Statistics & Estimates / Archives / Protein Statistics / Protein Statistics 2009 March

Short and medium term requirements for and usage for fish meal and oilcake
(updated March 2009)

Table 1
Fish Meal and Oilcake balance sheet   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
Requirements / Sales 60 000 55 000 100 000 1 635 526 1 758 185 1 700 000
Available / Produced 87 000 91 700 91 000 608 370 494 557 695 291
Shortage / Imports -27 000 -36 700 9 000 1 027 156 1 263 628 1 004 709

2008/2009 – Estimate
Source: Fishing industry / AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008

Table 2
Fish Meal and Oilcake usage   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
  Fish Meal (ton) Oilcake (ton)
Year 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
AFMA Members 37 871 48 156 85 306 1 063 945 1 094 941 1 085 201
Non-AFMA Members 22 129 6 844 14 694 571 581 663 244 614 799
Total 60 000 55 000 100 000 1 635 526 1 758 185 1 700 000

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
2008/2009 – Estimate
Non-AMFA members figures can also include unused stocks.

Table 3
The Main Raw Material usage by AFMA-members   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
  Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%) Total (ton) Inclusion rate (%)
Raw Materials 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
Sunflower oilcake 169 172 3.79 167 836 2.67 247 421 4.87
Groundnuts oilcake 316 0.01 0 0.00 1 0.00
Soy oilcake 653 463 14.64 752 073 15.35 715 635 14.09
Full fat soy 183 047 4.10 130 609 2.67 84 699 1.67
Cotton oilcake 35 590 0.80 19 068 0.39 21 285 0.42
Full fat cotton 10 241 0.23 9 074 0.19 5 191 0.10
Canola oilcake 4 330 0.10 2 963 0.06 2 297 0.05
Full fat canola 3 757 0.08 553 0.01 41 0.00
Copra and Palm Kernel 4 029 0.09 7 016 0.14 5 121 0.10
Maize Germ Oilcake 2 859 0.06 5 750 0.12 3 508 0.07
Total oilcake 1 063 945 24.67 1 094 941 22.34 1 085 201 21.37
Total maize products 2 428 502 54.05 2 627 498 53.61 2 857 711 56.27
Total fish-meal 37 871 0.88 48 156 1.12 85 306 1.68

Source: AFMA Chairman's Report 2007/2008
AFMA raw material usage April 2008 to March 2009.
* Note: total oilcake in Table 3 include all oilcake and not only specific oilcake items listed in Table 3.

Table 4
Fish Meal: local production and imports   (2006/2007-2008/2009) (April-March)
  Local (RSA + Namibia) Fish Meal production (ton) Imported Fish Meal (ton)
Year 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
RSA 75 000 85 000 85 000
Namibia ¹ 12 000 6 700 6 000
Total 87 000 91 700 91 000 -27 000 -36 700 9 000

Source: AFMA; SA Fishmeal Marketing Company
2008/2009 – Estimate
¹ Includes Russian trawlers operating in Namibian waters.

Table 5
Oilcake: local production and imports   (2006/2007-2008/2009)
Local Oilcake production (ton) Imported Oilcake (ton)
Year 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
Oilcake
Groundnuts oilcake 2 515 54 540 344
Sunflower oilcake 199 500 138 558 371 935 68 808 103 987
Soy cake 113 440 115 200 258 396 808 051 904 214
– Full fat 189 840 138 000 3 949 104 377
– Beans
Cotton cake 32 500 32 500 32 500 99 617 109 988
– Full fat 35 000 35 000 39 766 33 338
Other 6 965 7 425
Canola 21 175 21 945 22 120
Lupins 14 400 13 300 9 800
Copra and Palm Kernel
Total 608 370 494 557 695 291 1 027 291 1 263 673 1 004 709

Source: AFMA Chairman's report 2007/2008
2008/2009 – Estimate
The projected local production figures for soy and cotton reflect full fat and oilcake.

Table 6
Oilseed and Grain production in the RSA (ton)   (2005/2006-2009/2010 marketing season)
Crop 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009 2009/2010
White maize 6 540 700 4 187 400 4 315 000 7 480 000 6 528 440
Yellow maize 4 909 300 2 430 600 2 810 000 5 220 000 4 688 100
Sorghum 260 000 96 000 176 000 255 000 268 100
Groundnuts 64 000 74 000 58 000 88 800 93 910
Sunflower 620 000 520 000 300 000 872 000 900 300
Soybeans 272 500 424 000 205 000 282 000 368 875
Cotton seed ¹ 37 804 25 962 19 525 17 378 14 539
Wheat 1 905 000 2 105 000 1 905 000 2 089 775
Canola 44 200 36 500 38 150 32 300

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Seventh forecast for winter crops (24 February 2009) and first crop estimate for summer crops for the 2009/2010 marketing year (24 February 2009).
¹ Cotton South Africa

Table 7
Oilseed and Grain supply in the RSA (ton)   (2008/2009 marketing season)
Crop Opening stock Imports to RSA Production Total supply
White maize 618 000 0 6 528 440 7 146 440
Yellow maize 439 000 23 000 4 688 100 5 150 100
Sorghum 43 000 0 268 100 311 100
Groundnuts 19 000 7 000 93 910 119 910
Sunflower 95 000 2 000 900 300 997 300
Soybeans 97 000 16 000 368 875 481 875
Wheat 509 000 1 130 000 2 022 000 3 661 000
Canola 10 900 0 34 000 44 900

Source: Opening stock, import and production figures obtained from Grain South Africa.

Table 8
Area planted to Oilseed and Grain crops in the RSA   (2003/2004-2008/2009 production season)
  Ha Planted
Crop 2003/2004 2004/2005 2005/2006 2006/2007 2007/2008 2008/2009
White maize 1 842 000 1 700 000 1 033 000 1 624 800 1 737 000 1 497 300
Yellow maize 1 001 300 1 110 000 567 200 927 000 1 062 000 952 500
Sorghum 130 000 86 500 37 150 69 000 86 800 90 100
Groundnuts 71 500 40 000 48 550 40 770 54 200 54 550
Sunflower 530 000 460 000 472 480 316 350 564 300 595 400
Soybeans 135 000 150 000 240 570 183 000 165 400 216 250
Wheat 748 000 830 000 805 000 764 800 632 000 748 000
Canola 44 200 44 250 40 200 32 000 33 260 34 000
Total 4 502 000 4 420 750 3 244 150 3 957 720 4 334 960 4 188 100

Source: National Crop Estimates Committee; Final area estimate to plant summer crops 2008/2009 production season (24 February 2009). Seventh area estimate for winter crops 2008/2009 production season (24 February 2009).

Table 9
Note on Marketing Season for Summer and Winter crops
Crops Season
White maize May-April
Yellow maize May-April
Sorghum April-March
Groundnuts March-February
Sunflower January-December
Soybeans January-December
Wheat October-September