WINTER CROPS  |  2021 Income and Cost Budgets

Western Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat and canola for Rooi Karoo
Area Rooi Karoo
Crop Wheat Canola
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.15 1.10
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2021 R/ton 4 955 6 700
Total deductions R/ton 717 30
– Transport differential R/ton 600
– Grade differential R/ton 3
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 114 30
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 670
Net farm gate price R/ton 4 238 7 340
Gross income R/ha R9 111 R8 074

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 24 23
Fertilizer R/ha 1 604 1 561
Lime R/ha 136 136
Seed R/ha 583 911
Fuel R/ha 473 383
Herbicide R/ha 850 575
Insecticide R/ha 119 176
Fungicides R/ha 361 436
Marketing costs R/ha 40 11
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 591 566
Casual labour R/ha 8
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 94
Total variable expenditure R/ha R4 876 R4 785
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 268 R4 350
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R4 236 R3 289
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 970 R2 990
Break-even yield T/ha 1.15 0.65
Break-even price R/ton R2 268 R4 350
Source: Kaap Agri, GSA and BFAP, April 2021.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Swartland
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Swartland)

Gross margin per hectare: Western Cape – Rooi Karoo

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.15 2.25 2.50 2.75
R3 238 -19 790 1 600 2 086 2 409 3 219 4 028
R3 488 356 1 228 2 100 2 623 2 972 3 844 4 716
R3 738 731 1 665 2 600 3 161 3 534 4 469 5 403
R3 988 1 106 2 103 3 100 3 698 4 097 5 094 6 091
R4 238 1 481 2 540 3 600 4 236 4 659 5 719 6 778
R4 488 1 856 2 978 4 100 4 773 5 222 6 344 7 466
R4 738 2 231 3 415 4 600 5 311 5 784 6 969 8 153
R4 988 2 606 3 853 5 100 5 848 6 347 7 594 8 841
R5 238 2 981 4 290 5 600 6 386 6 909 8 219 9 528
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 0.50 0.75 1.00 1.10 1.25 1.50 1.75
R6 340 -1 615 -30 1 555 2 189 3 140 4 725 6 310
R6 590 -1 490 157 1 805 2 464 3 452 5 100 6 747
R6 840 -1 365 345 2 055 2 739 3 765 5 475 7 185
R7 090 -1 240 532 2 305 3 014 4 077 5 850 7 622
R7 340 -1 115 720 2 555 3 289 4 390 6 225 8 060
R7 590 -990 907 2 805 3 564 4 702 6 600 8 497
R7 840 -865 1 095 3 055 3 839 5 015 6 975 8 935
R8 090 -740 1 282 3 305 4 114 5 327 7 350 9 372
R8 340 -615 1 470 3 555 4 389 5 640 7 725 9 810
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R6 590 R6 840 R7 090 R7 340 R7 590 R7 840 R8 090
0.25 -7 374 -7 311 -7 249 -7 186 -7 124 -7 061 -6 999
0.50 -5 726 -5 601 -5 476 -5 351 -5 226 -5 101 -4 976
0.75 -4 079 -3 891 -3 704 -3 516 -3 329 -3 141 -2 954
1.00 -2 431 -2 181 -1 931 -1 681 -1 431 -1 181 -931
1.10 -1 772 -1 497 -1 222 -947 -672 -397 -122
1.25 -784 -471 -159 154 466 779 1 091
1.50 864 1 239 1 614 1 989 2 364 2 739 3 114
1.75 2 511 2 949 3 386 3 824 4 261 4 699 5 136
2.00 4 159 4 659 5 159 5 659 6 159 6 659 7 159

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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