Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fishmeal and oilcake
(updated March 2009)

Table 1

Fishmeal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2006/2007	2007/2008	2008/2009	2006/2007	2007/2008	2008/2009
Requirements / Sales	60 000	55 000	100 000	1 635 526	1 758 185	1 700 000
Available / Produced	87 000	91 700	91 000	608 370	494 557	695 291
Shortage / Imports	-27 000	-36 700	9 000	1 027 156	1 263 628	1 004 709

2008/2009 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008

Table 2

Fishmeal and Oilcake usage   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)

	Fishmeal (ton)			Oilcake (ton)
Year	2006/2007	2007/2008	2008/2009	2006/2007	2007/2008	2008/2009
AFMA Members	37 871	48 156	85 306	1 063 945	1 094 941	1 085 201
Non-AFMA Members	22 129	6 844	14 694	571 581	663 244	614 799
Total	60 000	55 000	100 000	1 635 526	1 758 185	1 700 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
2008/2009 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3

The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)

	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)	Total (ton)	Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials	2006/2007		2007/2008		2008/2009
Sunflower oilcake	169 172	3.79	167 836	2.67	247 421	4.87
Groundnuts oilcake	316	0.01	0	0.00	1	0.00
Soy oilcake	653 463	14.64	752 073	15.35	715 635	14.09
Full fat soy	183 047	4.10	130 609	2.67	84 699	1.67
Cotton oilcake	35 590	0.80	19 068	0.39	21 285	0.42
Full fat cotton	10 241	0.23	9 074	0.19	5 191	0.10
Canola oilcake	4 330	0.10	2 963	0.06	2 297	0.05
Full fat canola	3 757	0.08	553	0.01	41	0.00
Copra and Palm Kernel	4 029	0.09	7 016	0.14	5 121	0.10
Maize Germ Oilcake	2 859	0.06	5 750	0.12	3 508	0.07
Total oilcake	1 063 945	24.67	1 094 941	22.34	1 085 201	21.37
Total maize products	2 428 502	54.05	2 627 498	53.61	2 857 711	56.27
Total fishmeal	37 871	0.88	48 156	1.12	85 306	1.68

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
AFMA raw material usage April 2008 to March 2009.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4

Fishmeal: local production and imports   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)

	Local (RSA + Namibia) Fishmeal production (ton)			Imported Fishmeal (ton)
Year	2006/2007	2007/2008	2008/2009	2006/2007	2007/2008	2008/2009
RSA	75 000	85 000	85 000
Namibia ¹	12 000	6 700	6 000
Total	87 000	91 700	91 000	-27 000	-36 700	9 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2008/2009 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5

Oilcake: local production and imports   (2006/2007-2008/2009)

	Local Oilcake production (ton)			Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year	2006/2007	2007/2008	2008/2009	2006/2007	2007/2008	2008/2009
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake	2 515	54	540		344
Sunflower oilcake	199 500	138 558	371 935	68 808	103 987
Soy cake	113 440	115 200	258 396	808 051	904 214
– Full fat	189 840	138 000		3 949	104 377
– Beans
Cotton cake	32 500	32 500	32 500	99 617	109 988
– Full fat	35 000	35 000		39 766	33 338
Other				6 965	7 425
Canola	21 175	21 945	22 120
Lupins	14 400	13 300	9 800
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total	608 370	494 557	695 291	1 027 291	1 263 673	1 004 709

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2007/2008
2008/2009 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6

Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2005/2006-2009/2010 marketing season)

Crop	2005/2006	2006/2007	2007/2008	2008/2009	2009/2010
White maize	6 540 700	4 187 400	4 315 000	7 480 000	6 528 440
Yellow maize	4 909 300	2 430 600	2 810 000	5 220 000	4 688 100
Sorghum	260 000	96 000	176 000	255 000	268 100
Groundnuts	64 000	74 000	58 000	88 800	93 910
Sunflower	620 000	520 000	300 000	872 000	900 300
Soybeans	272 500	424 000	205 000	282 000	368 875
Cotton seed ¹	37 804	25 962	19 525	17 378	14 539
Wheat	1 905 000	2 105 000	1 905 000	2 089 775
Canola	44 200	36 500	38 150	32 300

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Seventh forecast for winter crops (24 February 2009) and first crop estimate for summer crops for the 2009/2010 marketing year (24 February 2009).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7

Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2008/2009 marketing season)

Crop	Opening stock	Imports to RSA	Production	Total supply
White maize	618 000	0	6 528 440	7 146 440
Yellow maize	439 000	23 000	4 688 100	5 150 100
Sorghum	43 000	0	268 100	311 100
Groundnuts	19 000	7 000	93 910	119 910
Sunflower	95 000	2 000	900 300	997 300
Soybeans	97 000	16 000	368 875	481 875
Wheat	509 000	1 130 000	2 022 000	3 661 000
Canola	10 900	0	34 000	44 900

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8

Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2003/2004-2008/2009 production season)

	Ha Planted
Crop	2003/2004	2004/2005	2005/2006	2006/2007	2007/2008	2008/2009
White maize	1 842 000	1 700 000	1 033 000	1 624 800	1 737 000	1 497 300
Yellow maize	1 001 300	1 110 000	567 200	927 000	1 062 000	952 500
Sorghum	130 000	86 500	37 150	69 000	86 800	90 100
Groundnuts	71 500	40 000	48 550	40 770	54 200	54 550
Sunflower	530 000	460 000	472 480	316 350	564 300	595 400
Soybeans	135 000	150 000	240 570	183 000	165 400	216 250
Wheat	748 000	830 000	805 000	764 800	632 000	748 000
Canola	44 200	44 250	40 200	32 000	33 260	34 000
Total	4 502 000	4 420 750	3 244 150	3 957 720	4 334 960	4 188 100

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final area estimate to plant summer crops 2008/2009 production season (24 February 2009). Seventh area estimate for winter crops 2008/2009 production season (24 February 2009).

Table 9

Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops

Crops	Season
White maize	May-April
Yellow maize	May-April
Sorghum	April-March
Groundnuts	March-February
Sunflower	January-December
Soybeans	January-December
Wheat	October-September