WINTER CROPS  |  2022 Income and Cost Budgets

Western Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat and canola for Rooi Karoo
Area Rooi Karoo
Crop Wheat Canola
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.15 1.25
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2022 R/ton 7 038 9 364
Total deductions R/ton 944 192
– Transport differential R/ton 615 161
– Grade differential R/ton 210
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 119 31
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 936
Net farm gate price R/ton 6 095 10 108
Gross income R/ha R13 103 R12 635

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 34 36
Fertilizer R/ha 3 344 3 195
Lime R/ha 149 149
Seed R/ha 642 1 051
Fuel R/ha 665 538
Herbicide R/ha 1 526 1 184
Insecticide R/ha 206 275
Fungicides R/ha 468 256
Marketing costs R/ha 43 13
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 674 597
Casual labour R/ha 17 19
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 101 90
Total variable expenditure R/ha R7 868 R7 403
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 660 R5 923
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R5 235 R5 232
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 435 R4 186
Break-even yield T/ha 1.29 0.73
Break-even price R/ton R3 660 R5 923
Source: Kaap Agri, Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, updated September 2022.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Swartland
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Swartland)

Gross margin per hectare: Western Cape – Rooi Karoo

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.15 2.25 2.50 2.75
R5 095 -227 1 047 2 321 3 085 3 594 4 868 6 142
R5 345 148 1 485 2 821 3 622 4 157 5 493 6 829
R5 595 523 1 922 3 321 4 160 4 719 6 118 7 517
R5 845 898 2 360 3 821 4 697 5 282 6 743 8 204
R6 095 1 273 2 797 4 321 5 235 5 844 7 368 8 892
R6 345 1 648 3 235 4 821 5 772 6 407 7 993 9 579
R6 595 2 023 3 672 5 321 6 310 6 969 8 618 10 267
R6 845 2 398 4 110 5 821 6 847 7 532 9 243 10 954
R7 095 2 773 4 547 6 321 7 385 8 094 9 868 11 642
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 0.65 0.90 1.15 1.25 1.40 1.65 1.90
R9 108 -1 483 794 3 071 3 982 5 348 7 625 9 902
R9 358 -1 320 1 019 3 359 4 294 5 698 8 038 10 377
R9 608 -1 158 1 244 3 646 4 607 6 048 8 450 10 852
R9 858 -995 1 469 3 934 4 919 6 398 8 863 11 327
R10 108 -833 1 694 4 221 5 232 6 748 9 275 11 802
R10 358 -670 1 919 4 509 5 544 7 098 9 688 12 277
R10 608 -508 2 144 4 796 5 857 7 448 10 100 12 752
R10 858 -345 2 369 5 084 6 169 7 798 10 513 13 227
R11 108 -183 2 594 5 371 6 482 8 148 10 925 13 702
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R9 358 R9 608 R9 858 R10 108 R10 358 R10 608 R10 858
0.25 -10 299 -10 236 -10 174 -10 111 -10 049 -9 986 -9 924
0.65 -6 555 -6 393 -6 230 -6 068 -5 905 -5 743 -5 580
0.90 -4 216 -3 991 -3 766 -3 541 -3 316 -3 091 -2 866
1.15 -1 876 -1 589 -1 301 -1 014 -726 -439 -151
1.25 -940 -628 -315 -3 310 622 935
1.40 463 813 1 163 1 513 1 863 2 213 2 563
1.65 2 803 3 216 3 628 4 041 4 453 4 866 5 278
1.90 5 143 5 618 6 093 6 568 7 043 7 518 7 993
2.00 6 078 6 578 7 078 7 578 8 078 8 578 9 078

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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