Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2005 January

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated January 2005)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2002/2003-2004/2005) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
Requirements / Sales 82 988 127 000 127 000 1 210 396 1 121 460 1 200 000
Available / Produced 123 000 133 000 132 000 472 311 489 413 456 743
Shortage / Imports -40 012 -6 000 -5 000 738 085 632 047 743 257

2004/2005 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2002/2003-2004/2005) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
AFMA Members 70 540 114 402 112 726 816 934 784 961 813 682
Non-AFMA Members 12 448 12 598 14 274 393 462 336 499 386 318
Total 82 988 127 000 127 000 1 210 396 1 121 460 1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004
2004/2005 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2002/2003-2004/2005) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
Sunflower oilcake 212 359 5.18 273 123 6.51 231 498 5.39
Groundnuts oilcake 7 386 0.18 1 762 0.04 538 0.01
Soy oilcake 413 443 11.07 364 882 8.70 429 858 10.00
Full fat soy 121 426 2.96 88 950 2.12 87 636 2.04
Cotton oilcake 44 939 1.09 38 044 0.91 49 944 1.16
Full fat cotton 6 768 0.16 4 692 0.11 4 078 0.09
Canola oilcake 7 514 0.18 6 490 0.15 3 860 0.09
Full fat canola 1 353 0.03 837 0.02
Total oilcake 816 934 19.90 784 961 18.74 813 682 18.93
Total maize products 2 268 560 55.27 2 344 042 55.91 2 412 920 56.13
Total fishmeal 70 540 1.72 114 402 2.73 112 726 2.62

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004
AFMA raw material usage April 2004 to March 2005.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2002/2003-2004/2005) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
RSA 110 000 120 000 120 000
Namibia 13 000 13 000 12 000
Total 123 000 133 000 132 000 -40 012 -6 000 -5 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2004/2005 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2002/2003-2004/2005)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 8 132 1 766 8 025
Sunflower oilcake 293 328 336 000 260 358 14 112 24 379
Soy cake 7 440 6 000 562 552 477 814
– Full fat 112 560 113 280 130 628 22 800 19 502
– Beans
Cotton cake 16 781 11 296 21 551 88 921 73 760
– Full fat 1 485 2 346 24 474 22 413
Other 25 226 14 181
Canola 20 885 14 685 29 081
Lupins 11 700 4 040 7 100
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 472 311 489 413 456 743 738 085 632 049 743 257

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004
2004/2005 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2000/2001-2004/2005 marketing season)
Crop 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
White maize 6 154 500 4 109 790 5 078 000 6 371 000 5 805 000
Yellow maize 3 986 440 3 115 350 3 386 000 3 019 000 3 677 000
Sorghum 352 450 175 580 208 000 219 700 373 000
Groundnuts 113 550 183 840 120 200 60 000 115 000
Sunflower 530 625 638 320 932 000 642 075 648 000
Soybeans 148 720 209 705 216 000 136 500 220 000
Cotton seed ¹ 40 537 34 438 36 530 29 278 50 169
Wheat 2 122 440 2 492 880 2 320 745 1 428 150 1 752 350
Sweet lupins 17 360 16 338 11 700 4 040 3 950
Canola 26 549 25 750 37 975 40 770 34 250

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth estimate for winter crops (20 December 2004) and final production estimate for summer crops for the 2004/2005 marketing year (2 December 2004).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2004/2005 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 2 123 000 0 5 805 000 7 928 000
Yellow maize 510 000 180 000 3 677 000 4 367 000
Sorghum 49 000 6 000 373 000 428 000
Groundnuts 16 700 14 000 115 000 145 700
Sunflower 125 000 18 000 648 000 791 000
Soybeans 48 700 15 000 220 000 283 700
Wheat 598 000 1 032 000 1 752 350 3 382 350
Canola 10 500 0 34 250 44 750

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (1999/2000-2004/2005 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005
White maize 2 003 000 1 596 005 1 721 580 2 234 350 1 842 000 1 881 350
Yellow maize 1 227 440 1 111 900 1 111 000 950 350 1 001 300 1 169 700
Sorghum 142 200 88 300 75 000 95 100 130 000 118 000
Groundnuts 82 600 165 250 94 160 49 850 71 500 62 000
Sunflower 396 350 521 695 645 510 605 750 530 000 482 000
Soybeans 93 787 134 150 124 150 100 150 135 000 155 000
Wheat 718 000 860 000 959 400 941 100 748 000 851 200
Sweet lupins 19 000 14 705 14 785 11 000 10 100 7 100
Canola 25 000 19 145 27 000 33 000 44 200 45 500

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Revised intentions to plant for summer crops 2004/2005 production season (22 November 2004). Fifth area estimate for winter crops 2004/2005 production season (20 December 2004).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September