Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2005 July

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated September 2005)

Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
Requirements / Sales 127 000 127 000 127 000 1 121 460 1 200 000 1 200 000
Available / Produced 133 000 132 000 132 000 489 413 465 977 522 160
Shortage / Imports -6 000 -5 000 -5 000 632 047 734 023 677 840

2004/2005 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004

Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Fishmeal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
AFMA Members 114 402 100 879 87 246 784 961 818 362 875 994
Non-AFMA Members 12 598 26 121 39 754 336 499 381 638 324 006
Total 127 000 127 000 127 000 1 121 460 1 200 000 1 200 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004
2004/2005 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
Sunflower oilcake 273 123 6.51 213 837 4.96 209 628 4.70
Groundnuts oilcake 1 762 0.04 891 0.02 3 996 0.09
Soy oilcake 364 882 8.70 448 648 10.40 477 120 10.71
Full fat soy 88 950 2.12 92 968 2.16 123 054 2.76
Cotton oilcake 38 044 0.91 46 396 1.08 47 688 1.07
Full fat cotton 4 692 0.11 4 340 0.10 5 904 0.13
Canola oilcake 6 490 0.15 5 138 0.12 2 760 0.06
Full fat canola 1 353 0.03 454 0.01    
Total oilcake 784 961 18.74 818 362 18.97 875 994 19.66
Total maize products 2 344 042 55.91 2 384 886 55.34 2 432 244 54.57
Total fishmeal 114 402 2.73 100 879 2.34 87 246 1.96

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004
AFMA raw material usage April 2004 to March 2005.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2003/2004-2005/2006) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
RSA 120 000 120 000 120 000
Namibia 13 000 12 000 12 000
Total 133 000 132 000 132 000 -6 000 -5 000 -5 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2004/2005 – Estimate

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2003/2004-2005/2006)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 1 766 8 025 8 025
Sunflower oilcake 336 000 272 160 281 089 24 379
Soy cake 6 000 477 814
– Full fat 113 280 137 920 191 576 19 502
– Beans
Cotton cake 11 296 25 084 18 682 73 760
– Full fat 2 346 22 413
Other 14 181
Canola 14 685 18 838 18 838
Lupins 4 040 3 950 3 950
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 489 413 465 977 522 160 632 049 734 023 677 846

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2002/2003 and 2003/2004
2004/2005 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2001/2002-2005/2006 marketing season)
Crop 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
White maize 4 109 790 5 078 000 6 371 000 5 805 000 7 063 500
Yellow maize 3 115 350 3 386 000 3 019 000 3 677 000 4 819 600
Sorghum 175 580 208 000 219 700 373 000 313 740
Groundnuts 183 840 120 200 60 000 115 000 76 288
Sunflower 638 320 932 000 642 075 648 000 669 260
Soybeans 209 705 216 000 136 500 220 000 277 370
Cotton seed ¹ 34 438 36 530 29 278 50 169 37 365
Wheat 2 492 880 2 230 745 1 428 150 1 599 280
Sweet lupins 16 338 11 700 4 040 3 950
Canola 25 750 37 975 40 770 34 250

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final estimate for winter crops (21 February 2005) and fifth production estimate for summer crops for the 2005/2006 marketing year (20 June 2005).
SAGIS; ¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2005/2006 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 2 728 000 0 7 063 500 9 791 500
Yellow maize 550 000 200 000 4 819 600 5 569 600
Sorghum 176 000 0 313 740 489 740
Groundnuts 45 000 14 000 76 288 135 288
Sunflower 120 000 0 669 260 789 260
Soybeans 101 000 0 277 370 378 370
Wheat 598 000 1 200 000 1 699 280 3 497 280
Canola 10 500 0 34 250 44 750

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
2004/2005 Marketing Season applies for winter crops.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2000/2001-2005/2006 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006
White maize 1 596 005 1 721 580 2 234 350 1 842 000 1 845 000
Yellow maize 1 111 900 1 111 000 950 350 1 001 300 1 084 500
Sorghum 88 300 75 000 95 100 130 000 103 240
Groundnuts 165 250 94 160 49 850 71 500 42 800
Sunflower 521 695 645 510 605 750 530 000 497 100
Soybeans 134 150 124 150 100 150 135 000 152 640
Wheat 860 000 959 400 941 400 748 000 829 200 779 400
Sweet lupins 14 705 14 785 11 000 10 100 7 100 8 700
Canola 19 145 27 000 33 000 44 200 45 500 40 500

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth area estimate to plant for summer crops 2004/2005 production season (20 June 2005). Revised intention to plant for winter crops 2005/2006 production season (19 May 2005).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September