Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated September 2005)

Table 1

Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006
Requirements / Sales	127 000	127 000	127 000	1 121 460	1 200 000	1 200 000
Available / Produced	133 000	132 000	132 000	489 413	465 977	522 160
Shortage / Imports	-6 000	-5 000	-5 000	632 047	734 023	677 840

2004/2005 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004

Table 2

Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006
AFMA Members	114 402	100 879	87 246	784 961	818 362	875 994
Non-AFMA Members	12 598	26 121	39 754	336 499	381 638	324 006
Total	127 000	127 000	127 000	1 121 460	1 200 000	1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004
2004/2005 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3

The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)

	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials	2003/2004		2004/2005		2005/2006
Sunflower oilcake	273 123	6.51	213 837	4.96	209 628	4.70
Groundnuts oilcake	1 762	0.04	891	0.02	3 996	0.09
Soy oilcake	364 882	8.70	448 648	10.40	477 120	10.71
Full fat soy	88 950	2.12	92 968	2.16	123 054	2.76
Cotton oilcake	38 044	0.91	46 396	1.08	47 688	1.07
Full fat cotton	4 692	0.11	4 340	0.10	5 904	0.13
Canola oilcake	6 490	0.15	5 138	0.12	2 760	0.06
Full fat canola	1 353	0.03	454	0.01
Total oilcake	784 961	18.74	818 362	18.97	875 994	19.66
Total maize products	2 344 042	55.91	2 384 886	55.34	2 432 244	54.57
Total fishmeal	114 402	2.73	100 879	2.34	87 246	1.96

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004
AFMA raw material usage April 2004 to March 2005.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4

Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)

	Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton)			Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006
RSA	120 000	120 000	120 000
Namibia	13 000	12 000	12 000
Total	133 000	132 000	132 000	-6 000	-5 000	-5 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2004/2005 – Estimate

Table 5

Oilcake: local production and imports   (2003/2004-2005/2006)

	Local Oilcake production (ton)			Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake	1 766	8 025	8 025
Sunflower oilcake	336 000	272 160	281 089	24 379
Soy cake	6 000			477 814
– Full fat	113 280	137 920	191 576	19 502
– Beans
Cotton cake	11 296	25 084	18 682	73 760
– Full fat	2 346			22 413
Other				14 181
Canola	14 685	18 838	18 838
Lupins	4 040	3 950	3 950
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total	489 413	465 977	522 160	632 049	734 023	677 846

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004
2004/2005 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6

Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2001/2002-2005/2006 marketing season)

Crop	2001/2002	2002/2003	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006
White maize	4 109 790	5 078 000	6 371 000	5 805 000	7 063 500
Yellow maize	3 115 350	3 386 000	3 019 000	3 677 000	4 819 600
Sorghum	175 580	208 000	219 700	373 000	313 740
Groundnuts	183 840	120 200	60 000	115 000	76 288
Sunflower	638 320	932 000	642 075	648 000	669 260
Soybeans	209 705	216 000	136 500	220 000	277 370
Cotton seed ¹	34 438	36 530	29 278	50 169	37 365
Wheat	2 492 880	2 230 745	1 428 150	1 599 280
Sweet lupins	16 338	11 700	4 040	3 950
Canola	25 750	37 975	40 770	34 250

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final estimate for winter crops (21 February 2005) and fifth production estimate for summer crops for the 2005/2006 marketing year (20 June 2005).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7

Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2005/2006 marketing season)

Crop	Opening stock	Imports to RSA	Production	Total supply
White maize	2 728 000	0	7 063 500	9 791 500
Yellow maize	550 000	200 000	4 819 600	5 569 600
Sorghum	176 000	0	313 740	489 740
Groundnuts	45 000	14 000	76 288	135 288
Sunflower	120 000	0	669 260	789 260
Soybeans	101 000	0	277 370	378 370
Wheat	598 000	1 200 000	1 699 280	3 497 280
Canola	10 500	0	34 250	44 750

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
2004/2005 Marketing Season applies for winter crops.

Table 8

Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2000/2001-2005/2006 production season)

	Ha Planted
Crop	2000/2001	2001/2002	2002/2003	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006
White maize	1 596 005	1 721 580	2 234 350	1 842 000	1 845 000
Yellow maize	1 111 900	1 111 000	950 350	1 001 300	1 084 500
Sorghum	88 300	75 000	95 100	130 000	103 240
Groundnuts	165 250	94 160	49 850	71 500	42 800
Sunflower	521 695	645 510	605 750	530 000	497 100
Soybeans	134 150	124 150	100 150	135 000	152 640
Wheat	860 000	959 400	941 400	748 000	829 200	779 400
Sweet lupins	14 705	14 785	11 000	10 100	7 100	8 700
Canola	19 145	27 000	33 000	44 200	45 500	40 500

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth area estimate to plant for summer crops 2004/2005 production season (20 June 2005). Revised intention to plant for winter crops 2005/2006 production season (19 May 2005).

Table 9

Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops

Crops	Season
White maize	May-April
Yellow maize	May-April
Sorghum	April-March
Groundnuts	March-February
Sunflower	January-December
Soybeans	January-December
Wheat	October-September