Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2005 September

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated September 2005)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
Requirements / Sales 127 000 127 000 127 000 1 121 460 1 212 593 1 200 000
Available / Produced 133 000 132 000 132 000 489 413 416 736 490 738
Shortage / Imports -6 000 -5 000 -5 000 632 047 795 857 709 262

2004/2005 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
AFMA Members 114 402 100 879 88 040 784 961 818 767 875 562
Non-AFMA Members 12 598 26 121 38 960 336 499 393 826 324 438
Total 127 000 127 000 127 000 1 121 460 1 212 593 1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004
2004/2005 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
Sunflower oilcake 273 123 6.51 213 837 4.96 219 668 4.97
Groundnuts oilcake 1 762 0.04 891 0.02 3 656 0.08
Soy oilcake 364 882 8.70 448 648 10.40 449 744 10.17
Full fat soy 88 950 2.12 92 968 2.16 137 848 3.12
Cotton oilcake 38 044 0.91 46 396 1.08 50 560 1.14
Full fat cotton 4 692 0.11 4 340 0.10 5 920 0.13
Canola oilcake 6 490 0.15 5 138 0.12 2 924 0.07
Full fat canola 1 353 0.03 454 0.01 0 0
Total oilcake 784 961 18.74 818 767 18.97 875 562 19.81
Total maize products 2 344 042 55.91 2 384 886 55.34 2 390 868 54.09
Total fishmeal 114 402 2.73 100 879 2.34 88 040 1.99

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004
AFMA raw material usage April 2004 to March 2005.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
RSA 120 000 120 000 120 000
Namibia 13 000 12 000 12 000
Total 133 000 132 000 132 000 -6 000 -5 000 -5 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2004/2005 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2003/2004-2005/2006)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 1 766 1 766 8 025
Sunflower oilcake 336 000 277 200 278 884 24 379 16 073
Soy cake 6 000 477 814 626 244
– Full fat 113 280 92 080 144 000 19 502 22 234
– Beans
Cotton cake 11 296 21 170 18 266 73 760 89 056
– Full fat 2 346 22 413 32 315
Other 14 181 9 975
Canola 14 685 20 570 26 053
Lupins 4 040 3 950 15 510
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 489 413 416 736 490 738 632 049 795 897 709 262

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004
2004/2005 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2001/2002-2005/2006 marketing season)
Crop 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
White maize 4 109 790 5 078 000 6 371 000 5 805 000 7 264 500
Yellow maize 3 115 350 3 386 000 3 019 000 3 677 000 4 915 800
Sorghum 175 580 208 000 219 700 373 000 297 300
Groundnuts 183 840 120 200 60 000 115 000 74 388
Sunflower 638 320 932 000 642 075 648 000 664 010
Soybeans 209 705 216 000 136 500 220 000 277 370
Cotton seed ¹ 34 438 36 530 29 278 50 169 36 480
Wheat 2 492 880 2 320 745 1 428 150 1 680 000 2 034 300
Sweet lupins 16 338 11 700 4 040 3 950 15 510
Canola 25 750 37 975 40 770 32 000 47 370

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; First estimate for winter crops (22 August 2005) and seventh production estimate for summer crops for the 2005/2006 marketing year (22 August 2005).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2005/2006 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 2 402 000 0 7 264 500 9 666 500
Yellow maize 746 000 120 000 4 915 800 5 781 800
Sorghum 183 000 0 297 300 480 300
Groundnuts 54 000 1 000 74 388 129 388
Sunflower 120 000 1 000 664 010 785 010
Soybeans 101 000 15 000 277 370 393 370
Wheat 586 000 860 000 2 034 300 3 480 300
Canola 7 500 0 47 370 54 870

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
2004/2005 Marketing Season applies for winter crops.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2000/2001-2005/2006 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
White maize 1 596 005 1 721 580 2 234 350 1 842 000 1 845 000
Yellow maize 1 111 900 1 111 000 950 350 1 001 300 1 084 500
Sorghum 88 300 75 000 95 100 130 000 98 240
Groundnuts 165 250 94 160 49 850 71 500 42 800
Sunflower 521 695 645 510 605 750 530 000 497 100
Soybeans 134 150 124 150 100 150 135 000 152 640
Wheat 860 000 959 400 941 400 748 000 830 000 800 500
Sweet lupins 14 705 14 785 11 000 10 100 7 100 14 100
Canola 19 145 27 000 33 000 44 200 44 250 41 200
Total 4 511 150 4 772 585 5 020 650 4 512 100 4 601 630 855 800

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Seventh area estimate to plant for summer crops 2004/2005 production season (22 August 2005). Revised area estimate to plant for winter crops 2005/2006 production season (22 August 2005).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September