-40 000	-58 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2015/2016 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5

Oilcake: local production and imports   (2013/2014-2014/2015)

	Local Oilcake production (ton)			Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year	2013/2014	2014/2015	2015/2016 PROJECT	2013/2014	2014/2015	2015/2016
Oilcake:
Groundnuts oilcake	0	0	0	588	0	0
Sunflower oilcake	278 297	320 842	260 300	166 273	62 693	160 000
Soya cake	449 272	654 839	660 900	609 613	488 833	558 438
– Full fat	155 654	118 598	122 200
Cotton cake				127 604	110 272	121 082
– Full fat	5 602	8 740	19 098	37 232	37 000	37 000
Other:
Canola	66 275	62 920	50 750	0	24 713	0
Lupins	14 000	14 000	6 000	0	0	0
Copra and Palm kernel				57 035	24 713	30 000
Total	969 100	1 179 939	1 119 248	998 345	748 224	906 520

Source: SAGIS
2015/2016 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soya and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
South African Supply and Demand Estimate Report NAMC 27 November 2015

Table 6

Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2011/2012-2015/2016 marketing season)

Crop	2011/2012	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015	2015/2016
White maize	6 052 000	6 740 000	5 545 000	7 710 000	4 702 700
Yellow maize	4 308 000	5 090 000	6 145 000	6 540 000	5 238 950
Sorghum	155 000	135 500	147 200	265 000	116 500
Groundnuts	64 250	59 000	41 500	74 500	56 675
Sunflower	860 000	522 000	557 000	832 000	660 900
Soybeans	710 000	650 000	784 500	948 000	1 059 950
Cotton seed ¹	31 373	22 326	26 300	8 740	19 098
Wheat	2 005 000	1 870 000	1 870 000	1 775 534	1 635 400
Canola	58 800	79 000	112 041	123 500	121 000

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final production estimate for winter crops and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2015/2016 marketing year (29 September 2015). Final winter crop estimate (1 May 2015).
¹ Cotton South Africa.

Table 7

Estimated Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2015/2016 marketing season)

Crop	Opening stock	Imports to RSA	Producer deliveries	Exports	Total supply
White maize	1 282 581	80 000	4 592 700	510 000	5 445 281
Yellow maize	791 054	650 000	4 888 950	260 000	6 070 004
Sorghum	121 812	0	114 000	30 000	205 812
Groundnuts	13 300	0	56 675	16 000	53 975
Sunflower	92 927	25 000	660 900	150	778 677
Soybeans	63 704	150 000	1 106 000	3 500	1 316 204
Wheat	575 076	1 850 000	1 603 400	298 000	3 730 476
Canola	12 500	0	121 000	0	133 500

Source: Opening stock, import and export figures obtained from South African Supply and Demand.
Estimates Report, National Agricultural Marketing Council, 28 August 2015.

Table 8

Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2010/2011-2015/2016 production season)

Crop	2010/2011	2011/2012	2012/2013	2013/2014	2014/2015	2015/2016
White maize	1 418 300	1 636 200	1 617 200	1 551 200	1 448 050	1 421 800
Yellow maize	954 000	1 063 000	1 164 000	1 137 000	1 204 800	1 129 000
Sorghum	69 200	48 550	62 620	78 850	70 500	74 750
Groundnuts	55 150	45 450	46 900	52 125	58 000	44 700
Sunflower	642 700	453 350	504 700	598 950	576 000	614 000
Soybeans	418 000	472 000	516 500	502 900	687 300	696 400
Wheat	558 100	604 700	511 200	505 500	477 650	482 150
Canola	34 820	43 510	44 100	72 165	80 000	78 050
Total	4 150 270	4 366 760	4 467 220	4 498 690	4 602 300	4 540 850

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee: Fifth production estimate. Winter crops 15 December 2015. Intentions to plant season 27 October 2015. Area estimate to plant Winter crops 2014 production season (7 May 2015).

Table 9

Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops

Crops	Season
White maize	May-April
Yellow maize	May-April
Sorghum	April-March
Groundnuts	March-February
Sunflower	January-December
Soybeans	January-December
Wheat	October-September