WINTER CROPS  |  2022 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Eastern Rûens – low potential regions)
Area Southern Cape: Eastern Rûens (low potential)
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.20 2.20 1.50 1.50 1.40
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2022 R/ton 7 038 7 038 9 364 7 038 6 801
Total deductions R/ton 937 890 172 882 104
– Transport differential R/ton 615 615 140 840 100
– Grade differential R/ton 210 194
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 112 81 32 42 4
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 936
Net farm gate price R/ton 6 102 6 026 10 129 6 156 6 697
Gross income R/ha R13 423 R13 258 R15 193 R9 235 R9 375

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 39 38 44 27
Fertilizer R/ha 3 608 3 424 3 765 2 878 1 442
Lime R/ha 199 199 199 167
Seed R/ha 523 398 967 493 852
Fuel R/ha 691 707 710 671 643
Herbicide R/ha 1 526 841 1 184 567 381
Insecticide R/ha 206 141 275 102 175
Fungicides R/ha 468 781 256 269 110
Marketing costs R/ha 50 68 28
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 527 503 546 503 503
Casual labour R/ha 14 12 14 13 11
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 128 130 123 101 101
Total variable expenditure R/ha R7 977 R7 243 R8 109 R5 789 R4 219
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 626 R3 292 R5 406 R3 860 R3 014
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R5 446 R6 015 R7 083 R3 445 R5 156
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 476 R2 734 R4 722 R2 297 R3 683
Break-even yield T/ha 1.31 1.20 0.80 0.94 0.63
Break-even price R/ton R3 626 R3 292 R5 406 R3 860 R3 014
Source: SSK, GSA and BFAP, updated September 2022.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Eastern Rûens – low potential)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Eastern Ruens - low potential region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Eastern Rûens (low potential)

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.45 1.70 1.95 2.20 2.45 2.70 2.95
R5 102 -580 696 1 971 3 246 4 522 5 797 7 073
R5 352 -217 1 121 2 459 3 796 5 134 6 472 7 810
R5 602 145 1 546 2 946 4 346 5 747 7 147 8 548
R5 852 508 1 971 3 434 4 896 6 359 7 822 9 285
R6 102 870 2 396 3 921 5 446 6 972 8 497 10 023
R6 352 1 233 2 821 4 409 5 996 7 584 9 172 10 760
R6 602 1 595 3 246 4 896 6 546 8 197 9 847 11 498
R6 852 1 958 3 671 5 384 7 096 8 809 10 522 12 235
R7 102 2 320 4 096 5 871 7 646 9 422 11 197 12 973
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.45 1.70 1.95 2.20 2.45 2.70 2.95
R5026 46 1 302 2 559 3 815 5 072 6 329 7 585
R5 276 408 1 727 3 046 4 365 5 685 7 004 8 323
R5 526 771 2 152 3 534 4 915 6 297 7 679 9 060
R5 776 1 133 2 577 4 021 5 465 6 910 8 354 9 798
R6 026 1 496 3 002 4 509 6 015 7 522 9 029 10 535
R6 276 1 858 3 427 4 996 6 565 8 135 9 704 11 273
R6 526 2 221 3 852 5 484 7 115 8 747 10 379 12 010
R6 776 2 583 4 277 5 971 7 665 9 360 11 054 12 748
R7 026 2 946 4 702 6 459 8 215 9 972 11 729 13 485
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 0.75 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25
R9 129 -1 263 1 019 3 301 5 583 7 866 10 148 12 430
R9 379 -1 075 1 269 3 614 5 958 8 303 10 648 12 992
R9 629 -888 1 519 3 926 6 333 8 741 11 148 13 555
R9 879 -700 1 769 4 239 6 708 9 178 11 648 14 117
R10 129 -513 2 109 4 551 7 083 9 616 12 148 14 680
R10 379 -325 2 269 4 864 7 458 10 053 12 648 15 242
R10 629 -138 2 519 5 176 7 833 10 491 13 148 15 805
R10 879 50 2 769 5 489 8 208 10 928 13 648 16 367
R11 129 237 3 019 5 801 8 583 11 366 14 148 16 930
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R9 379 R9 629 R9 879 R10 129 R10 379 R10 629 R10 879
0.50 -8 866 -8 741 -8 616 -8 491 -8 366 -8 241 -8 116
0.75 -6 522 -6 334 -6 147 -5 959 -5 772 -5 584 -5 397
1.00 -4 177 -3 927 -3 677 -3 427 -3 177 -2 927 -2 677
1.25 -1 833 -1 520 -1 208 -895 -583 -270 42
1.50 512 887 1 262 1 637 2 012 2 387 2 762
1.75 2 857 3 294 3 732 4 169 4 607 5 044 5 482
2.00 5 201 5 701 6 201 6 701 7 201 7 701 8 201
2.25 7 546 8 108 8 671 9 233 9 796 10 358 10 921
2.50 9 891 10 516 11 141 11 766 12 391 13 016 13 641

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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