WINTER CROPS  |  2021 Income and Cost Budgets

Western Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, canola and oats for Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville
Area Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville
Crop Wheat Canola Oats
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.00 1.65 2.70
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2021 R/ton 4 955 6 700 4 955
Total deductions R/ton 717 30 865
– Transport differential R/ton 600 825
– Grade differential R/ton 3
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 114 30
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 670 40
Net farm gate price R/ton 4 238 7 340 4 091
Gross income R/ha R12 714 R12 111 R11 045

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 33 35 32
Fertilizer R/ha 2 404 2 199 1 658
Lime R/ha 181 152 185
Seed R/ha 680 911 469
Fuel R/ha 490 424 461
Herbicide R/ha 1 065 663 508
Insecticide R/ha 119 206 259
Fungicides R/ha 791 436 215
Marketing costs R/ha 56 16
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 720 695 723
Casual labour R/ha 8 8
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 94 94 94
Total variable expenditure R/ha R6 634 R5 838 R4 613
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 211 R3 538 R1 709
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R6 080 R6 273 R6 432
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 027 R3 802 R2 382
Break-even yield T/ha 1.57 0.80 1.13
Break-even price R/ton R2 211 R3 538 R1 709
Source: Kaap Agri, GSA and BFAP, April 2021.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Swartland
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Swartland)

Gross margin per hectare: Western Cape – Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R3 238 651 1 461 2 270 3 080 3 889 4 699 5 508
R3 488 1 214 2 086 2 958 3 830 4 702 5 574 6 446
R3 738 1 776 2 711 3 645 4 580 5 514 6 449 7 383
R3 988 2 339 3 336 4 333 5 330 6 327 7 324 8 321
R4 238 2 901 3 961 5 020 6 080 7 139 8 199 9 258
R4 488 3 464 4 586 5 708 6 830 7 952 9 074 10 196
R4 738 4 026 5 211 6 395 7 580 8 764 9 949 11 133
R4 988 4 589 5 836 7 083 8 330 9 577 10 824 12 071
R5 238 5 151 6 461 7 770 9 090 10 389 11 699 13 008
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.65 1.75 2.00 2.25
R6 340 502 2 087 3 672 4 623 5 257 6 842 8 427
R6 590 752 2 400 4 047 5 036 5 695 7 342 8 990
R6 840 1 002 2 712 4 422 5 448 6 132 7 842 9 552
R7 090 1 252 3 025 4 797 5 861 6 570 8 342 10 115
R7 340 1 502 3 337 5 172 6 273 7 007 8 842 10 677
R7 590 1 752 3 650 5 547 6 686 7 445 9 342 11 240
R7 840 2 002 3 962 5 922 7 098 7 882 9 842 11 802
R8 090 2 252 4 275 6 297 7 511 8 320 10 342 12 365
R8 340 2 502 4 587 6 672 7 923 8 757 10 842 12 927
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R6 590 R6 840 R7 090 R7 340 R7 590 R7 840 R8 090
0.50 -8 623 -8 498 -8 373 -8 248 -8 123 -7 998 -7 873
1.00 -5 328 -5 078 -4 828 -4 578 -4 328 -4 078 -3 828
1.25 -3 680 -3 368 -3 055 -2 743 -2 430 -2 118 -1 805
1.50 -2 033 -1 658 -1 283 -908 -533 -158 217
1.65 -1 044 -632 -219 193 606 1 018 1 431
1.75 -385 52 490 927 1 365 1 802 2 240
2.00 1 262 1 762 2 262 2 762 3 262 3 762 4 262
2.25 2 910 3 472 4 035 4 597 5 160 5 722 6 285
2.50 4 557 5 182 5 807 6 432 7 057 7 682 8 307

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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