Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated March 2016)
Table 1
Fishmeal (ton) | Oilcake (ton) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | 2013/2014 | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 | 2013/2014 | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 |
Requirements / Sales | 25 000 | 45 000 | 20 000 | 1 967 445 | 1 966 459 | 2 025 768 |
Available / Produced | 65 000 | 85 000 | 78 000 | 969 100 | 1 179 939 | 1 233 608 |
Shortage / Imports | -40 000 | -40 000 | -58 000 | 998 345 | 786 520 | 792 160 |
2015/2016 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry
Fishmeal (ton) | Oilcake (ton) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | 2013/2014 | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 | 2013/2014 | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 |
AFMA Members | 41 875 | 19 770 | 23 185 | 1 254 487 | 1 272 823 | 1 387 614 |
Non-AFMA Members | (16 875) | 25 230 | 21 815 | 712 958 | 694 622 | 638 154 |
Total | 25 000 | 45 000 | 45 000 | 1 967 445 | 1 967 445 | 2 025 768 |
Source: AFMA website
2015/2016 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.
Total (ton) | Inclusion rate (%) | Total (ton) | Inclusion rate (%) | Total (ton) | Inclusion rate (%) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raw Materials | 2013/2014 | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 | |||
Sunflower oilcake | 290 032 | 4.70 | 294 583 | 4.58 | 303 033 | 4.33 |
Groundnut oilcake | 1 759 | 0.03 | 1 917 | 0.03 | 739 | 0.01 |
Soya oilcake | 814 604 | 13.19 | 821 670 | 12.78 | 941 455 | 13.45 |
Full fat soya | 77 876 | 1.26 | 75 267 | 1.17 | 77 115 | 1.10 |
Cottonseed oilcake | 17 539 | 0.28 | 20 892 | 0.32 | 10 486 | 0.15 |
Full fat cottonseed | 9 436 | 0.15 | 10 340 | 0.16 | 7 622 | 0.11 |
Canola oilcake | 14 847 | 0.24 | 23 555 | 0.37 | 33 155 | 0.47 |
Full fat canola | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 261 | 0.00 |
Copra and Palm kernel | 27 969 | 0.45 | 23 231 | 0.36 | 12 645 | 0.18 |
Maize germ oilcake | 425 | 0.00 | 1 368 | 0.02 | 1 103 | 0.02 |
Total oilcake | 1 254 487 | 21.52 | 1 272 823 | 19.79 | 1 387 614 | 19.83 |
Total maize products | 3 199 641 | 51.80 | 3 324 316 | 51.69 | 3 622 845 | 51.77 |
Total fishmeal | 41 875 | 0.68 | 19 770 | 0.31 | 12 807 | 0.18 |
Feed | 6 176 151 | 6 397 563 | 6 997 698 |
Source: AFMA website
AFMA raw material usage April 2015 to November 2015. Actual.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.
Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) | Imported Fishmeal (ton) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | 2012/2013 | 2013/2014 | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 PROJECT |
2013/2014 | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 |
RSA | 70 000 | 65 000 | 85 000 | 78 000 | |||
Namibia ¹ | 14 000 | 13 000 | 13 000 | 1 000 | |||
Total | 84 000 | 13 000 | 98 000 | 79 200 | -40 000 | -40 000 | -58 000 |
Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2015/2016 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.
