Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated January 2009)
Table 1
Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
Requirements / Sales |
60 000 |
55 000 |
100 000 |
1 635 526 |
1 758 185 |
1 700 000 |
Available / Produced |
87 000 |
91 700 |
91 000 |
608 370 |
494 557 |
695 291 |
Shortage / Imports |
-27 000 |
-36 700 |
9 000 |
1 027 156 |
1 263 628 |
1 004 709 |
2008/2009 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
Table 2
Fishmeal and Oilcake usage (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishmeal (ton) |
Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
AFMA Members |
37 871 |
48 156 |
93 247 |
1 063 945 |
1 094 941 |
1 087 989 |
Non-AFMA Members |
22 129 |
6 844 |
6 753 |
571 581 |
663 244 |
612 011 |
Total |
60 000 |
55 000 |
100 000 |
1 635 526 |
1 758 185 |
1 700 000 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
2008/2009 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.
Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
|
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Total (ton) |
Inclusion rate (%) |
Raw Materials |
2006/2007 |
|
2007/2008 |
|
2008/2009 |
|
Sunflower oilcake |
169 172 |
3.79 |
167 836 |
2.67 |
248 739 |
4.84 |
Groundnuts oilcake |
316 |
0.01 |
0 |
0.00 |
2 |
0.00 |
Soy oilcake |
653 463 |
14.64 |
752 073 |
15.35 |
720 345 |
14.01 |
Full fat soy |
183 047 |
4.10 |
130 609 |
2.67 |
79 209 |
1.54 |
Cotton oilcake |
35 590 |
0.80 |
19 068 |
0.39 |
23 042 |
0.45 |
Full fat cotton |
10 241 |
0.23 |
9 074 |
0.19 |
5 330 |
0.10 |
Canola oilcake |
4 330 |
0.10 |
2 963 |
0.06 |
2 362 |
0.05 |
Full fat canola |
3 757 |
0.08 |
553 |
0.01 |
53 |
0.00 |
Copra and Palm Kernel |
4 029 |
0.09 |
7 016 |
0.14 |
5 398 |
0.10 |
Maize Germ Oilcake |
2 859 |
0.06 |
5 750 |
0.12 |
3 509 |
0.07 |
Total oilcake |
1 063 945 |
24.67 |
1 094 941 |
22.34 |
1 087 989 |
21.16 |
Total maize products |
2 428 502 |
54.05 |
2 627 498 |
53.61 |
2 888 653 |
56.18 |
Total fishmeal |
37 871 |
0.88 |
48 156 |
1.12 |
93 247 |
1.81 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
AFMA raw material usage April 2008 to March 2009.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.
Table 4
Fishmeal: local production and imports (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton) |
Imported Fishmeal (ton) |
Year |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
RSA |
75 000 |
85 000 |
85 000 |
|
|
|
Namibia ¹ |
12 000 |
6 700 |
6 000 |
|
|
|
Total |
87 000 |
91 700 |
91 000 |
-27 000 |
-36 700 |
9 000 |
Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2008/2009 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.
Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports (2006/2007-2008/2009)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Local Oilcake production (ton) |
Imported Oilcake (ton) |
Year |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
Oilcake |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Groundnuts oilcake |
2 515 |
54 |
540 |
|
344 |
|
Sunflower oilcake |
199 500 |
138 558 |
371 935 |
68 808 |
103 987 |
|
Soy cake |
113 440 |
115 200 |
258 396 |
808 051 |
904 214 |
|
– Full fat |
189 840 |
138 000 |
|
3 949 |
104 377 |
|
– Beans |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cotton cake |
32 500 |
32 500 |
32 500 |
99 617 |
109 988 |
|
– Full fat |
35 000 |
35 000 |
|
39 766 |
33 338 |
|
Other |
|
|
|
6 965 |
7 425 |
|
Canola |
21 175 |
21 945 |
22 120 |
|
|
|
Lupins |
14 400 |
13 300 |
9 800 |
|
|
|
Copra and Palm Kernel |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
608 370 |
494 557 |
695 291 |
1 027 291 |
1 263 673 |
1 004 709 |
Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2007/2008
2008/2009 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.
Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton) (2004/2005-2008/2009 marketing season)
Crop |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
White maize |
5 805 000 |
6 540 700 |
4 187 400 |
4 315 000 |
7 480 000 |
Yellow maize |
3 677 000 |
4 909 300 |
2 430 600 |
2 810 000 |
5 220 000 |
Sorghum |
373 000 |
260 000 |
96 000 |
176 000 |
255 000 |
Groundnuts |
115 000 |
64 000 |
74 000 |
58 000 |
88 800 |
Sunflower |
648 000 |
620 000 |
520 000 |
300 000 |
872 000 |
Soybeans |
220 000 |
272 500 |
424 000 |
205 000 |
282 000 |
Cotton seed ¹ |
50 169 |
37 804 |
25 962 |
19 525 |
17 378 |
Wheat |
1 680 000 |
1 905 000 |
2 105 000 |
1 905 000 |
2 022 000 |
Sweet Lupins |
3 950 |
14 100 |
14 400 |
13 300 |
14 000 |
Canola |
32 000 |
44 200 |
36 500 |
38 150 |
34 000 |
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Fifth forecast for winter crops (18 December 2008) and final crop estimate for summer crops for the 2008/2009 marketing year (27 November 2008).
¹ Cotton South Africa
Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton) (2008/2009 marketing season)
Crop |
Opening stock |
Imports to RSA |
Production |
Total supply |
White maize |
618 000 |
0 |
7 480 000 |
8 098 000 |
Yellow maize |
439 000 |
0 |
5 220 000 |
5 659 000 |
Sorghum |
43 000 |
0 |
255 000 |
298 000 |
Groundnuts |
19 000 |
10 000 |
88 800 |
117 800 |
Sunflower |
95 000 |
3 000 |
872 000 |
970 000 |
Soybeans |
97 000 |
16 000 |
282 000 |
395 000 |
Wheat |
509 000 |
1 130 000 |
2 022 000 |
3 661 000 |
Canola |
10 900 |
0 |
34 000 |
44 900 |
Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.
Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA (2003/2004-2008/2009 production season)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ha Planted |
Crop |
2003/2004 |
2004/2005 |
2005/2006 |
2006/2007 |
2007/2008 |
2008/2009 |
White maize |
1 842 000 |
1 700 000 |
1 033 000 |
1 624 800 |
1 737 000 |
1 600 000 |
Yellow maize |
1 001 300 |
1 110 000 |
567 200 |
927 000 |
1 062 000 |
962 000 |
Sorghum |
130 000 |
86 500 |
37 150 |
69 000 |
86 800 |
94 900 |
Groundnuts |
71 500 |
40 000 |
48 550 |
40 770 |
54 200 |
57 500 |
Sunflower |
530 000 |
460 000 |
472 480 |
316 350 |
564 300 |
586 400 |
Soybeans |
135 000 |
150 000 |
240 570 |
183 000 |
165 400 |
227 500 |
Wheat |
748 000 |
830 000 |
805 000 |
764 800 |
632 000 |
748 000 |
Sweet Lupins |
10 100 |
7 100 |
14 100 |
16 000 |
14 000 |
14 000 |
Canola |
44 200 |
44 250 |
40 200 |
32 000 |
33 260 |
34 000 |
Total |
4 512 100 |
4 427 850 |
3 258 250 |
3 973 720 |
4 348 960 |
4 324 300 |
Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Intentions to plant summer crops 2008/2009 production season (23 October 2008). Fifth area estimate for winter crops 2008/2009 production season (18 December 2008).
Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops |
Season |
White maize |
May-April |
Yellow maize |
May-April |
Sorghum |
April-March |
Groundnuts |
March-February |
Sunflower |
January-December |
Soybeans |
January-December |
Wheat |
October-September |