WINTER CROPS  |  2022 Income and Cost Budgets

Western Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, canola and lupins for Darling-vlakte – Hopefield (Sandveld region)
Area Darling-vlakte – Hopefield (Sandveld region)
Crop Wheat Canola Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.35 1.40 1.80
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2022 R/ton 7 038 9 364 6 801
Total deductions R/ton 944 93 141
– Transport differential R/ton 615 62 100
– Grade differential R/ton 210
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 119 31 41
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 936
Net farm gate price R/ton 6 095 10 207 6 660
Gross income R/ha R14 322 R14 290 R11 987

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 37 41 34
Fertilizer R/ha 4 331 3 998 922
Lime R/ha 139 139 199
Seed R/ha 677 1 051 630
Fuel R/ha 703 499 505
Herbicide R/ha 1 526 1 184 882
Insecticide R/ha 206 275 186
Fungicides R/ha 468 256 249
Marketing costs R/ha 47 15
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 679 576 601
Casual labour R/ha 17 19 15
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 101 90 90
Total variable expenditure R/ha R8 931 R8 142 R4 313
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 800 R5 816 R2 396
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R5 391 R6 148 R7 674
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 294 R4 392 R4 263
Break-even yield T/ha 1.47 0.80 0.65
Break-even price R/ton R3 800 R5 816 R2 396
Source: Kaap Agri, Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, updated September 2022.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Swartland
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Swartland)

Gross margin per hectare: Western Cape – Darling-vlakte – Hopefield

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.35 2.50 2.75 3.00
R5 095 -1 289 -16 1 258 3 041 3 805 5 079 6 353
R5 345 -914 422 1 758 3 629 4 430 5 766 7 103
R5 595 -539 859 2 258 4 216 5 055 6 454 7 853
R5 845 -164 1 297 2 758 4 804 5 680 7 141 8 603
R6 095 211 1 734 3 258 5 391 6 305 7 829 9 353
R6 345 586 2 172 3 758 5 979 6 930 8 516 10 103
R6 595 961 2 609 4 258 6 566 7 555 9 204 10 853
R6 845 1 336 3 047 4 758 7 154 8 180 9 891 11 603
R7 095 1 711 3 484 5 258 7 741 8 805 10 579 12 353
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 0.70 0.95 1.20 1.40 1.70 1.95 2.20
R9 207 -1 697 605 2 907 4 748 7 511 9 812 12 114
R9 457 -1 522 843 3 207 5 098 7 936 10 300 12 664
R9 707 -1 347 1 080 3 507 5 448 8 361 10 787 13 214
R9 957 -1 172 1 318 3 807 5 798 8 786 11 275 13 764
R10 207 -997 1 555 4 107 6 148 9 211 11 762 14 314
R10 457 -822 1 793 4 407 6 498 9 636 12 250 14 864
R10 707 -647 2 030 4 707 6 848 10 061 12 737 15 414
R10 957 -472 2 268 5 007 7 198 10 486 13 225 15 964
R11 207 -297 2 505 5 307 7 548 10 911 13 712 16 514
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R9 457 R9 707 R9 957 R10 207 R10 457 R10 707 R10 957
0.25 -11 169 -11 106 -11 044 -10 981 -10 919 -10 856 -10 794
0.70 -6 913 -6 738 -6 563 -6 388 -6 213 -6 038 -5 863
0.95 -4 548 -4 311 -4 073 -3 836 -3 598 -3 361 -3 123
1.20 -2 184 -1 884 -1 584 -1 284 -984 -684 -384
1.40 -293 57 407 757 1 107 1 457 1 807
1.70 2 545 2 970 3 395 3 820 4 245 4 670 5 095
1.95 4 909 5 396 5 884 6 371 6 859 7 346 7 834
2.20 7 273 7 823 8 373 8 923 9 473 10 023 10 573
2.25 7 746 8 309 8 871 9 434 9 996 10 559 11 121

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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