Fifth production forecast for winter cereals (2020)
Vierde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse (2020)
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Estimates courtecy of the Crop Estimates Committee
Syfers deur die Oesskattingskomitee verskaf
Crop / Gewas | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fifth forecast Vyfde skatting |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change / Verandering |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 2020 | 2020 | 2019 | 2019 | ||
Ha | Tons | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
(A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (B) ÷ (C) | |
Commercial / Kommersieël | ||||||
Wheat / Koring | 509 800 | 2 149 900 | 2 149 270 | 540 000 | 1 535 000 | -0.06 |
Malting barley / Moutgars | 141 690 | 550 246 | 552 766 | 131 960 | 345 000 | -0.46 |
Canola | 74 120 | 163 256 | 148 456 | 74 000 | 95 000 | +9.97 |
Cereal oats / Hawermout | 26 200 | 47 400 | 47 400 | 21 000 | 16 500 | – |
Note: Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2020/2021 = 2020
Nota: Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2020/2021 = 2020
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fifth forecast Vyfde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 2020 | 2019 | 2019 | |
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 326 000 | 1 108 400 | 325 000 | 650 000 |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 37 000 | 275 650 | 37 500 | 262 500 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 94 000 | 432 400 | 128 000 | 326 000 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 4 000 | 26 000 | 3 100 | 18 150 |
KwaZulu-Natal | 7 800 | 48 360 | 7 500 | 45 750 |
Mpumalanga | 3 000 | 19 500 | 4 000 | 25 200 |
Limpopo | 23 000 | 147 200 | 20 000 | 120 000 |
Gauteng | 1 300 | 8 190 | 1 400 | 8 400 |
North West / Noordwes | 13 700 | 82 200 | 13 500 | 79 000 |
Total / Totaal | 509 800 | 2 147 900 | 540 000 | 1 535 000 |
Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Area estimate and fifth production forecast for 2020 / Oppervlakte- en vyfde produksieskatting vir 2020
Winter cereal crops – 2020
Wheat
The expected production of wheat is 2,148 million tons, which is 0,06% or 1 370 tons less than the previous forecast of 2,149 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 4,21 t/ha. This is the largest expected wheat crop since the 2,427 million tons of the 2002 season.
The expected production in the Western Cape is 1,108 million tons (52%), in the Free State 432 400 tons (20%) and in the Northern Cape 275 650 tons (13%).
Other crops
The production forecast for malting barley is 550 246 tons, which is 0,46% or 2 520 tons less than the previous forecast of 552 766 tons. The area planted is estimated at 141 690 ha, while the expected yield is 3,88 t/ha. This is the largest expected malting barley crop recorded for SA.
The expected canola crop is 163 256 tons, which is 9,97% or 14 800 tons more than the previous forecast of 148 456 tons. The area estimate for canola is 74 120 ha, with an expected yield of 2,20 t/ha. It is also the largest expected canola crop ever recorded for SA.
The expected oats (cereals) crop for 2020 remained unchanged at 47 400 tons. The area estimate is 26 200 ha and the expected yield is 1,81 t/ha.
Please note that the sixth production forecast for winter cereals for 2020 will be released on 28 January 2021.
Information is available on the internet at:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.
Wintergewasse – 2020
Koring
Die verwagte produksie vir koring is 2,148 miljoen ton, wat 0,06% of 1 370 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 2,149 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 4,21 t/ha is. Hierdie is die grootste verwagte koring-oes sedert die 2,427 miljoen ton van die 2002 seisoen.
Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 1,108 miljoen ton (52%), in die Vrystaat 432 400 ton (20%) en in die Noord-Kaap 275 650 ton (13%).
Ander gewasse
Die produksieskatting vir moutgars is 550 246 ton, wat 0,46% of 2 520 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 552 766 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 141 690 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,88 t/ha beloop. Dit is die grootste verwagte moutgars-oes wat nog vir SA aangeteken is.
Die verwagte canola-oes is 163 256 ton, wat 9,97% of 14 800 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 148 456 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 74 120 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 2,20 t/ha. Dit is ook die grootste verwagte canola-oes wat nog aangeteken is vir SA.
Die verwagte hawer-oes (ontbytgraan) vir die 2020-seisoen is onveranderd gelaat op 47 400 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting is 26 200 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,81 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die sesde produksieskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2020 op 28 Januarie 2021 vrygestel sal word.
Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.
CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting
- Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
- No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information.
- The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
- No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
- Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
- Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
- Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.