Local Oilcake production (ton) | Imported Oilcake (ton) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 | 2016/2017 | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 | 2016/2017 |
Oilcake: | ||||||
Groundnuts oilcake | 0 | 0 | 0 | 588 | 0 | 0 |
Sunflower oilcake | 320 842 | 281 200 | 281 200 | 166 273 | 162 693 | 160 000 |
Soya cake | 654 839 | 760 000 | 570 000 | 609 613 | 488 833 | 730 000 |
– Full fat | 118 598 | 116 560 | 116 560 | |||
Cotton cake | 127 604 | 110 272 | 121 082 | |||
– Full fat | 8 740 | 19 098 | 19 098 | 37 232 | 37 000 | 37 000 |
Other: | ||||||
Canola | 62 920 | 50 750 | 50 750 | 0 | 24 713 | 0 |
Lupins | 14 000 | 6 000 | 6 000 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Copra and Palm kernel | 57 035 | 24 713 | 30 000 | |||
Total | 1 179 939 | 1 233 608 | 1 043 608 | 998 345 | 848 224 | 1 078 082 |
Source: SAGIS
2015/2016 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soya and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
South African Supply and Demand Estimate Report NAMC 27 November 2015
Crop | 2012/2013 | 2013/2014 | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 | 2016/2017 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
White maize | 6 740 000 | 5 545 000 | 7 710 000 | 4 735 000 | 3 195 800 |
Yellow maize | 5 090 000 | 6 145 000 | 6 540 000 | 5 220 000 | 4 049 950 |
Sorghum | 135 500 | 147 200 | 265 000 | 120 500 | 93 400 |
Groundnuts | 59 000 | 41 500 | 74 500 | 62 300 | 34 120 |
Sunflower | 522 000 | 557 000 | 832 000 | 663 000 | 687 150 |
Soybeans | 650 000 | 784 500 | 948 000 | 1 070 000 | 724 600 |
Cotton seed ¹ | 22 326 | 26 300 | 8 740 | 19 098 | 19 098 |
Wheat | 1 870 000 | 1 870 000 | 1 750 000 | 1 457 015 | 1 457 015 |
Canola | 79 000 | 112 041 | 121 000 | 97 600 | 97 600 |
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Second production forecast 2016 and final winter crop estimate for the 2015/2016 marketing year (25 February 2016).
¹ Cotton South Africa
Crop | Opening stock | Imports to RSA | Producer deliveries | Exports | Total supply |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
White Maize | 1 124 545 | 1 150 000 | 3 115 800 | 480 000 | 4 910 345 |
Yellow maize | 576 414 | 2 750 000 | 3 709 950 | 330 000 | 6 706 364 |
Sorghum | 80 252 | 40 000 | 90 900 | 29 000 | 182 152 |
Groundnuts | 13 300 | 0 | 34 120 | 16 000 | 31 420 |
Sunflower | 44 207 | 90 000 | 687 150 | 100 | 821 257 |
Soybeans | 83 254 | 200 000 | 692 600 | 4 500 | 971 354 |
Wheat | 596 823 | 2 000 000 | 1 425 015 | 118 000 | 3 903 838 |
Canola | 12 500 | 0 | 97 600 | 0 | 110 100 |
Source: Opening stock, import and export figures obtained from South African Supply and Demand.
Estimates Report, National Agricultural Marketing Council, 28 August 2015.
Ha Planted | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crop | 2011/2012 | 2012/2013 | 2013/2014 | 2014/2015 | 2015/2016 | 2016/2017 |
White maize | 1 636 200 | 1 617 000 | 1 551 200 | 1 448 050 | 1 421 800 | 1 020 750 |
Yellow maize | 1 063 000 | 1 164 000 | 1 137 000 | 1 204 800 | 1 129 000 | 945 000 |
Sorghum | 48 550 | 62 620 | 78 850 | 70 500 | 74 750 | 48 500 |
Groundnuts | 45 450 | 46 900 | 52 125 | 58 000 | 44 700 | 23 100 |
Sunflower | 453 350 | 504 700 | 598 950 | 576 000 | 614 000 | 687 500 |
Soybeans | 472 000 | 516 500 | 502 900 | 687 300 | 696 400 | 519 800 |
Wheat | 604 700 | 511 200 | 505 500 | 477 650 | 482 150 | 482 150 |
Canola | 43 510 | 44 100 | 72 165 | 80 000 | 78 050 | 78 050 |
Total | 4 366 760 | 4 467 220 | 4 498 690 | 4 602 300 | 4 540 850 | 4 804 850 |
Source: National Crops Estimates Committee – Second production forecast 2016.
Area estimate to plant Winter crops 2015 production season (7 February 2016).
Crops | Season |
White maize | May-April |
Yellow maize | May-April |
Sorghum | April-March |
Groundnuts | March-February |
Sunflower | January-December |
Soybeans | January-December |
Wheat | October-September |